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The 5 Most Interesting Analyst Questions From Diebold Nixdorf’s Q1 Earnings Call

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Diebold Nixdorf’s first quarter results for 2025 were met with a positive market response, despite the company missing Wall Street’s revenue and earnings per share expectations. Management attributed the quarter’s performance to strong new order growth in both banking and retail, with particular momentum in cash recycling technology and self-service solutions. CEO Octavio Marquez highlighted that product orders grew 36% year-over-year, driven by increased adoption in major geographies and robust demand for automation. The company also pointed to improved gross margins, citing operational efficiency and a leaner cost structure as key contributors.

Is now the time to buy DBD? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $841.1 million vs analyst estimates of $845.8 million (6.1% year-on-year decline, 0.6% miss)
  • EPS (GAAP): -$0.22 vs analyst estimates of $0.14 (significant miss)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $87.3 million vs analyst estimates of $85.33 million (10.4% margin, 2.3% beat)
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $480 million at the midpoint, in line with analyst expectations
  • Operating Margin: 3.5%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $2.24 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions Diebold Nixdorf’s Q1 Earnings Call

  • Matt Bryson (Wedbush): Asked about the drivers of broad-based backlog growth. CEO Octavio Marquez cited healthy banking demand for cash recyclers, improved retail self-service activity, and no customer acceleration due to tariff concerns.

  • Matt Bryson (Wedbush): Inquired whether tariffs led to order acceleration. CFO Tom Timko clarified that tariff announcements came after the quarter and had no direct impact on Q1 orders.

  • Matt Bryson (Wedbush): Questioned foreign exchange expenses and their impact on GAAP results. Timko explained these were non-cash, driven by intercompany loans, and had no operational effect.

  • Matt Somerville (DA Davidson): Sought details on banking order growth by region and recycling adoption cycle. Marquez described growth in all major regions and significant runway for ATM upgrades.

  • Justin Ages (CJS Securities): Asked about working capital improvements and capital allocation. Marquez and Timko provided detail on inventory discipline, accounts payable management, and the focus on share repurchases as excess cash is generated.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In future quarters, the StockStory team will be watching (1) the pace of large banking automation deployments and the rollout of new self-service solutions with North American retailers, (2) the effectiveness of tariff mitigation strategies and any resulting impact on margins, and (3) improvements in free cash flow generation and execution of the share repurchase program. Progress in converting pilot programs to recurring contracts and maintaining operational discipline will also be closely monitored.

Diebold Nixdorf currently trades at $60.21, up from $45.38 just before the earnings. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free).

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