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2 Reasons to Watch CAVA and 1 to Stay Cautious

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CAVA Cover Image

CAVA’s stock price has taken a beating over the past six months, shedding 37.3% of its value and falling to $54.00 per share. This might have investors contemplating their next move.

Following the pullback, is now a good time to buy CAVA? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Does CAVA Spark Debate?

Starting from a single Washington, D.C. location, CAVA (NYSE: CAVA) operates a fast-casual restaurant chain offering customizable Mediterranean-inspired dishes.

Two Things to Like:

1. New Restaurants Opening at Breakneck Speed

A restaurant chain’s total number of dining locations often determines how much revenue it can generate.

CAVA sported 485 locations in the latest quarter. Over the last two years, it has opened new restaurants at a rapid clip by averaging 18.4% annual growth, among the fastest in the restaurant sector. This gives it a chance to become a large, scaled business over time.

When a chain opens new restaurants, it usually means it’s investing for growth because there’s healthy demand for its meals and there are markets where its concepts have few or no locations.

CAVA Operating Locations

2. Surging Same-Store Sales Show Increasing Demand

Same-store sales show the change in sales at restaurants open for at least a year. This is a key performance indicator because it measures organic growth.

CAVA has been one of the most successful restaurant chains over the last two years thanks to skyrocketing demand within its existing dining locations. On average, the company has posted exceptional year-on-year same-store sales growth of 9.2%.

CAVA Same-Store Sales Growth

One Reason to Be Careful:

Previous Growth Initiatives Have Lost Money

Growth gives us insight into a company’s long-term potential, but how capital-efficient was that growth? A company’s ROIC explains this by showing how much operating profit it makes compared to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

Although CAVA has shown solid business quality lately, it struggled to grow profitably in the past. Its five-year average ROIC was negative 1.5%, meaning management lost money while trying to expand the business.

Final Judgment

CAVA’s merits more than compensate for its flaws. With the recent decline, the stock trades at 78.7× forward P/E (or $54.00 per share). Is now the right time to buy? See for yourself in our comprehensive research report, it’s free.

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