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3 Reasons to Avoid SMRT and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

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SMRT Cover Image

Over the past six months, SmartRent’s stock price fell to $1.36. Shareholders have lost 6.3% of their capital, which is disappointing considering the S&P 500 has climbed by 3.4%. This might have investors contemplating their next move.

Is there a buying opportunity in SmartRent, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? See what our analysts have to say in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Is SmartRent Not Exciting?

Even with the cheaper entry price, we're swiping left on SmartRent for now. Here are three reasons we avoid SMRT and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Revenue Tumbling Downwards

Long-term growth is the most important, but within industrials, a stretched historical view may miss new industry trends or demand cycles. SmartRent’s recent performance marks a sharp pivot from its five-year trend as its revenue has shown annualized declines of 19.8% over the last two years.

SmartRent Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

2. EPS Stalling Over the Last Two Years

Although long-term earnings trends give us the big picture, we like to analyze EPS over a shorter period to see if we are missing a change in the business.

For SmartRent, EPS didn’t budge over the last two years, a regression from its four-year trend. We hope it can revert to earnings growth in the coming years.

SmartRent Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

3. Cash Burn Ignites Concerns

Free cash flow isn't a prominently featured metric in company financials and earnings releases, but we think it's telling because it accounts for all operating and capital expenses, making it tough to manipulate. Cash is king.

While SmartRent posted positive free cash flow this quarter, the broader story hasn’t been so clean. SmartRent’s demanding reinvestments have drained its resources over the last five years, putting it in a pinch and limiting its ability to return capital to investors. Its free cash flow margin averaged negative 24.3%, meaning it lit $24.30 of cash on fire for every $100 in revenue.

SmartRent Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

Final Judgment

SmartRent isn’t a terrible business, but it doesn’t pass our bar. Following the recent decline, the stock trades at 104.5× forward EV-to-EBITDA (or $1.36 per share). This valuation tells us it’s a bit of a market darling with a lot of good news priced in - we think there are better opportunities elsewhere. Let us point you toward a top digital advertising platform riding the creator economy.

Stocks We Would Buy Instead of SmartRent

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