
Wynn Resorts' fourth quarter was met with a negative market reaction, as the company’s non-GAAP profit and EBITDA fell significantly short of Wall Street’s expectations despite modest revenue growth. Management attributed the underperformance to a combination of lower-than-expected hold in both VIP and mass gaming segments, particularly in Macau, as well as increased operating expenses from payroll and ongoing renovations. CEO Craig Billings remarked that, while Las Vegas volumes remained healthy, "unusually low hold in Macau" and added costs from expansion projects weighed on margins this quarter.
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Wynn Resorts (WYNN) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $1.87 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.85 billion (1.5% year-on-year growth, 0.7% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $1.17 vs analyst expectations of $1.48 (20.7% miss)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $466.9 million vs analyst estimates of $588.9 million (25% margin, 20.7% miss)
- Operating Margin: 14.7%, down from 20% in the same quarter last year
- Market Capitalization: $11.97 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Wynn Resorts’s Q4 Earnings Call
- Daniel Brian Politzer (JPMorgan) pressed for detail on Las Vegas growth strategies amid room disruptions; CEO Craig Billings stressed group business strength and rate management, while also acknowledging challenges from ongoing renovations.
- Elizabeth Dove (Goldman Sachs) questioned whether Las Vegas margins could expand further or if normalization was likely; Billings responded that the company prioritizes top-line revenue and market share over explicit margin targets, citing disciplined cost control.
- Shaun Kelley (Bank of America) asked about Macau’s competitive environment and VIP/mass segment mix; Billings attributed margin pressure to volatility in VIP hold and reiterated continued investments in the premium segment.
- Brandt Montour (Barclays) inquired about convention business trends; President Brian Gullbrants noted a strong group and convention pipeline for 2026 but identified some seasonal softness in Q2, with active efforts underway to fill gaps.
- Trey Bowers (Wells Fargo) sought signposts for Wynn Al Marjan’s ramp-up; CFO Julie Cameron-Doe indicated room sales would likely open in late Q3 or early Q4, and emphasized that incremental room capacity is not required to meet base case expectations for the UAE property.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the quarters ahead, the StockStory team will watch (1) the pace and revenue impact of the Encore Tower remodel in Las Vegas, (2) the successful ramp-up and early performance of Wynn Al Marjan in the UAE, and (3) how new amenities like the expanded Chairman’s Club at Wynn Palace influence premium gaming volumes. Execution on cost control initiatives and progress toward geographic revenue diversification will also be key signposts.
Wynn Resorts currently trades at $115.63, up from $107.85 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free).
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