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State Auto Financial Reports Fourth Quarter and Year End 2019 Results

State Auto Financial Corporation (NASDAQ:STFC) today reported fourth quarter 2019 net income of $32.7 million, or $0.72 per diluted share versus a net loss of $24.5 million, or $0.57 per diluted share, for the same 2018 period. Net income from operations1 per diluted share for the fourth quarter of 2019 was $0.29 versus $0.67 for the same 2018 period.

For the year ended 2019, STFC had net income of $87.4 million, or $1.96 per diluted share, compared to net income of $12.8 million, or $0.29 per diluted share, for the same 2018 period. Net income from operations1 per diluted share for the year ended 2019 was $0.63 versus $1.20 for the same 2018 period.

GAAP Operating Results

STFC’s GAAP combined ratio for the fourth quarter 2019 was 100.4 compared to 94.6 for the same 2018 period. Catastrophe losses during the fourth quarter 2019 accounted for 7.7 points of the 64.2 total loss ratio points, or $24.8 million, versus 2.6 points of the total 56.8 loss ratio points, or $8.1 million, for the same period in 2018. Fourth quarter catastrophe losses included $6.6 million, or 2.1 loss ratio points, of adverse development relating to prior years from Hurricanes Irma and Harvey from the specialty run-off business. Non-catastrophe losses and ALAE during the fourth quarter 2019 included 5.7 points of favorable development relating to prior years, or $18.3 million, versus 7.9 points of favorable development, or $24.4 million, for the same period in 2018.

STFC’s GAAP combined ratio for the year ended 2019 was 102.7 compared to 100.6 for the same 2018 period. Catastrophe losses for the year ended 2019 accounted for 8.0 points of the 67.4 total loss ratio points, or $100.5 million, versus 5.8 points, or $71.7 million for the same period in 2018. Non-catastrophe losses and ALAE for the year ended 2019 included 5.8 points of favorable development relating to prior years, or $72.4 million, versus 6.2 points of favorable development, or $76.6 million, for the same period in 2018.

SAP Personal and Commercial Operating Results

The exit from our specialty insurance business resulted in the elimination of specialty insurance as a reportable segment as we stopped writing this business on a net basis in 2018. Specialty results, labeled as "specialty run-off," are included in the SAP Insurance Segment Results tables below to enable reconciliation to total underwriting results.

Net written premium for the fourth quarter 2019 increased 9.0% compared to the same period in 2018. By segment, net written premium for personal and commercial increased 6.8% and 12.6%, respectively. The increase in the personal segment was primarily due to new business growth and rate increases in homeowners and other personal. Personal auto net written premium declined as a result of lower new business and retention. The increase in the commercial segment was led by new business growth in commercial auto, middle market commercial and small commercial package. Workers' compensation net written premium declined due to continued intense competition in this market.

Net written premium for the year ended 2019 increased 10.2% compared to the same period in 2018. By insurance segment, net written premium for the personal and commercial segments increased 9.1% and 12.0%, respectively. The trends in the personal and commercial segments' net written premium were due to the same factors discussed above for the fourth quarter.

The SAP personal and commercial segments' combined ratio for the fourth quarter 2019 was 97.1 compared to 92.8 for the same 2018 period. Catastrophe losses during the fourth quarter 2019 accounted for 5.6 points of the total 61.9 loss ratio points, or $18.2 million, versus 2.3 points of the total 54.8 loss ratio points, or $6.9 million, for the same period in 2018. Non-catastrophe losses and ALAE during the fourth quarter 2019 included 6.1 points of favorable development relating to prior years, or $19.6 million, versus 7.8 points of favorable development, or $23.3 million, for the same period in 2018.

The SAP personal and commercial segments' combined ratio for the year ended 2019 was 101.2 compared to 98.6 for the same 2018 period. Catastrophe losses for the year ended 2019 accounted for 7.2 points of the total 66.8 loss ratio points, or $89.9 million, versus 6.2 points of the total 63.0 loss ratio points, or $70.3 million for the same period in 2018. Non-catastrophe losses and ALAE for the year ended 2019 included 5.7 points of favorable development relating to prior years, or $71.3 million, versus 7.0 points of favorable development, or $79.7 million, for the same period in 2018.

Book Value and Return on Equity

STFC’s book value increased to $22.01 per share as of Dec. 31, 2019, compared to $21.68 on Sept. 30, 2019. The increase was driven by the market value of our investment portfolio.

Return on stockholders’ equity for the 12 months ended December 31, 2019, was 9.8% compared to 1.5% for the 12 months ended December 31, 2018.

STFC’s Chairman, President and CEO Mike LaRocco commented on the quarter and year as follows:

“Our fourth quarter and year ended 2019 results reflected the challenges we faced during the year in addition to the considerable progress we made toward more consistent profitable performance. While our personal and commercial lines’ 101.2% SAP combined ratio and 10.2% net written premium growth for 2019 didn’t meet our expectations, we made important, significant progress in several areas including surpassing $2.0 billion in net written premium for the State Auto Group which includes all Pooled Companies.

“The lack of an underwriting profit was driven primarily by our personal lines business, where we identified and have closed product and technology gaps, mainly in our auto line. Higher weather losses also significantly impacted our property results. Our homeowners business grew nearly 20% in 2019, a testament to the powerful combination of our digital technology and new product design.

“2019 was an outstanding year for our commercial lines business, which was profitable with a SAP combined ratio of 97.0 and produced 12.0% net written premium growth. This was a remarkable achievement, the result of two years of rebuilding our commercial lines teams and products. At the same time, work continued toward 2020 launches of farm and ranch and middle market commercial on our digital-only platform, State Auto Connect.

“The foundation we’ve built remains strong. We enter 2020 with the products, pricing, technology and agent partners that will drive our success, and the State Auto team has the creativity, passion and persistence needed to win.”

About State Auto Financial Corporation

State Auto Financial Corporation, headquartered in Columbus, Ohio, is a super regional property and casualty insurance holding company. STFC stock is traded on the NASDAQ Global Select Market, which represents the top fourth of all NASDAQ listed companies.

The insurance subsidiaries of State Auto Financial Corporation are part of the State Auto Group. The State Auto Group markets its insurance products throughout the United States, through independent insurance agencies, which include retail agencies and wholesale brokers. The State Auto Group is rated A- (Excellent) by the A.M. Best Company and includes State Automobile Mutual, State Auto Property & Casualty, State Auto Ohio, State Auto Wisconsin, Milbank, Meridian Security, Patrons Mutual, Rockhill Insurance, Plaza Insurance, American Compensation and Bloomington Compensation. Additional information on State Auto Financial Corporation and the State Auto Insurance Companies can be found online at http://www.StateAuto.com/STFC.

1 Net earnings (loss) from operations, a non-GAAP financial measure which management believes is informative to Company management and investors, differs from GAAP net income (loss) only by the exclusion of net investment gain (loss), net of applicable taxes, on investment activity for the periods being reported. For STFC, this amounted to income of $0.43 per diluted share and $1.33 per diluted share for the fourth quarter and year ended Dec. 31, 2019, respectively, versus a loss of $1.25 per diluted share and $0.91 per diluted share for the fourth quarter and year ended Dec. 31, 2018, respectively.

2 Insurance industry regulators require STFC’s insurance subsidiaries to report their financial condition and results of operations using Statutory Accounting Practices ("SAP"). The SAP personal and commercial segments' combined ratio is a measure used by management to evaluate STFC’s operating performance for its ongoing operations.

STFC has scheduled a conference call with interested investors for Thursday, Feb. 20, at 11 a.m. ET to discuss the Company’s fourth quarter 2019 performance. Live and archived broadcasts of the call can be accessed at http://www.StateAuto.com/STFC. A replay of the call can be heard beginning at 2 p.m., Feb. 20, by calling 855-859-2056, conference ID 9569194. Supplemental schedules detailing the Company’s fourth quarter 2019 financial, sales and underwriting results are made available on http://www.StateAuto.com/STFC prior to the conference call.

Except for historical information, all other information in this news release consists of forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected, anticipated or implied. The most significant of these uncertainties are described in State Auto Financial's Form 10-K and Form 10-Q reports and exhibits to those reports, and include (but are not limited to) legislative changes at both the state and federal level, state and federal regulatory rule making promulgations and adjudications, class action litigation involving the insurance industry and judicial decisions affecting claims, policy coverages and the general costs of doing business, the impact of competition on products and pricing, inflation in the costs of the products and services insurance pays for, product development, geographic spread of risk, weather and weather-related events, and other types of catastrophic events. State Auto Financial undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements.

Selected Consolidated Financial Data

Three months ended December 31

Year ended December 31

2019

2018

2019

2018

Net written premiums

$

323.6

$

297.6

$

1,318.1

$

1,210.3

Earned premiums

323.0

308.8

1,253.0

1,238.0

Net investment income

20.0

22.7

80.4

84.9

Net investment gain (loss)

24.0

(67.9

)

74.2

(49.7

)

Other income from affiliates

0.8

0.8

2.4

2.6

Total revenue

367.8

264.4

1,410.0

1,275.8

Income (loss) before federal income taxes

40.3

(32.5

)

107.0

12.9

Federal income tax expense (benefit)

7.6

(8.0

)

19.6

0.1

Net income (loss)

$

32.7

$

(24.5

)

$

87.4

$

12.8

Earnings (loss) per common share:

- basic

$

0.75

$

(0.57

)

$

2.01

$

0.30

- diluted

$

0.72

$

(0.57

)

$

1.96

$

0.29

Earnings (loss) per share from operations (A):

- basic

$

0.31

$

0.68

$

0.66

$

1.21

- diluted

$

0.29

$

0.67

$

0.63

$

1.20

Weighted average shares outstanding:

- basic

43.6

43.1

43.4

42.9

- diluted

44.0

43.1

44.0

43.4

Return on average equity (LTM)

9.8

%

1.5

%

Book value per share

$

22.01

$

18.91

Dividends paid per share

$

0.10

$

0.10

$

0.40

$

0.40

Total shares outstanding

43.6

43.2

GAAP ratios:

Cat loss and ALAE ratio

7.7

2.6

8.0

5.8

Non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

56.5

54.2

59.4

58.5

Loss and LAE ratio

64.2

56.8

67.4

64.3

Expense ratio

36.2

37.8

35.3

36.3

Combined ratio

100.4

94.6

102.7

100.6

(A)Reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measure:

Net income from operations

Net income (loss)

$

32.7

$

(24.5

)

$

87.4

$

12.8

Net investment gain (loss), net of tax

19.0

(53.6

)

58.7

(39.3

)

Net income from operations

$

13.7

$

29.1

$

28.7

$

52.1

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

($ and shares in millions, except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

December 31

December 31

2019

2018

ASSETS

Fixed maturities, available-for-sale, at fair value (amortized cost $2,080.0 and $2,188.2, respectively)

$

2,127.9

$

2,159.5

Equity securities

395.2

315.0

Other invested assets

69.7

48.8

Other invested assets, at cost

6.5

5.6

Notes receivable from affiliate

70.0

70.0

Total investments

2,669.3

2,598.9

Cash and cash equivalents

78.0

59.8

Accrued investment income and other assets

31.7

32.4

Deferred policy acquisition costs

111.1

101.9

Reinsurance recoverable on losses and loss expenses payable

13.6

5.5

Prepaid reinsurance premiums

7.5

6.6

Due from affiliate

21.5

Current federal income taxes

6.3

5.9

Net deferred federal income taxes

42.2

77.8

Property and equipment, net

4.2

7.1

Total assets

$

2,985.4

$

2,895.9

LIABILITIES

Losses and loss expenses payable

$

1,066.5

$

1,146.8

Unearned premiums

649.2

584.2

Notes payable (affiliates $15.2 and $15.2, respectively)

122.0

122.0

Pension and postretirement benefits

72.9

83.0

Due to affiliate

22.4

Other liabilities

114.9

119.0

Total liabilities

2,025.5

2,077.4

STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY

Common stock, without par value. Authorized 100.0 shares; 50.4 and 50.0 shares issued, respectively, at stated value of $2.50 per share

125.9

125.0

Treasury stock, 6.9 and 6.8 shares, respectively, at cost

(117.5

)

(117.0

)

Additional paid-in capital

206.7

194.2

Accumulated other comprehensive loss

(37.9

)

(96.4

)

Retained earnings

782.7

712.7

Total stockholders’ equity

959.9

818.5

Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity

$

2,985.4

$

2,895.9

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income

($ in millions, except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

Three months ended December 31

Year ended December 31

2019

2018

2019

2018

Earned premiums

$

323.0

$

308.8

$

1,253.0

$

1,238.0

Net investment income

20.0

22.7

80.4

84.9

Net investment gain (loss)

24.0

(67.9

)

74.2

(49.7

)

Other income from affiliates

0.8

0.8

2.4

2.6

Total revenues

367.8

264.4

1,410.0

1,275.8

Losses and loss expenses

207.2

175.3

844.8

796.4

Acquisition and operating expenses

116.8

116.8

442.0

449.8

Interest expense

1.2

1.2

4.9

5.7

Other expenses

2.3

3.6

11.3

11.0

Total expenses

327.5

296.9

1,303.0

1,262.9

Income (loss) before federal income taxes

40.3

(32.5

)

107.0

12.9

Federal income tax expense (benefit):

Current

(0.4

)

(1.1

)

Deferred

7.6

(8.0

)

20.0

1.2

Federal income tax expense (benefit)

7.6

(8.0

)

19.6

0.1

Net income (loss)

$

32.7

$

(24.5

)

$

87.4

$

12.8

Earnings (loss) per common share:

Basic

$

0.75

$

(0.57

)

$

2.01

$

0.30

Diluted

$

0.72

$

(0.57

)

$

1.96

$

0.29

Dividends paid per common share

$

0.10

$

0.10

$

0.40

$

0.40

Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income

($ in millions)

(unaudited)

Three months ended December 31

Year ended December 31

2019

2018

2019

2018

Net income (loss)

$

32.7

$

(24.5

)

$

87.4

$

12.8

Other comprehensive (loss) income, net of tax:

Net unrealized holding (loss) gain on available-for-sale investments:

Unrealized holding (loss) gain

(11.6

)

15.2

80.2

(46.4

)

Reclassification adjustments for gains realized in net income

(0.7

)

(0.3

)

(3.5

)

(2.0

)

Income tax benefit (expense)

2.6

(3.2

)

(16.1

)

10.1

Total net unrealized holding (loss) gain on available- for-sale investments

(9.7

)

11.7

60.6

(38.3

)

Net unrecognized benefit plan obligations:

Net actuarial loss arising during the period

(5.9

)

(4.3

)

(5.9

)

(4.3

)

Reclassification adjustments for amortization to statement of income:

Prior service credit

(1.5

)

(1.5

)

(6.3

)

(6.3

)

Net actuarial loss

2.4

3.3

9.6

13.2

Income tax expense (benefit)

1.0

0.5

0.5

(0.6

)

Total net unrecognized benefit plan obligations

(4.0

)

(2.0

)

(2.1

)

2.0

Other comprehensive (loss) income

(13.7

)

9.7

58.5

(36.3

)

Comprehensive income (loss)

$

19.0

$

(14.8

)

$

145.9

$

(23.5

)

Condensed Consolidated Statement of Stockholders' Equity

($ and shares in millions)

(unaudited)

Year Ended

Year Ended

December 31

December 31

2019

2018

Common shares:

Balance at beginning of year

50.0

49.2

Issuance of shares

0.4

0.8

Balance at end of year

50.4

50.0

Treasury shares:

Balance at beginning of year

(6.8

)

(6.8

)

Issuance of shares

(0.1

)

Balance at beginning of year and year ended

(6.9

)

(6.8

)

Common stock:

Balance at beginning of year

$

125.0

$

123.0

Issuance of shares

0.9

2.0

Balance at end of year

125.9

125.0

Treasury stock:

Balance at beginning of year

$

(117.0

)

$

(116.8

)

Shares acquired on stock award exercises

(0.5

)

(0.2

)

Balance at end of year

(117.5

)

(117.0

)

Additional paid-in capital:

Balance at beginning of year

$

194.2

$

171.8

Issuance of common stock

5.1

13.3

Stock awards granted

7.4

9.1

Balance at end of year

206.7

194.2

Accumulated other comprehensive loss:

Balance at beginning of year

$

(96.4

)

$

3.8

Cumulative effect of change in accounting for equity securities and other invested assets and reclassification of stranded tax effects as of January 1, 2018

(63.9

)

Change in unrealized gain (loss) on available-for-sale investments, net of tax

60.6

(38.3

)

Change in unrecognized benefit plan obligations, net of tax

(2.1

)

2.0

Balance at end of year

(37.9

)

(96.4

)

Retained earnings:

Balance at beginning of year

$

712.7

$

653.2

Cumulative effect of change in accounting for equity securities and other invested assets and reclassification of stranded tax effects as of January 1, 2018

63.9

Net income

87.4

12.8

Dividends declared (affiliates $10.4 and $10.4, respectively)

(17.4

)

(17.2

)

Balance at end of year

782.7

712.7

Total stockholders’ equity at end of year

$

959.9

$

818.5

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flow

($ millions)

(unaudited)

Year ended December 31

2019

2018

Cash flows from operating activities:

Net income

$

87.4

$

12.8

Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash used in operating activities:

Depreciation and amortization, net

9.4

8.9

Share-based compensation

6.1

11.1

Net investment (gain) loss

(74.2

)

49.7

Changes in operating assets and liabilities:

Deferred policy acquisition costs

(9.2

)

8.4

Accrued investment income and other assets

0.7

3.9

Postretirement and pension benefits

(14.5

)

(16.9

)

Reinsurance recoverable on losses and loss expenses payable and prepaid reinsurance premiums

(9.0

)

(2.6

)

Other liabilities and due to/from affiliate, net

(44.9

)

47.6

Losses and loss expenses payable

(80.3

)

(108.8

)

Unearned premiums

65.0

(27.6

)

Deferred tax expense on share-based awards

(0.9

)

0.9

Federal income taxes

20.5

(0.8

)

Net cash used in operating activities

(43.9

)

(13.4

)

Cash flows from investing activities:

Purchases of fixed maturities available-for-sale

(592.6

)

(349.6

)

Purchases of equity securities available-for-sale

(63.4

)

(91.4

)

Purchases of other invested assets

(13.3

)

(1.8

)

Maturities, calls and principal reductions of fixed maturities available-for-sale

386.3

229.8

Sales of fixed maturities available-for-sale

308.8

98.0

Sales of equity securities available-for-sale

45.4

97.8

Sales of other invested assets available-for-sale

1.3

1.2

Net sales of property and equipment

1.6

Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities

74.1

(16.0

)

Cash flows from financing activities:

Proceeds from issuance of common stock

5.9

15.4

Payments to acquire treasury shares

(0.5

)

(0.2

)

Payment of dividends

(17.4

)

(17.1

)

Payment of credit facility issue costs

(0.4

)

Net cash used in financing activities

(12.0

)

(2.3

)

Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents

18.2

(31.7

)

Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period

59.8

91.5

Cash and cash equivalents at end of period

$

78.0

$

59.8

Supplemental disclosures:

Interest paid (affiliates $1.1 and $1.0, respectively)

$

4.8

$

5.7

Net Investment Income

($ in millions)

unaudited

12/31/2018

3/31/2019

6/30/2019

9/30/2019

12/31/2019

Quarter to Date

Gross investment income:

Fixed maturities

$

15.0

$

15.4

$

14.7

$

14.4

$

13.9

TIPS

0.9

(0.3

)

2.6

0.9

0.7

Total fixed maturities

15.9

15.1

17.3

15.3

14.6

Equity securities

4.8

2.8

3.1

3.0

4.3

Other

2.0

1.7

1.4

1.1

1.3

Total gross investment income

22.7

19.6

21.8

19.4

20.2

Less: Investment expenses

0.2

0.1

0.1

0.2

Net investment income

$

22.7

$

19.4

$

21.7

$

19.3

$

20.0

Year to Date

Gross investment income:

Fixed maturities

$

60.0

$

15.4

$

30.1

$

44.5

$

58.4

TIPS

5.3

(0.3

)

2.3

3.2

3.9

Total fixed maturities

65.3

15.1

32.4

47.7

62.3

Equity securities

13.4

2.8

5.9

8.9

13.2

Other

7.2

1.7

3.1

4.2

5.5

Total gross investment income

85.9

19.6

41.4

60.8

81.0

Less: Investment expenses

1.0

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.6

Net investment income

$

84.9

$

19.4

$

41.1

$

60.4

$

80.4

12/31/2018

3/31/2019

6/30/2019

9/30/2019

12/31/2019

TIPS, fair value

$

142.3

$

147.0

$

145.2

$

135.3

$

135.6

TIPS, book value

$

141.2

$

140.5

$

137.4

$

125.9

$

126.2

Net Investment Gain (Loss)

($ millions)

Three months ended
December 31

Twelve months ended
December 31

2019

2018

2019

2018

Investment gain (loss), net:

Fixed maturities:

Realized gains on sales of securities

$

0.7

$

0.3

$

3.5

$

2.0

Net gains on fixed maturities

0.7

0.3

3.5

2.0

Equity securities:

Realized gains (losses) on sales of securities, net

0.7

0.3

(1.8

)

5.7

Unrealized gain (loss) on securities still held, net

17.5

(62.5

)

63.9

(49.7

)

Net gain (loss) on equity securities

18.2

(62.2

)

62.1

(44.0

)

Other invested assets:

Unrealized gain (loss) on securities still held, net

5.1

(6.0

)

9.9

(7.7

)

Net gain (loss) on other invested assets

5.1

(6.0

)

9.9

(7.7

)

Other net realized loss

(1.3

)

Net gain (loss) on investments

$

24.0

$

(67.9

)

$

74.2

$

(49.7

)

Income Taxes

($ in millions)

unaudited

The following table sets forth the tax effects of temporary differences that give rise to significant portions of deferred tax assets and deferred tax liabilities:

December 31

2019

2018

Deferred tax assets:

Unearned premiums not currently deductible

$

27.0

$

24.3

Losses and loss expenses payable discounting

10.6

11.2

Postretirement and pension benefits

20.0

21.4

Investments

8.9

Other liabilities

13.4

14.8

Net operating loss carryforward

12.1

15.1

Tax credit carryforwards

2.5

2.7

Other

1.1

0.8

Total deferred tax assets

86.7

99.2

Deferred tax liabilities:

Deferral of policy acquisition costs

23.3

21.4

Investments

21.2

Total deferred tax liabilities

44.5

21.4

Net deferred federal income taxes

$

42.2

$

77.8

($ in millions)

Three months ended December 31, 2019

Personal Auto

Homeowners

Other Personal

Total

Net written premiums

$

99.7

$

84.6

$

12.9

$

197.2

Net earned premiums

106.2

79.8

10.7

196.7

Losses and LAE incurred:

Cat loss and ALAE

0.6

12.3

1.0

13.9

Non-cat loss and ALAE

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE

0.3

(0.2

)

(0.2

)

(0.1

)

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE

77.0

32.3

3.4

112.7

Total non-cat loss and ALAE

77.3

32.1

3.2

112.6

Total Loss and ALAE

77.9

44.4

4.2

126.5

ULAE

7.9

4.8

0.3

13.0

Total Loss and LAE

85.8

49.2

4.5

139.5

Underwriting expenses

33.2

27.7

4.1

65.0

Net underwriting (loss) gain

$

(12.8

)

$

2.9

$

2.1

$

(7.8

)

Cat loss and ALAE ratio

0.6

%

15.5

%

8.6

%

7.1

%

Non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

0.3

%

(0.4

)%

(1.7

)%

(0.1

)%

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

72.6

%

40.5

%

32.0

%

57.3

%

Total non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

72.9

%

40.1

%

30.3

%

57.2

%

Total Loss and ALAE ratio

73.5

%

55.6

%

38.9

%

64.3

%

ULAE ratio

7.4

%

6.1

%

2.7

%

6.7

%

Total Loss and LAE ratio

80.9

%

61.7

%

41.6

%

71.0

%

Expense ratio

33.2

%

32.7

%

32.1

%

32.9

%

Combined ratio

114.1

%

94.4

%

73.7

%

103.9

%

($ in millions)

Three months ended December 31, 2018

Personal Auto

Homeowners

Other Personal

Total

Net written premiums

$

106.0

$

70.1

$

8.5

$

184.6

Net earned premiums

105.9

66.8

7.0

179.7

Losses and LAE incurred:

Cat loss and ALAE

0.1

3.2

0.3

3.6

Non-cat loss and ALAE

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE

(5.9

)

(0.1

)

(6.0

)

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE

72.2

24.7

4.2

101.1

Total non-cat loss and ALAE

66.3

24.6

4.2

95.1

Total Loss and ALAE

66.4

27.8

4.5

98.7

ULAE

7.2

3.7

0.2

11.1

Total Loss and LAE

73.6

31.5

4.7

109.8

Underwriting expenses

33.2

25.7

3.1

62.0

Net underwriting (loss) gain

$

(0.9

)

$

9.6

$

(0.8

)

$

7.9

Cat loss and ALAE ratio

0.1

%

4.8

%

5.5

%

2.0

%

Non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

(5.6

)%

(0.2

)%

0.2

%

(3.3

)%

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

68.1

%

37.1

%

59.3

%

56.3

%

Total non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

62.5

%

36.9

%

59.5

%

53.0

%

Total Loss and ALAE ratio

62.6

%

41.7

%

65.0

%

55.0

%

ULAE ratio

6.8

%

5.5

%

2.4

%

6.1

%

Total Loss and LAE ratio

69.4

%

47.2

%

67.4

%

61.1

%

Expense ratio

31.3

%

36.7

%

36.4

%

33.6

%

Combined ratio

100.7

%

83.9

%

103.8

%

94.7

%

($ in millions)

Twelve months ended December 31, 2019

Personal Auto

Homeowners

Other Personal

Total

Net written premiums

$

424.5

$

326.0

$

41.9

$

792.4

Net earned premiums

428.3

295.9

35.0

759.2

Losses and LAE incurred:

Cat loss and ALAE

6.0

60.1

5.0

71.1

Non-cat loss and ALAE

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE

(10.7

)

0.3

(2.1

)

(12.5

)

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE

284.8

142.7

16.1

443.6

Total non-cat loss and ALAE

274.1

143.0

14.0

431.1

Total Loss and ALAE

280.1

203.1

19.0

502.2

ULAE

30.1

19.9

1.2

51.2

Total Loss and LAE

310.2

223.0

20.2

553.4

Underwriting expenses

129.9

102.5

13.2

245.6

Net underwriting (loss) gain

$

(11.8

)

$

(29.6

)

$

1.6

$

(39.8

)

Cat loss and ALAE ratio

1.4

%

20.3

%

14.1

%

9.4

%

Non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

(2.5

)%

0.1

%

(5.9

)%

(1.7

)%

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

66.5

%

48.2

%

45.9

%

58.5

%

Total non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

64.0

%

48.3

%

40.0

%

56.8

%

Total Loss and ALAE ratio

65.4

%

68.6

%

54.1

%

66.2

%

ULAE ratio

7.0

%

6.8

%

3.4

%

6.7

%

Total Loss and LAE ratio

72.4

%

75.4

%

57.5

%

72.9

%

Expense ratio

30.6

%

31.4

%

31.6

%

31.0

%

Combined ratio

103.0

%

106.8

%

89.1

%

103.9

%

($ in millions)

Twelve months ended December 31, 2018

Personal Auto

Homeowners

Other Personal

Total

Net written premiums

$

424.8

$

273.1

$

28.6

$

726.5

Net earned premiums

402.0

248.8

23.1

673.9

Losses and LAE incurred:

Cat loss and ALAE

4.9

41.3

2.5

48.7

Non-cat loss and ALAE

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE

(24.4

)

(7.3

)

(1.1

)

(32.8

)

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE

265.8

106.6

12.2

384.6

Total non-cat loss and ALAE

241.4

99.3

11.1

351.8

Total Loss and ALAE

246.3

140.6

13.6

400.5

ULAE

24.9

16.1

0.8

41.8

Total Loss and LAE

271.2

156.7

14.4

442.3

Underwriting expenses

126.1

91.6

10.6

228.3

Net underwriting gain (loss)

$

4.7

$

0.5

$

(1.9

)

$

3.3

Cat loss and ALAE ratio

1.2

%

16.6

%

11.0

%

7.2

%

Non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

(6.1

)%

(2.9

)%

(4.9

)%

(4.9

)%

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

66.1

%

42.9

%

52.8

%

57.1

%

Total non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

60.0

%

40.0

%

47.9

%

52.2

%

Total Loss and ALAE ratio

61.2

%

56.6

%

58.9

%

59.4

%

ULAE ratio

6.2

%

6.4

%

3.3

%

6.2

%

Total Loss and LAE ratio

67.4

%

63.0

%

62.2

%

65.6

%

Expense ratio

29.7

%

33.6

%

36.9

%

31.4

%

Combined ratio

97.1

%

96.6

%

99.1

%

97.0

%

SAP Commercial Insurance Segment Results

(unaudited)

($ in millions)

Three months ended
December 31, 2019

Commercial
Auto

Small
Commercial
Package

Middle
Market
Commercial

Workers'
Comp

Farm &
Ranch

Other
Commercial

Total

Net written premiums

$

28.1

$

30.4

$

34.1

$

17.9

$

12.6

$

4.5

$

127.6

Net earned premiums

26.1

30.3

36.2

17.9

12.3

4.5

127.3

Losses and LAE incurred:

Cat loss and ALAE

0.1

1.8

2.5

(0.1

)

4.3

Non-cat loss and ALAE

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE

(1.1

)

(3.4

)

(4.6

)

(7.5

)

(1.1

)

(1.8

)

(19.5

)

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE

16.7

12.7

21.3

12.1

5.2

2.6

70.6

Total non-cat loss and ALAE

15.6

9.3

16.7

4.6

4.1

0.8

51.1

Total Loss and ALAE

15.7

11.1

19.2

4.6

4.0

0.8

55.4

ULAE

1.5

0.9

1.3

1.5

0.3

0.2

5.7

Total Loss and LAE

17.2

12.0

20.5

6.1

4.3

1.0

61.1

Underwriting expenses

10.3

11.2

13.8

7.0

5.3

1.6

49.2

Net underwriting (loss) gain

$

(1.4

)

$

7.1

$

1.9

$

4.8

$

2.7

$

1.9

$

17.0

Cat loss and ALAE ratio

0.3

%

5.8

%

7.0

%

%

(0.8

)%

%

3.4

%

Non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

(4.1

)%

(11.3

)%

(12.6

)%

(42.5

)%

(8.5

)%

(40.1

)%

(15.3

)%

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

64.2

%

42.1

%

58.6

%

68.0

%

42.1

%

55.8

%

55.4

%

Total non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

60.1

%

30.8

%

46.0

%

25.5

%

33.6

%

15.7

%

40.1

%

Total Loss and ALAE ratio

60.4

%

36.6

%

53.0

%

25.5

%

32.8

%

15.7

%

43.5

%

ULAE ratio

5.5

%

3.0

%

3.7

%

8.3

%

2.5

%

3.3

%

4.4

%

Total Loss and LAE ratio

65.9

%

39.6

%

56.7

%

33.8

%

35.3

%

19.0

%

47.9

%

Expense ratio

36.6

%

37.0

%

40.4

%

38.8

%

42.1

%

38.5

%

38.6

%

Combined ratio

102.5

%

76.6

%

97.1

%

72.6

%

77.4

%

57.5

%

86.5

%

($ in millions)

Three months ended
December 31, 2018

Commercial
Auto

Small
Commercial
Package

Middle
Market
Commercial

Workers'
Comp

Farm &
Ranch

Other
Commercial

Total

Net written premiums

$

18.0

$

28.1

$

28.7

$

22.9

$

11.9

$

3.7

$

113.3

Net earned premiums

19.2

29.7

30.1

24.0

11.6

4.0

118.6

Losses and LAE incurred:

Cat loss and ALAE

0.9

1.4

0.9

0.1

3.3

Non-cat loss and ALAE

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE

(2.7

)

(3.1

)

(5.1

)

(4.9

)

(0.5

)

(1.0

)

(17.3

)

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE

12.4

13.5

15.6

13.2

5.0

2.2

61.9

Total non-cat loss and ALAE

9.7

10.4

10.5

8.3

4.5

1.2

44.6

Total Loss and ALAE

9.7

11.3

11.9

8.3

5.4

1.3

47.9

ULAE

1.0

1.4

1.0

1.6

0.5

0.3

5.8

Total Loss and LAE

10.7

12.7

12.9

9.9

5.9

1.6

53.7

Underwriting expenses

9.4

13.2

13.4

7.3

5.6

2.1

51.0

Net underwriting (loss) gain

$

(0.9

)

$

3.8

$

3.8

$

6.8

$

0.1

$

0.3

$

13.9

Cat loss and ALAE ratio

%

3.0

%

4.7

%

%

7.3

%

3.6

%

2.8

%

Non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

(14.4

)%

(10.4

)%

(16.9

)%

(20.2

)%

(4.8

)%

(25.0

)%

(14.6

)%

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

64.7

%

45.4

%

51.7

%

55.0

%

43.7

%

55.5

%

52.2

%

Total non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

50.3

%

35.0

%

34.8

%

34.8

%

38.9

%

30.5

%

37.6

%

Total Loss and ALAE ratio

50.3

%

38.0

%

39.5

%

34.8

%

46.2

%

34.1

%

40.4

%

ULAE ratio

5.1

%

4.8

%

3.4

%

6.6

%

4.0

%

6.7

%

4.9

%

Total Loss and LAE ratio

55.4

%

42.8

%

42.9

%

41.4

%

50.2

%

40.8

%

45.3

%

Expense ratio

52.3

%

46.8

%

46.6

%

32.2

%

47.6

%

57.2

%

45.1

%

Combined ratio

107.7

%

89.6

%

89.5

%

73.6

%

97.8

%

98.0

%

90.4

%

($ in millions)

Twelve months ended
December 31, 2019

Commercial
Auto

Small
Commercial
Package

Middle
Market
Commercial

Workers'
Comp

Farm &
Ranch

Other
Commercial

Total

Net written premiums

$

109.5

$

122.4

$

149.2

$

76.7

$

50.0

$

18.6

$

526.4

Net earned premiums

91.4

119.2

134.3

78.2

48.5

17.1

488.7

Losses and LAE incurred:

Cat loss and ALAE

0.3

7.9

8.2

2.4

18.8

Non-cat loss and ALAE

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE

(4.7

)

(15.2

)

(11.8

)

(20.9

)

(3.0

)

(3.2

)

(58.8

)

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE

57.9

64.0

83.5

54.4

23.2

10.3

293.3

Total non-cat loss and ALAE

53.2

48.8

71.7

33.5

20.2

7.1

234.5

Total Loss and ALAE

53.5

56.7

79.9

33.5

22.6

7.1

253.3

ULAE

5.7

5.7

6.3

6.9

1.8

0.7

27.1

Total Loss and LAE

59.2

62.4

86.2

40.4

24.4

7.8

280.4

Underwriting expenses

43.9

47.2

59.8

27.2

22.7

7.6

208.4

Net underwriting (loss) gain

$

(11.7

)

$

9.6

$

(11.7

)

$

10.6

$

1.4

$

1.7

$

(0.1

)

Cat loss and ALAE ratio

0.4

%

6.6

%

6.1

%

%

4.9

%

%

3.9

%

Non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

(5.1

)%

(12.8

)%

(8.8

)%

(26.8

)%

(6.0

)%

(18.8

)%

(12.0

)%

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

63.3

%

53.8

%

62.2

%

69.7

%

47.8

%

60.1

%

60.0

%

Total non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

58.2

%

41.0

%

53.4

%

42.9

%

41.8

%

41.3

%

48.0

%

Total Loss and ALAE ratio

58.6

%

47.6

%

59.5

%

42.9

%

46.7

%

41.3

%

51.9

%

ULAE ratio

6.2

%

4.8

%

4.7

%

8.8

%

3.7

%

4.1

%

5.5

%

Total Loss and LAE ratio

64.8

%

52.4

%

64.2

%

51.7

%

50.4

%

45.4

%

57.4

%

Expense ratio

40.1

%

38.6

%

40.1

%

35.5

%

45.4

%

40.9

%

39.6

%

Combined ratio

104.9

%

91.0

%

104.3

%

87.2

%

95.8

%

86.3

%

97.0

%

($ in millions)

Twelve months ended
December 31, 2018

Commercial
Auto

Small
Commercial
Package

Middle
Market
Commercial

Workers'
Comp

Farm &
Ranch

Other
Commercial

Total

Net written premiums

$

77.1

$

119.2

$

121.3

$

89.0

$

46.8

$

16.4

$

469.8

Net earned premiums

75.1

120.9

116.8

90.7

45.0

15.8

464.3

Losses and LAE incurred:

Cat loss and ALAE

0.2

10.7

7.2

3.3

0.2

21.6

Non-cat loss and ALAE

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE

(8.4

)

(9.6

)

(8.0

)

(13.3

)

(2.7

)

(4.9

)

(46.9

)

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE

47.3

68.8

71.5

56.5

22.1

8.2

274.4

Total non-cat loss and ALAE

38.9

59.2

63.5

43.2

19.4

3.3

227.5

Total Loss and ALAE

39.1

69.9

70.7

43.2

22.7

3.5

249.1

ULAE

4.2

6.2

5.6

7.2

1.8

1.1

26.1

Total Loss and LAE

43.3

76.1

76.3

50.4

24.5

4.6

275.2

Underwriting expenses

35.8

53.6

49.5

29.1

21.3

8.2

197.5

Net underwriting (loss) gain

$

(4.0

)

$

(8.8

)

$

(9.0

)

$

11.2

$

(0.8

)

$

3.0

$

(8.4

)

Cat loss and ALAE ratio

0.3

%

8.8

%

6.1

%

%

7.3

%

1.4

%

4.6

%

Non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

(11.2

)%

(7.9

)%

(6.8

)%

(14.7

)%

(6.0

)%

(31.0

)%

(10.1

)%

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

63.0

%

56.9

%

61.2

%

62.3

%

49.2

%

52.3

%

59.1

%

Total non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

51.8

%

49.0

%

54.4

%

47.6

%

43.2

%

21.3

%

49.0

%

Total Loss and ALAE ratio

52.1

%

57.8

%

60.5

%

47.6

%

50.5

%

22.7

%

53.6

%

ULAE ratio

5.6

%

5.1

%

4.8

%

7.9

%

3.9

%

6.8

%

5.6

%

Total Loss and LAE ratio

57.7

%

62.9

%

65.3

%

55.5

%

54.4

%

29.5

%

59.2

%

Expense ratio

46.5

%

44.9

%

40.8

%

32.7

%

45.6

%

50.0

%

42.0

%

Combined ratio

104.2

%

107.8

%

106.1

%

88.2

%

100.0

%

79.5

%

101.2

%

SAP Insurance Segment Results

(unaudited)

($ in millions)

Three months ended December 31, 2019

Personal &
Commercial

Specialty run-off

Total

Net written premiums

$

324.8

$

(1.2

)

$

323.6

Net earned premiums

324.0

(1.0

)

323.0

Losses and LAE incurred:

Cat loss and ALAE

18.2

6.6

24.8

Non-cat loss and ALAE

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE

(19.6

)

1.3

(18.3

)

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE

183.3

0.3

183.6

Total non-cat loss and ALAE

163.7

1.6

165.3

Total Loss and ALAE

181.9

8.2

190.1

ULAE

18.7

(1.2

)

17.5

Total Loss and LAE

200.6

7.0

207.6

Underwriting expenses

114.2

1.4

115.6

Net underwriting gain (loss)

$

9.2

$

(9.4

)

$

(0.2

)

Cat loss and ALAE ratio

5.6

%

N/M(1)

7.7

%

Non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

(6.1

)%

N/M

(5.7

)%

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

56.6

%

N/M

56.9

%

Total non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

50.5

%

N/M

51.2

%

Total Loss and ALAE ratio

56.1

%

N/M

58.9

%

ULAE ratio

5.8

%

N/M

5.4

%

Total Loss and LAE ratio

61.9

%

N/M

64.3

%

Expense ratio

35.2

%

N/M

35.7

%

Combined ratio

97.1

%

N/M

100.0

%

(1) N/M = Not Meaningful

($ in millions)

Three months ended December 31, 2018

Personal &
Commercial

Specialty run-off

Total

Net written premiums

$

297.9

$

(0.3

)

$

297.6

Net earned premiums

298.3

10.5

308.8

Losses and LAE incurred:

Cat loss and ALAE

6.9

1.2

8.1

Non-cat loss and ALAE

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE

(23.3

)

(1.1

)

(24.4

)

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE

163.0

11.2

174.2

Total non-cat loss and ALAE

139.7

10.1

149.8

Total Loss and ALAE

146.6

11.3

157.9

ULAE

16.9

1.0

17.9

Total Loss and LAE

163.5

12.3

175.8

Underwriting expenses

113.0

2.3

115.3

Net underwriting gain (loss)

$

21.8

$

(4.1

)

$

17.7

Cat loss and ALAE ratio

2.3

%

11.5

%

2.6

%

Non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

(7.8

)%

(10.1

)%

(7.9

)%

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

54.7

%

105.9

%

56.4

%

Total non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

46.9

%

95.8

%

48.5

%

Total Loss and ALAE ratio

49.2

%

107.3

%

51.1

%

ULAE ratio

5.6

%

10.5

%

5.8

%

Total Loss and LAE ratio

54.8

%

117.8

%

56.9

%

Expense ratio

38.0

%

(765.6

)%

38.7

%

Combined ratio

92.8

%

(647.8

)%

95.6

%

($ in millions)

Twelve months ended December 31, 2019

Personal &
Commercial

Specialty run-off

Total

Net written premiums

$

1,318.8

$

(0.7

)

$

1,318.1

Net earned premiums

1,247.9

5.1

1,253.0

Losses and LAE incurred:

Cat loss and ALAE

89.9

10.6

100.5

Non-cat loss and ALAE

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE

(71.3

)

(1.1

)

(72.4

)

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE

736.9

5.2

742.1

Total non-cat loss and ALAE

665.6

4.1

669.7

Total Loss and ALAE

755.5

14.7

770.2

ULAE

78.3

(2.0

)

76.3

Total Loss and LAE

833.8

12.7

846.5

Underwriting expenses

454.0

3.1

457.1

Net underwriting loss

$

(39.9

)

$

(10.7

)

$

(50.6

)

Cat loss and ALAE ratio

7.2

%

N/M

8.0

%

Non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

(5.7

)%

N/M

(5.8

)%

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

59.0

%

N/M

59.3

%

Total non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

53.3

%

N/M

53.5

%

Total Loss and ALAE ratio

60.5

%

N/M

61.5

%

ULAE ratio

6.3

%

N/M

6.1

%

Total Loss and LAE ratio

66.8

%

N/M

67.6

%

Expense ratio

34.4

%

N/M

34.7

%

Combined ratio

101.2

%

N/M

102.3

%

($ in millions)

Twelve months ended December 31, 2018

Personal &
Commercial

Specialty run-off

Total

Net written premiums

$

1,196.3

$

14.0

$

1,210.3

Net earned premiums

1,138.2

99.8

1,238.0

Losses and LAE incurred:

Cat loss and ALAE

70.3

1.4

71.7

Non-cat loss and ALAE

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE

(79.7

)

3.1

(76.6

)

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE

659.0

70.6

729.6

Total non-cat loss and ALAE

579.3

73.7

653.0

Total Loss and ALAE

649.6

75.1

724.7

ULAE

67.9

5.5

73.4

Total Loss and LAE

717.5

80.6

798.1

Underwriting expenses

425.8

18.8

444.6

Net underwriting (loss) gain

$

(5.1

)

$

0.4

$

(4.7

)

Cat loss and ALAE ratio

6.2

%

1.4

%

5.8

%

Non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

Prior accident years non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

(7.0

)%

3.1

%

(6.2

)%

Current accident year non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

57.9

%

70.8

%

58.9

%

Total non-cat loss and ALAE ratio

50.9

%

73.9

%

52.7

%

Total Loss and ALAE ratio

57.1

%

75.3

%

58.5

%

ULAE ratio

5.9

%

5.5

%

6.0

%

Total Loss and LAE ratio

63.0

%

80.8

%

64.5

%

Expense ratio

35.6

%

133.7

%

36.7

%

Combined ratio

98.6

%

214.5

%

101.2

%

The following table provides a reconciliation of our statutory underwriting results to GAAP consolidated income before federal income taxes for the fourth quarters and years ended December 31, 2019 and 2018:

($ millions)

4Q 2019

4Q 2018

YTD 2019

YTD 2018

Segment income (loss) before federal income taxes:

Insurance operations:

Personal insurance SAP underwriting (loss) gain

$

(7.8

)

$

7.9

$

(39.8

)

$

3.3

Commercial insurance SAP underwriting gain (loss)

17.0

13.9

(0.1

)

(8.4

)

Specialty run-off

(9.4

)

(4.1

)

(10.7

)

0.4

Total insurance operations

(0.2

)

17.7

(50.6

)

(4.7

)

Investment operations:

Net investment income

20.0

22.7

80.4

84.9

Net investment gain (loss)

24.0

(67.9

)

74.2

(49.7

)

Total investment operations

44.0

(45.2

)

154.6

35.2

All other segments income

0.1

0.1

0.3

0.4

Reconciling items:

GAAP adjustments

(2.6

)

(1.1

)

14.7

(3.7

)

Interest expense on corporate debt

(1.2

)

(1.2

)

(4.9

)

(5.7

)

Corporate expenses

0.2

(2.8

)

(7.1

)

(8.6

)

Total reconciling items

(3.6

)

(5.1

)

2.7

(18.0

)

Total consolidated income (loss) before federal income taxes

$

40.3

$

(32.5

)

$

107.0

$

12.9

Contacts:

Media contact: Kyle Anderson, Kyle.Anderson@StateAuto.com, 614-917-5497
Investor contact: Natalie Schoolcraft, Natalie.Schoolcraft@StateAuto.com, 614-917-4341

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