1 Unpopular Stock That Deserves Some Love and 2 Facing Headwinds

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When Wall Street turns bearish on a stock, it’s worth paying attention. These calls stand out because analysts rarely issue grim ratings on companies for fear their firms will lose out in other business lines such as M&A advisory.

Whatever the consensus opinion may be, our team at StockStory cuts through the noise by conducting independent analysis to determine a company’s long-term prospects. That said, here is one stock where Wall Street’s pessimism is creating a buying opportunity and two where the skepticism is well-placed.

Two Stocks to Sell:

CNA Financial (CNA)

Consensus Price Target: $45 (-16.1% implied return)

With roots dating back to 1853 and majority ownership by Loews Corporation, CNA Financial (NYSE: CNA) is a commercial property and casualty insurance provider offering coverage for businesses, including professional liability, surety bonds, and specialized risk management services.

Why Are We Out on CNA?

  1. Large revenue base constrains its growth potential, as seen in its unexciting 6.5% annualized increases in net premiums earned over the last two years fell below our expectations for the insurance sector
  2. Incremental sales over the last two years were much less profitable as its earnings per share fell by 1% annually while its revenue grew
  3. Annual book value per share declines of 2% for the past five years show its capital management struggled during this cycle

CNA Financial’s stock price of $53.66 implies a valuation ratio of 11.7x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why CNA doesn’t pass our bar.

Webster Financial (WBS)

Consensus Price Target: $75.42 (-0.6% implied return)

Founded during the Great Depression in 1935 and evolving into a major Northeastern financial institution, Webster Financial (NYSE: WBS) is a bank holding company that provides commercial banking, consumer banking, and employee benefits solutions through its Webster Bank and HSA Bank division.

Why Does WBS Fall Short?

  1. 5.2% annual revenue growth over the last two years was slower than its banking peers
  2. Estimated net interest income growth of 5.9% for the next 12 months implies demand will slow from its five-year trend
  3. Earnings growth underperformed the sector average over the last two years as its EPS grew by just 5.9% annually

At $75.90 per share, Webster Financial trades at 1.2x forward P/B. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than WBS.

One Stock to Buy:

Datadog (DDOG)

Consensus Price Target: $265.53 (5.6% implied return)

Named after a database the founders had to painstakingly look after at their previous company, Datadog (NASDAQ: DDOG) provides a software platform that helps organizations monitor and secure their cloud applications, infrastructure, and services.

Why Will DDOG Beat the Market?

  1. Ability to secure long-term commitments with customers is evident in its 29.5% ARR growth over the last year
  2. Expected revenue growth of 24.2% for the next year suggests its market share will rise
  3. Fast payback periods on sales and marketing expenses allow the company to invest heavily and onboard many customers concurrently

Datadog is trading at $251.49 per share, or 19.7x forward price-to-sales. Is now the right time to buy? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

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