When Wall Street turns bearish on a stock, it’s worth paying attention. These calls stand out because analysts rarely issue grim ratings on companies for fear their firms will lose out in other business lines such as M&A advisory.
Whatever the consensus opinion may be, our team at StockStory cuts through the noise by conducting independent analysis to determine a company’s long-term prospects. Keeping that in mind, here are three stocks where the outlook is warranted and some alternatives with better fundamentals.
Foot Locker (FL)
Consensus Price Target: $23.91 (-8.8% implied return)
Known for store associates whose uniforms resemble those of referees, Foot Locker (NYSE: FL) is a specialty retailer that sells athletic footwear, clothing, and accessories.
Why Do We Steer Clear of FL?
- Lagging same-store sales over the past two years suggest it might have to change its pricing and marketing strategy to stimulate demand
- Subpar operating margin of -0.7% has withered over the last year, constraining its ability to invest in process improvements or effectively respond to new competitive threats
- 7× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio makes lenders less willing to extend additional capital, potentially necessitating dilutive equity offerings
Foot Locker’s stock price of $26.23 implies a valuation ratio of 19.6x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than FL.
Sotera Health Company (SHC)
Consensus Price Target: $16 (-3% implied return)
With a critical role in ensuring the safety of millions of patients worldwide, Sotera Health (NASDAQGS:SHC) provides sterilization services, lab testing, and advisory services to ensure medical devices, pharmaceuticals, and food products are safe for use.
Why Does SHC Worry Us?
- Sales trends were unexciting over the last five years as its 7.3% annual growth was below the typical healthcare company
- Subscale operations are evident in its revenue base of $1.12 billion, meaning it has fewer distribution channels than its larger rivals
- Poor free cash flow margin of 1.1% for the last five years limits its freedom to invest in growth initiatives, execute share buybacks, or pay dividends
At $16.50 per share, Sotera Health Company trades at 20.9x forward P/E. If you’re considering SHC for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.
Pediatrix Medical Group (MD)
Consensus Price Target: $16.71 (-2.8% implied return)
With a network of approximately 2,620 affiliated physicians caring for some of the most vulnerable patients, Pediatrix Medical Group (NYSE: MD) provides specialized physician services focused on neonatal, maternal-fetal, pediatric cardiology and other pediatric subspecialty care across 37 states.
Why Do We Avoid MD?
- Poor comparable store sales performance over the past two years indicates it’s having trouble bringing new patients into its facilities
- Projected sales decline of 1.5% over the next 12 months indicates demand will continue deteriorating
- Diminishing returns on capital from an already low starting point show that neither management’s prior nor current bets are going as planned
Pediatrix Medical Group is trading at $17.20 per share, or 10.4x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why MD doesn’t pass our bar.
High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions
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