3 Reasons CVBF is Risky and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

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CVBF Cover Image

CVB Financial has had an impressive run over the past six months as its shares have beaten the S&P 500 by 13%. The stock now trades at $22.40, marking a 19.1% gain. This performance may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.

Is there a buying opportunity in CVB Financial, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Get the full breakdown from our expert analysts, it’s free.

Why Do We Think CVB Financial Will Underperform?

Despite the momentum, we don’t have much confidence in CVB Financial. Here are three reasons we avoid CVBF, plus one stock we’d rather own.

1. Long-Term Revenue Growth Disappoints

Net interest income and fee-based revenue are the two pillars supporting bank earnings. The former captures profit from the gap between lending rates and deposit costs, while the latter encompasses charges for banking services, credit products, wealth management, and trading activities.

Unfortunately, CVB Financial’s 2.3% annualized revenue growth over the last five years was sluggish. This fell short of our benchmarks.

CVB Financial Quarterly Revenue

2. Net Interest Income Points to Soft Demand

While banks generate revenue from multiple sources, investors view net interest income as a cornerstone — its predictable, recurring characteristics stand in sharp contrast to the volatility of one-time fees.

CVB Financial’s net interest income has grown at a 2% annualized rate over the last five years, much worse than the broader banking industry and in line with its total revenue. Its growth was driven by both an increase in its outstanding loans and net interest margin, which represents how much a bank earns in relation to its outstanding loan book.

CVB Financial Trailing 12-Month Net Interest Income

3. EPS Barely Growing

Analyzing the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) shows whether a company’s incremental sales were profitable — for example, revenue could be inflated through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

CVB Financial’s weak 3% annual EPS growth over the last five years aligns with its revenue performance. On the bright side, this tells us its incremental sales were profitable.

CVB Financial Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

Final Judgment

We see the value of companies driving economic growth, but in the case of CVB Financial, we’re out. With its shares beating the market recently, the stock trades at 1.2× forward P/B (or $22.40 per share). This multiple tells us a lot of good news is priced in - we think other companies feature superior fundamentals at the moment. Let us point you toward one of our top software and edge computing picks.

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