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SPDR Long Term Treasury Portfolio ETF (NY: SPTL )

27.56 +0.62 (+2.30%)
Official Closing Price Updated: 8:00 PM EST, Nov 25, 2024 Add to My Watchlist
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Bull Steepening Is Bearish For Stocks – Part Two
With the odds growing that a long bull steepening may be upon us, it’s incumbent upon us to quantify how various stock indices, sectors, and factors have done during similar yield curve movements. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Yield Curve Shifts Offer Signals For Stockholders
The level of U.S. Treasury yields and the changing shape of the Treasury yield curve provide investors with critical feedback regarding the market’s expectations for economic growth, inflation, and... 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Uncoventional Wisdom
Returns from large cap stocks have continued to beat mid and small caps over time so that trend hasn’t changed. However, the outperformance of large caps since the onset of COVID has come mostly since... 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Artificial Intelligence
Exposures Artificial Intelligence COVID-19
Gold Analysis: Uptrend May Return Quickly
By the end of last week's trading, the price of gold rose to $2,390 per ounce before closing at $2,388 per ounce. This represented a 1% decrease from the previous session as markets for clues regarding... 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
The Fed Gets Its Wish
The economic data wasn’t particularly shocking or weak but it seemed as if last week may have marked a change in the economic outlook. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Rates Spark: US Growth Pessimism Drives Yields Lower
US yields have been falling for four days straight on growth pessimism. Bund yields have been dragged lower too but have less room to fall much further from here. Friday’s US payrolls will be an... 
Via Talk Markets
Market Briefing For Wednesday June 5
The economic data continues learning in the difficult condition I've described a variation on stagflation and a variation only because of societal bifurcation. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Natural Gas In A Major Compression… [Dirty Dozen]
In this week’s Dirty Dozen [CHART PACK] we talk about a likely bottom in risk assets, along with a potential bottom in bonds, followed by an even more intriguing bottom in natural gas, plus more… 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Bonds Energy
Exposures Debt Markets Fossil Fuels
Redditors Question Change To Fed Policy: Are They 'Slowing QT To Prevent A Crash'?
The Fed kept rates unchanged but announced a significant reduction in its quantitative tightening program starting in June. Redditors have diverse opinions on its effectiveness and potential impact on... 
Via Benzinga
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Insiders Are Bailing Out…
In this week’s Dirty Dozen we talk about speculators buying the dip in Qs along with that means for this selloff. We then discuss the very high insider sell ratio, look at active fund positioning, walk... 
Via Talk Markets
Rates Spark: The 4.5% Line In The Sand Is Breached
The US 10yr auction tailed, but the bond bulls don't seem to care. It looks like the market is playing with a change in the rate cycle discount. It's not illogical, but likely a tad early, and ignores... 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Bonds
Exposures Debt Markets
Geopolitical Tensions Lift Oil And Gold, But Little Sign Of Haven Buying In FX
US economic data surprised to the upside yesterday, and although interest rates rose as one would expect, the dollar's initial gains were pared, and the Dollar Index finished slightly lower on the... 
Via Talk Markets
Bond Market Noise Hides Tremendous Opportunity
Treasury yield levels are overwhelmingly a function of inflation. However, in the short run, a plethora of influences can explain deviations between yields and inflation. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Three Questions To Ask Any Guru Opining On The Situation In The Middle East
War has broken out in the Middle East. As usual, everyone is attempting to have an expert take on this situation. The reality is that less than one in 10,000 of the people speaking on this stuff have... 
Via Talk Markets
Weekly Market Pulse: Patience Is A Virtue
Most strategic asset allocation strategies have produced negative returns over the last two years. A 60/40 allocation of Vanguard Total Stock and Vanguard Total Bond is down over 6%. 
Via Talk Markets
Stock Market Crash Alert: Brace Yourself for ‘The Flippening’
Brace yourself for a potential stock market crash if the Flippening gets underway. Here's what investors need to know. 
Via InvestorPlace
US 10-Year, 30-Year Yields Hit Decade Highs, Shaking 5 Treasury ETFs
The Fed maintaining higher interest rates sparked an unprecedented surge in Treasury yields, impacting borrowing costs and raising concerns about economic growth. 
Via Benzinga
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
U.S. Labor Market Activity: Slowing, Not Weakening
While the Fed has emphasized that future policy decisions—i.e., the potential for another rate hike—would be based on the “totality” of upcoming economic data, make no mistake, employment reports go to... 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Ignore The Noise, This Is The Framework For The Markets Today
There are red flags out there, but these are warnings not signals that it’s time to get bearish. The purpose of investing is to make money, not miss out on gains because of a warning. So we ride this... 
Via Talk Markets
US Stock Futures Steady As Earnings Boost Sentiment, Dollar Holds Near Yearly Lows
Futures tied to major indexes trade near breakeven as upbeat corporate earnings and expectations of a soft landing scenario support market sentiment. 
Via Talk Markets
Weekly Market Pulse: Growth Stocks Win The First Half
The first half of the year is over and despite a few bank failures and three more rate hikes by the Fed, stocks and bonds both managed to produce gains in the first six months of 2023, but growth... 
Via Talk Markets
Stocks May Suffer With Rates On The Cusp Of A Surge Higher
It will be a holiday-shortened trading week, with today being a half day, and the market being closed on Tuesday. This will be a hectic week with a lot of data. Starting Monday with the ISM data for... 
Via Talk Markets
10-Year US Treasury Yield ‘Fair Value’ Estimate: Wednesday, June 14
The market continues to price the US 10-year Treasury yield at a relatively wide spread over its “fair value”, based on the average estimate of three models assembled by CapitalSpectator.com for May... 
Via Talk Markets
Weekly Market Pulse: Beware The Aftershocks
GDP growth in Germany was negative for two quarters but with the DAX still near its high, it doesn’t seem to be striking fear in the hearts of investors. I’d say European growth has downshifted but so... 
Via Talk Markets
Morgan Stanley Expects 16% Drop In S&amp;P 500 Earnings: Here's What The Investment Bank Is Bullish On
Via Benzinga
Weekly Market Pulse: Politicians Acting Badly
Should investors be worried about the impending breach of the US debt ceiling? A default would be catastrophic according to numerous news articles I’ve read recently. But maybe we should concentrate on... 
Via Talk Markets
Is The Tech Rally Nearly Over?
Investors have been piling into safe-havens lately, with growing worries over how the US debt ceiling issue will be resolved. A couple of large tech firms, Meta and Nvidia, have doubled their share... 
Via Talk Markets
The Strangest US Treasury Yield Curve In History, What's Goin On?
The 3-month to 1-month T-Bill spread is the largest in history. Simultaneously we have record or near-record inversions on bellwether spreads. 
Via Talk Markets
Spreads, Breakevens, And Risk/uncertainty As Of End-March
The 5 year Treasury-TIPS spread has come down, though it’s hard to say what this means. Risk as measured by the VIX has come down too, while uncertainty as measured by the Baker, Bloom & Davis... 
Via Talk Markets
A Shock to the System
Despite the jitters around the financial sector major indices all turned in positive performances this week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.4% in Friday’s session. The S&P 500 closed up 0.6%... 
Via Talk Markets
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