
Although the S&P 500 is down 1.8% over the past six months, Driven Brands’s stock price has fallen further to $12.84, losing shareholders 10.4% of their capital. This may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.
Is there a buying opportunity in Driven Brands, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? See what our analysts have to say in our full research report, it’s free.
Why Is Driven Brands Not Exciting?
Despite the more favorable entry price, we don't have much confidence in Driven Brands. Here are three reasons why DRVN doesn't excite us and a stock we'd rather own.
1. Same-Store Sales Falling Behind Peers
In addition to reported revenue, same-store sales are a useful data point for analyzing Industrial & Environmental Services companies. This metric measures the change in sales at brick-and-mortar locations that have existed for at least a year, giving visibility into Driven Brands’s underlying demand characteristics.
Over the last two years, Driven Brands’s same-store sales averaged 2% year-on-year growth. This performance was underwhelming and suggests it might have to change its strategy or pricing, which can disrupt operations. 
2. Cash Burn Ignites Concerns
If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.
While Driven Brands posted positive free cash flow this quarter, the broader story hasn’t been so clean. Driven Brands’s demanding reinvestments have drained its resources over the last five years, putting it in a pinch and limiting its ability to return capital to investors. Its free cash flow margin averaged negative 5.7%, meaning it lit $5.74 of cash on fire for every $100 in revenue. This is a stark contrast from its adjusted operating margin, and its investments in working capital/capital expenditures are the primary culprit.

3. Previous Growth Initiatives Have Lost Money
Growth gives us insight into a company’s long-term potential, but how capital-efficient was that growth? A company’s ROIC explains this by showing how much operating profit it makes compared to the money it has raised (debt and equity).
Driven Brands’s five-year average ROIC was negative 3.1%, meaning management lost money while trying to expand the business. Its returns were among the worst in the business services sector.

Final Judgment
Driven Brands isn’t a terrible business, but it doesn’t pass our quality test. Following the recent decline, the stock trades at 9.8× forward P/E (or $12.84 per share). While this valuation is optically cheap, the potential downside is big given its shaky fundamentals. We're fairly confident there are better stocks to buy right now. We’d recommend looking at our favorite semiconductor picks and shovels play.
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