Form 10-Q -- Period Ending 3/31/2010
Table of Contents

 

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

 

FORM 10-Q

 

 

(Mark One)

x QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2010

OR

 

¨ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the transition period from                      to                     

Commission File Number: 000-50230

 

 

ARLINGTON ASSET INVESTMENT CORP.

(Exact name of Registrant as specified in its charter)

 

 

 

Virginia   54-1873198

(State or Other Jurisdiction of

Incorporation or Organization)

 

(I.R.S. Employer

Identification No.)

1001 Nineteenth Street North

Arlington, VA

  22209
(Address of Principal Executive Offices)   (Zip Code)

(703) 373-0200

(Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code)

 

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.    Yes  x    No  ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files).    Yes  ¨    No  ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer or a smaller reporting company. See definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.

 

Large accelerated filer  ¨   Accelerated filer  x   Non-accelerated filer  ¨   Smaller reporting company  ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act):    Yes  ¨    No  x

Number of shares outstanding of each of the registrant’s classes of common stock, as of April 30, 2010:

 

Title

 

Outstanding

Class A Common Stock

  7,346,255 shares

Class B Common Stock

  566,112 shares

 

 

 


Table of Contents

ARLINGTON ASSET INVESTMENT CORP.

FORM 10-Q

FOR THE QUARTER ENDED MARCH 31, 2010

INDEX

 

          Page

PART I—FINANCIAL INFORMATION

  

Item 1.

  

Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes—(unaudited)

   3
  

Consolidated Balance Sheets—March 31, 2010 and December 31, 2009

   3
  

Consolidated Statements of Operations—Three Months Ended March 31, 2010 and 2009

   4
  

Consolidated Statements of Changes in Equity—Three Months Ended March 31, 2010 and Year Ended December 31, 2009

   5
  

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows—Three Months Ended March 31, 2010 and 2009

   6
  

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

   7

Item 2.

  

Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

   19

Item 3.

  

Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk

   27

Item 4.

  

Controls and Procedures

   30

PART II—OTHER INFORMATION

  

Item 1.

  

Legal Proceedings

   32

Item 1A.

  

Risk Factors

   32

Item 6.

  

Exhibits

   33
  

Signatures

   34

 

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Table of Contents

PART I

FINANCIAL INFORMATION

 

Item 1. Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes—(unaudited)

ARLINGTON ASSET INVESTMENT CORP.

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS

(Dollars in thousands)

(Unaudited)

 

     March 31,
2010
    December 31,
2009
 

ASSETS

    

Cash and cash equivalents

   $ 5,875      $ 10,123   

Receivables

    

Interest

     2,279        2,011   

Other

     799        20   

Mortgage-backed securities, at fair value

    

Available-for-sale

     186,252        295,600   

Trading

     142,802        —     

Other investments

     2,028        2,580   

Equipment and software, net of accumulated depreciation and amortization of $9 and $-0-, respectively

     104        114   

Prepaid expenses and other assets

     481        3,201   
                

Total assets

   $ 340,620      $ 313,649   
                

LIABILITIES AND EQUITY

    

Liabilities:

    

Repurchase agreements

   $ 140,474      $ 126,830   

Interest payable

     124        124   

Accrued compensation and benefits

     6,144        5,921   

Dividend payable

     2,811        —     

Accounts payable, accrued expenses and other liabilities

     18,890        13,904   

Long-term debt

     15,907        16,857   
                

Total liabilities

     184,350        163,636   
                

Commitments and contingencies (Note 6)

    

Equity:

    

Preferred stock, $0.01 par value, 25,000,000 shares authorized, none issued and outstanding

     —          —     

Class A common stock, $0.01 par value, 450,000,000 shares authorized, 7,346,255 and 7,352,774 shares issued and outstanding, respectively

     73        74   

Class B common stock, $0.01 par value, 100,000,000 shares authorized, 566,112 and 566,112 shares issued and outstanding, respectively

     6        6   

Additional paid-in capital

     1,508,463        1,507,394   

Accumulated other comprehensive income, net of taxes

     10,385        7,015   

Accumulated deficit

     (1,362,657     (1,364,476
                

Total equity

     156,270        150,013   
                

Total liabilities and equity

   $ 340,620      $ 313,649   
                

See notes to consolidated financial statements.

 

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ARLINGTON ASSET INVESTMENT CORP.

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

(Dollars in thousands, except per share data)

(Unaudited)

 

     Three Months Ended
March 31,
 
   2010     2009  

Interest income

    

Interest on mortgage-backed securities

   $     9,201      $ 2,581   

Other interest income

     1        19   
                

Total interest income

     9,202        2,600   

Interest expense

    

Interest on short-term debt

     90        225   

Interest on long-term debt

     138        2,286   
                

Total interest expense

     228        2,511   
                

Net interest income

     8,974        89   

Other income, net

    

Investment gain

     353        6   

Gain on extinguishment of long-term debt

     —          132,453   

Other loss

     (4     (139
                

Total other income, net

     349        132,320   
                

Income from continuing operations before other expenses

     9,323        132,409   

Other expenses

    

Compensation and benefits

     2,920        8,139   

Professional services

     670        228   

Business development

     20        2,350   

Occupancy and equipment

     116        148   

Communications

     54        66   

Other operating expenses

     805        1,701   
                

Total other expenses

     4,585        12,632   
                

Income from continuing operations before income taxes

     4,738        119,777   

Income tax provision

     112        8,946   
                

Income from continuing operations, net of taxes

     4,626        110,831   

Loss from discontinued operations, net of taxes

     —          (16,167
                

Net income

     4,626        94,664   

Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interests

     —          (6,900
                

Net income attributable to Arlington Asset Investment Corp. shareholders

   $ 4,626      $ 101,564   
                

Amounts attributable to Arlington Asset Investment Corp. shareholders

    

Income from continuing operations, net of taxes

   $ 4,626      $ 110,831   

Loss from discontinued operations, net of taxes

     —          (9,267
                

Net income

   $ 4,626      $ 101,564   
                

Earnings per share—basic:

    

Income from continuing operations attributable to Arlington Asset Investment Corp. shareholders

   $ 0.60      $ 14.55   

Loss from discontinued operations attributable to Arlington Asset Investment Corp. shareholders

     —          (1.22
                

Net income attributable to Arlington Asset Investment Corp. shareholders

   $ 0.60      $ 13.33   
                

Earnings per share—diluted:

    

Income from continuing operations attributable to Arlington Asset Investment Corp. shareholders

   $ 0.59      $ 14.54   

Loss from discontinued operations attributable to Arlington Asset Investment Corp. shareholders

     —          (1.21
                

Net income attributable to Arlington Asset Investment Corp. shareholders

   $ 0.59      $ 13.33   
                

Dividends declared per share

   $ 0.35      $ —     
                

Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands)

    

Basic

     7,733        7,617   
                

Diluted

     7,879        7,622   
                

See notes to consolidated financial statements.

 

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ARLINGTON ASSET INVESTMENT CORP.

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CHANGES IN EQUITY

(Dollars in thousands)

(Unaudited)

 

    Class A
Common
Stock
(#)
    Class A
Amount
($)
    Class B
Common
Stock
(#)
    Class B
Amount
($)
  Additional
Paid-In
Capital
    Accumulated
Other
Comprehensive
Income (Loss)
    Accumulated
Deficit
    Noncontrolling
Interest
    Total     Comprehensive
Income (Loss)

Balances, December 31, 2008

  7,382,265      $ 74      578,584      $ 6   $ 1,494,642      $ (118   $ (1,481,021   $ 129,673      $ 143,256     
                                                                   

Net income (loss)

  —          —        —          —       —          —          116,545        (11,459     105,086      $ 105,086

Conversion of Class B shares to Class A shares

  12,469        —        (12,469     —       —          —          —          —          —          —  

Issuance of Class A common stock

  1,816        —        —          —       364        —          —          —          364        —  

Retirement of Class A common stock

  (27,500     —        —          —       (275     —          —          —          (275     —  

Forfeitures of Class A common stock

  (16,276     —        (3     —       (213     —          —          —          (213     —  

Stock compensation expense for stock options

  —          —        —          —       23        —          —          —          23        —  

Amortization of Class A common shares issued as stock-based awards

  —          —        —          —       7,795        —          —          —          7,795        —  

Equity in issuance of subsidiary common shares to employees

  —          —        —          —       5,058        —          —          —          5,058        —  

Elimination of noncontrolling interest resulting from sale of subsidiary

  —          —        —          —       —          —          —          (118,269     (118,269     —  

Other comprehensive income:

                   

Net change in unrealized gain on available-for-sale investment securities, (net of taxes of $-0-)

  —          —        —          —       —          7,133        —          55        7,188        7,188
                       

Comprehensive income

                    $ 112,274
                                                                       

Balances, December 31, 2009

  7,352,774      $ 74      566,112      $ 6   $ 1,507,394      $ 7,015      $ (1,364,476   $ —        $ 150,013     

Net income

  —          —        —          —       —          —          4,626        —          4,626      $ 4,626

Forfeitures of Class A common stock

  (6,519     (1 )   —          —       (115     —          —          —          (116     —  

Amortization of Class A common shares issued as stock-based awards

  —          —        —          —       1,184        —          —          —          1,184        —  

Other comprehensive income:

                   

Net change in unrealized gain on available-for-sale investment securities, (net of taxes of $-0-)

  —          —        —          —       —          3,370        —          —          3,370        3,370
                       

Comprehensive income

                    $ 7,996
                       

Dividends declared

  —          —        —          —       —          —          (2,807     —          (2,807  
                                                                   

Balances, March 31, 2010

  7,346,255      $ 73      566,112      $ 6   $ 1,508,463      $ 10,385      $ (1,362,657   $ —        $ 156,270     
                                                                   

See notes to consolidated financial statements.

 

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ARLINGTON ASSET INVESTMENT CORP.

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

(Dollars in thousands)

(Unaudited)

 

     Three Months Ended
March 31,
 
   2010     2009  

Cash flows from operating activities:

    

Net income

   $ 4,626      $ 94,664   

Non-cash items included in net income

    

Gain on extinguishment of long-term debt

     —          (132,453

Net (income) loss from investments, mortgage-backed securities, and other fees

     (21     1,536   

Net discount accretion on mortgage-backed securities

     (2,904     —     

Depreciation and amortization

     9        2,770   

Other

     1,186        7,168   

Changes in operating assets

    

Receivables

    

Interest receivable

     (186     883   

Other

     (780     3,297   

Due from clearing broker

     —          (6,742

Trading securities

     —          (12,819

Prepaid expenses and other assets

     2,720        11,519   

Changes in operating liabilities

    

Trading account securities sold but not yet purchased

     —          4,078   

Accounts payable and accrued expenses

     3,959        3,042   

Accrued compensation and benefits

     223        (14,573
                

Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities

     8,832        (37,630
                

Cash flows from investing activities:

    

Purchases of available-for-sale mortgage-backed securities

     (48,160     —     

Purchases of trading mortgage-backed securities

     (144,494     —     

Proceeds from sales of available-for-sale mortgage-backed securities

     155,638        548,048   

Receipt of principal payments on available-for-sale mortgage-backed securities

     8,897        8,575   

Receipt of principal payments on trading mortgage-backed securities

     219        —     

Proceeds from sales of and distributions from investments

     1,278        7,289   

Proceeds from U.S. Treasury bond maturities

     —          550,000   

Other

     13        (754
                

Net cash (used in) provided by investing activities

     (26,609     1,113,158   
                

Cash flows from financing activities:

    

Repayments of long-term debt

     —          (68,769

Proceeds from (repayments of) repurchase agreements, net

     13,644        (1,036,846

Repurchase of common stock and subsidiary stock

     (115     —     
                

Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities

     13,529        (1,105,615
                

Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents

     (4,248     (30,087

Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period

     10,123        254,653   

Less: Cash and cash equivalents held by discontinued operations, beginning of period

     —          207,801   
                

Cash and cash equivalents held by continuing operations, beginning of period

     10,123        46,852   
                

Cash and cash equivalents, end of period

     5,875        224,566   

Less: Cash and cash equivalents held by discontinued operations, end of period

     —          207,027   
                

Cash and cash equivalents held by continuing operations, end of period

   $ 5,875      $ 17,539   
                

Supplemental cash flow information

    

Cash payments for interest

   $ 85      $ 2,960   

Cash payments for taxes

   $ 300      $ 23   

See notes to consolidated financial statements.

 

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ARLINGTON ASSET INVESTMENT CORP.

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

(Dollars in thousands, except per share data)

(Unaudited)

 

1. Basis of Presentation:

The consolidated financial statements of Arlington Asset Investment Corp. (Arlington Asset), formerly known as Friedman, Billings, Ramsey Group, Inc. (FBR Group), and its subsidiaries (unless the context otherwise provides, collectively, the Company) have been prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP) for interim financial information and with the instructions to Form 10-Q. Therefore, they do not include all information required by GAAP for complete financial statements. The interim financial statements reflect all adjustments (consisting only of normal recurring adjustments) which are, in the opinion of management, necessary for a fair statement of the results for the periods presented. All significant intercompany accounts and transactions have been eliminated in consolidation. The results of operations for the three months ended March 31, 2010 are not necessarily indicative of the operating results for the entire year or any other subsequent interim period. The Company’s unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements and notes thereto should be read in conjunction with the Company’s audited consolidated financial statements and notes thereto included in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009.

Prior to May 20, 2009, the Company consolidated the results of its former subsidiary FBR Capital Markets Corporation (FBR Capital Markets) because the Company’s then wholly-owned subsidiary, FBR TRS Holdings, Inc. (FBR TRS Holdings), owned 56% of the outstanding shares of FBR Capital Markets’ common stock. The Company liquidated 16,667,000, 1,500,000, 411,032 and 14,755,017 shares of FBR Capital Markets common stock on May 20, June 19, July 15, and October 28, 2009, respectively, resulting in no remaining holdings in FBR Capital Markets as of October 28, 2009. As a result, effective May 20, 2009, the Company no longer had majority control of FBR Capital Markets and therefore deconsolidated the results of FBR Capital Markets. Subsequently, with the sale of the remaining interest in FBR Capital Markets on October 28, 2009, the Company presented the results of operations related to FBR Capital Markets as discontinued operations in accordance with the accounting guidance provided for the impairment or disposal of long-lived assets. As a result, for the three months ended March 31, 2009, FBR Capital Markets’ results of operations are reported as discontinued operations.

The preparation of the Company’s financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires the Company to make estimates and assumptions affecting the reported amounts of assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. Although the Company based the estimates and assumptions on historical experience, when available, market information, and on various other factors that the Company believes to be reasonable under the circumstances, management exercises significant judgment in the final determination of the estimates. Actual results may differ from these estimates.

Certain amounts in the consolidated financial statements and notes for prior periods have been reclassified to conform to the current period presentation. These reclassifications had no effect on the results of operations of the Company.

 

2. Financial Instruments:

Fair Value of Financial Instruments

The Company adopted amended accounting principles related to fair value measurements as of January 1, 2008. This amendment defines fair value as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a

 

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liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date, not adjusted for transaction costs. This amendment also establishes a fair value hierarchy that prioritizes the inputs to valuation techniques used to measure fair value into three broad levels giving the highest priority to quoted prices in active markets for identical assets or liabilities (Level 1) and the lowest priority to unobservable inputs (Level 3) as described below:

 

Level 1 Inputs      Unadjusted quoted prices in active markets for identical assets or liabilities that is accessible by the Company;
Level 2 Inputs      Quoted prices in markets that are not active or financial instruments for which all significant inputs are observable, either directly or indirectly; and
Level 3 Inputs      Unobservable inputs for the asset or liability, including significant assumptions of the Company and other market participants.

The Company determines fair values for the following assets and liabilities:

Mortgage-backed securities (MBS), at fair value—The Company’s agency-backed MBS, which are generally guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, and other AAA-rated non-agency or private-label MBS are generally classified within Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy as they are valued after considering quoted market prices provided by a broker or dealer, or alternative pricing sources with reasonable levels of price transparency. The Company reviews broker or pricing service quotes to determine whether the quotes are relevant, for example, whether an active market exists to provide price transparency or whether the quote is an indicative price or a binding offer. The independent brokers and dealers providing market prices are those who make markets in these financial instruments.

The Company classifies certain other non-agency MBS within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy because they trade infrequently and, therefore, have little or no price transparency. These MBS include private-label MBS. The Company utilizes present value techniques based on estimated cash flows of the instrument taking into consideration various assumptions derived by management and used by other market participants. These assumptions are corroborated by evidence such as historical data, risk characteristics, transactions in similar instruments, and completed or pending transactions, when available.

Establishing fair value is inherently subjective given the volatile and sometimes illiquid markets for some of the Company’s MBS and requires management to make a number of assumptions, including assumptions about the future of interest rates, prepayment rates, discount rates, credit loss rates, and the timing of credit losses. The assumptions the Company applies are specific to each MBS. Although the Company relies on the internal calculations to compute the fair value of these MBS, the Company requests and considers indications of value (mark) from third-party dealers to assist in the valuation process.

Other investments—The Company’s other investments consists of investment in equity securities, investment funds and residual interest in securitization. The Company’s equity securities are classified within Level 1 of the fair value hierarchy if they are valued using quoted market prices. Residual interest in securitization is classified within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy as discussed above.

Other—Cash and cash equivalents, interest receivable, repurchase agreements, accounts payable, accrued expenses and other liabilities are reflected in the consolidated balance sheets at their amortized cost, which approximates fair value because of the short term nature of these instruments.

 

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The estimated fair values of the Company’s financial instruments are as follows:

 

     March 31, 2010    December 31, 2009
   Carrying
Amount
   Estimated
Fair Value
   Carrying
Amount
   Estimated
Fair Value

Financial assets

           

Cash and cash equivalents

   $ 5,875    $ 5,875    $ 10,123    $ 10,123

Non-interest bearing receivables

     799      799      20      20

MBS

           

Agency-backed MBS

     143,042      143,042      136,912      136,912

Private-label MBS

           

Senior securities

     87,802      87,802      94,380      94,380

Re-REMIC securities

     98,210      98,210      64,308      64,308

Other investments

     2,028      2,028      2,580      2,580

Financial liabilities

           

Repurchase agreements

     140,474      140,474      126,830      126,830

Long-term debt

     15,907      15,907      16,857      16,857

Fair Value Hierarchy

The following tables set forth by level within the fair value hierarchy financial instruments accounted for under accounting principles related to fair value measurements as of March 31, 2010 and December 31, 2009. As required by these accounting principles, assets and liabilities that are measured at fair value are classified in their entirety based on the lowest level of input that is significant to the fair value measurement.

Items Measured at Fair Value on a Recurring Basis

 

     March 31, 2010
     Total      Level 1      Level 2    Level 3

MBS, trading, at fair value

           

Agency-backed MBS

   $ 142,802    $ —      $ 142,802    $ —  
                           

MBS, available-for-sale, at fair value

           

Agency-backed MBS

     240      —        240      —  

Private-label MBS

           

Senior securities

     87,802      —        —        87,802

Re-REMIC securities

     98,210      —        —        98,210
                           

Total available-for-sale

     186,252      —        240      186,012
                           

Total MBS

   $ 329,054    $ —      $ 143,042    $ 186,012
                           
     December 31, 2009
     Total    Level 1    Level 2    Level 3

MBS, available-for-sale, at fair value

           

Agency-backed MBS

   $ 136,912    $ —      $ 136,912    $ —  

Private-label MBS

           

Senior securities

     94,380      —        —        94,380

Re-REMIC securities

     64,308      —        —        64,308
                           

Total MBS

   $ 295,600    $ —      $ 136,912    $ 158,688
                           

The total financial assets measured and reported at fair value on a recurring basis and classified within Level 3 were $186,012, or 54.61% and $158,688, or 50.59% of the Company’s total assets as of March 31, 2010 and December 31, 2009, respectively.

 

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Level 3 Financial Assets and Liabilities

Items Measured at Fair Value on a Recurring Basis

As of March 31, 2010, the fair value of the Company’s Level 3, private-label MBS, available-for-sale was $186,012. These securities are primarily senior and re-REMIC tranches in securitization trusts issued in 2005 to 2010. The senior securities represent interests in securitizations that have the first right to cash flows and absorb losses last. The re-REMIC securities represent interests in re-securitizations of senior residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and pro-rata mezzanine securities. For re-REMIC securities, the cash flows from, and any credit losses absorbed by, the underlying RMBS are allocated among the re-REMIC securities issued in the re-securitization transactions based on the re-REMIC structure. For example, prime and non-prime residential senior securities have been pooled and securitized to create a two-tranche structure with a re-REMIC senior security and a re-REMIC subordinated security. In these re-REMIC securities, all principal payments from the underlying securities are directed to the re-REMIC senior security until the face value is fully paid off. Thereafter, all principal payments are directed to the re-REMIC subordinated security. For pro-rata mezzanine securities, principal payments from the underlying RMBS are typically allocated concurrently and proportionally to the mezzanine securities along with senior securities. The re-REMIC subordinated and mezzanine securities absorb credit losses first, if any, however, these credit losses occur only when credit losses exceed the credit protection provided to the underlying securities. Senior, re-REMIC and mezzanine securities receive interest while any face value is outstanding.

As of March 31, 2010, the Company’s senior securities and re-REMIC securities are collateralized by residential Prime and Alt-A mortgage loans and have an original loan-to-value of 72%, original FICO score of 729, three month prepayment rate of 16% and recent three-month loss severities of 47%. These underlying collateral loans have a weighted-average coupon rate of 6.07%.

These securities are currently rated below investment grade. The significant inputs for the valuation model include the following weighted averages:

 

     March 31, 2010     December 31, 2009  
     Senior
Securities
    Re-REMIC
Securities
    Senior
Securities
    Re-REMIC
Securities
 

Discount rate

   12.70   20.15   13.20   14.83

Default rate

   8.43   7.08   8.25   8.22

Loss severity rate

   52.60   46.65   57.08   53.08

Prepayment rate

   14.35   15.66   14.90   14.16

 

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The tables below set forth a summary of changes in the fair value and gains and losses of the Company’s Level 3 financial assets and liabilities that are measured at fair value on a recurring basis for the three months ended March 31, 2010 and 2009.

 

     Three Months Ended March 31, 2010  
     Senior
Securities
    Re-REMIC
Securities
    Total  

Beginning balance, January 1, 2010

   $ 94,380      $ 64,308      $ 158,688   

Total net gains (losses) (realized/unrealized)

      

Included in earnings

     1,085        456        1,541   

Included in other comprehensive income

     (762     3,193        2,431   

Purchases

     9,045        39,115        48,160   

Sales

     (12,965     (7,405     (20,370

Principal payoffs

     (4,544     (2,862     (7,406

Net accretion of discount

     1,563        1,405        2,968   
                        

Ending balance, March 31, 2010

   $ 87,802      $ 98,210      $ 186,012   
                        

The amount of net gains (losses) for the period included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains (losses) relating to Level 3 assets still held at the reporting date

   $ —        $ —        $ —     
                        
     Three Months Ended March 31, 2009  
     Senior
Securities
    Re-REMIC
Securities
    Total  

Beginning balance, January 1, 2009

   $ 61,466      $ 4,420      $ 65,886   

Total net gains (losses) (realized/unrealized)

      

Included in earnings

     1,500        152        1,652   

Sales

     (53,942     —          (53,942

Principal payoffs

     (2,961     (241     (3,202
                        

Ending balance, March 31, 2009

   $ 6,063      $ 4,331      $ 10,394   
                        

The amount of net gains (losses) for the period included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains (losses) relating to Level 3 assets still held at the reporting date

   $ 292      $ 151      $ 443   
                        

There were no transfers in or out of Level 3 during the three months ended March 31, 2010 and 2009.

Gains and losses included in earnings for the three months ended March 31, 2010 and 2009 are reported in the following income statement line descriptions:

 

     Other Income, Net,
Investment
Income
     Three Months Ended March 31,
         2010            2009    

Total gains included in earnings for the period

   $ 1,541    $ 1,652
             

Change in unrealized gains relating to assets still held at reporting date

   $ —      $ 443
             

 

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Items Measured at Fair Value on a Non-Recurring Basis

In addition, the Company also measures certain financial assets at fair value on a non-recurring basis. Adjustments to the fair value of these assets usually result from the application of lower-of-cost-or-market accounting or write-downs of individual assets. Due to the nature of these financial assets, enterprise values are primarily used to value these financial assets. In determining the enterprise value, the Company analyzes various financial, performance and market factors to estimate fair value, including where applicable, market trading activity. As a result, these financial assets are classified within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy. For the three months ended March 31, 2010, there were no changes to the carrying value of these financial assets. For the three months ended March 31, 2009, the Company recognized $1,000 in losses reducing the carrying value to zero of those assets measured at fair value on a non-recurring basis.

MBS, at Fair Value

MBS, at fair value(1) (2), consisted of the following as of the dates indicated:

 

    March 31, 2010   December 31, 2009
    Balance   Net
Unamortized
Premium
(Discount)
    Percent     WAL   Weighted
Average
Rating(3)
  Balance   Net
Unamortized
Premium
(Discount)
    Percent     WAL   Weighted
Average
Rating(3)

Trading

                   

Fannie Mae

  $ 142,802   $ 5,770      43.40   4.58   AAA   $ —     $ —        —        —     —  

Available-for-sale

                   

Agency-backed

                   

Fannie Mae

    240     1      0.07   2.40   AAA     11,021     311      3.73   4.12   AAA

Freddie Mac

    —       —        —        —     —       125,891     5,224      42.59   4.14   AAA

Private-label

                   

Senior securities

    87,802     (47,348 )   26.68   5.40   CCC     94,380     (53,554   31.92   6.79   CCC

Re-REMIC securities

    98,210     (136,456   29.85   4.98   NR     64,308     (96,507   21.76   7.25   NR
                                               
  $ 329,054   $ (178,033   100.00       $ 295,600   $ (144,526   100.00    
                                               

 

(1)

The Company’s MBS portfolio is primarily comprised of adjustable-rate MBS. The weighted-average coupon of the MBS portfolio at March 31, 2010 and December 31, 2009 was 5.50% and 5.49%, respectively.

(2)

As of March 31, 2010 and December 31, 2009, $150,195 and $133,590, respectively, each representing fair value of the Company’s MBS investments were pledged as collateral for repurchase agreements.

(3)

The securities issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are not rated by any rating agency; however, they are commonly thought of as having an implied rating of “AAA.” There is no assurance, however, that these securities would receive such a rating if they were ever rated by a rating agency.

The Company has generally purchased private-label MBS at a discount. The Company estimates the future expected cash flows based on the Company’s observation of current information and events and applying a number of assumptions related to prepayment rates, interest rates, default rates, and the timing and amount of credit losses. These assumptions are difficult to predict as they are subject to uncertainties and contingencies related to future events that may impact the Company’s estimates and its interest income.

Based on the expected cash flows, to the extent that a security has a probability of incurring credit loss, a portion of the purchase discount that the Company is entitled to earn, which the Company considers to be a credit reserve against future potential credit losses, may not be accreted into interest income. The amount designated as credit reserve may be adjusted over time, based on the actual performance of the security, its underlying collateral, actual and projected cash flow from such collateral, economic conditions and other factors. If the performance of a security with a credit reserve is more favorable than forecasted, a portion of the amount designated as credit reserve may be accreted

 

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into interest income over time. Conversely, if the performance of a security with a credit reserve is less favorable than forecasted, additional amounts of the purchase discount may be designated as a credit reserve, or impairment charges and write-downs of such securities to a new cost basis could result.

The following table presents the changes of the unamortized discount and designated credit reserves on available-for-sale MBS for the three months ended March 31, 2010. There were no available-for-sale MBS with credit reserves for the three months ended March 31, 2009.

 

     For Three Months Ended March 31, 2010
     Senior Securities    Re-REMIC Securities
     Unamortized
Discount,
Net
    Credit
Reserve
   Unamortized
Discount,
Net
    Credit
Reserve

Beginning balance, January 1, 2010

   $ 51,051      $ 2,503    $ 91,610      $ 4,897

Amortization of net discount

     (1,562     —        (1,404     —  

Acquisitions

     4,292        401      50,347        4,872

Sales

     (9,337     —        (13,866     —  
                             

Ending balance, March 31, 2010

   $ 44,444      $ 2,904    $ 126,687      $ 9,769
                             

For the securities acquired during the three months ended March 31, 2010, the contractually required payments receivable was $185,397, cash flow expected to be collected was $124,085, and fair value at the acquisition date was $45,265.

Other Investments

The Company’s other investments consist of long-term investments which are fair valued on a non-recurring basis. The Company’s other investments consisted of the following as of the dates indicated:

 

     March 31,
2010
   December 31,
2009

Non-public equity securities

   $ 1,116    $ 1,478

Investment funds

     912      1,102
             
   $ 2,028    $ 2,580
             

The Company’s available-for-sale securities consist of MBS. In accordance with accounting principles related to accounting for certain investments in debt and equity securities, the securities are carried at fair value with resulting unrealized gains and losses reflected as other comprehensive income or loss. Gross unrealized gains and losses on these securities were the following as of the dates indicated:

 

     March 31, 2010
     Amortized
Cost/
Cost  Basis(1)
   Unrealized     Fair Value
        Gains    Losses    

Agency-backed MBS

   $ 143,030    $ 12    $ —        $ 143,042

Private-label MBS

          

Senior securities

     84,239      3,700      (137     87,802

Re-REMIC securities

     91,733      6,711      (234     98,210
                            

Total

   $ 319,002    $ 10,423    $ (371   $ 329,054
                            

 

(1)

The amortized cost of MBS includes unamortized net discounts of $178,033 at March 31, 2010.

 

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     December 31, 2009
   Amortized
Cost/
Cost  Basis(1)
   Unrealized     Fair Value
      Gains    Losses    

Agency-backed MBS

   $ 137,839    $ 10    $ (937   $ 136,912

Private-label MBS

          

Senior securities

     89,894      4,533      (47     94,380

Re-REMIC securities

     60,851      3,539      (82     64,308
                            

Total

   $ 288,584    $ 8,082    $ (1,066   $ 295,600
                            

 

(1)

The amortized cost of MBS includes unamortized net discounts of $144,526 at December 31, 2009.

The following table provides further information regarding the duration of unrealized losses as of March 31, 2010:

 

     Continuous Unrealized Loss Position for
     Less Than 12 Months    12 Months or More
     Amortized
Cost
   Unrealized
Losses
    Fair
Value
   Amortized
Cost
   Unrealized
Losses
   Fair
Value

Private-label MBS

                

Senior securities

   $ 28,055    $ (137   $ 27,918    $ —      $ —      $ —  

Re-REMIC securities

     14,112      (234     13,878      —        —        —  
                                          

Total

   $ 42,167    $ (371   $ 41,796    $ —      $ —      $ —  
                                          

The Company recorded no other-than-temporary impairments on MBS during the three months ended March 31, 2010 and 2009. During the three months ended March 31, 2010, the Company received $155,638 from sales of MBS, resulting in gross gains and losses of $1,665 and $910, respectively. During the three months ended March 31, 2009, the Company received $97,652 from sales of MBS, resulting in gross gains of $1,347 and no losses.

 

3. Borrowings:

Repurchase Agreements

The Company has entered into repurchase agreements to fund its investments in MBS.

As of March 31, 2010 and December 31, 2009, the Company had no amount at risk greater than 10% of equity. The following tables provide information regarding the Company’s outstanding repurchase agreement borrowings as of the dates and for the periods indicated:

 

     March 31,
2010
    December 31,
2009
 

Outstanding balance

   $ 140,474      $ 126,830   

Value of assets pledged as collateral

    

Agency-backed MBS

     142,802        133,590   

Private-label MBS

     7,393        —     

Weighted-average rate

     0.28     0.27

Weighted-average term to maturity

     15.1 days        40.6 days   
     March 31,
2010
    March 31,
2009
 

Weighted-average outstanding balance during the three months ended

   $ 132,405      $ 95,985   

Weighted-average rate during the three months ended

     0.27     0.94

 

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Long-Term Debt

As of March 31, 2010 and December 31, 2009, the Company had $15,000 of outstanding long-term debentures issued by FBR TRS Holdings. The long-term debentures accrue and require payments of interest quarterly at an annual rate of three-month LIBOR plus 2.25% to 3.00%. The weighted average interest rate on these long-term debentures was 3.00% and 3.03% as of March 31, 2010 and December 31, 2009, respectively. All of these borrowings mature between 2033 and 2035 and are redeemable in whole or in part without penalty currently or in July 2010. The Company had incurred costs related to the issuance of these debentures. These costs are amortized over the five-year period through the redemption date. As of March 31, 2010 and December 31, 2009, the unamortized balance of these issuance costs was $3 and $8, respectively. During the three months ended March 31, 2009, the Company extinguished $201,689 of this long-term debt at a gain of $132,453. There were no extinguishments of this long-term debt during the three months ended March 31, 2010.

As of March 31, 2010 and December 31, 2009, the Company had additional outstanding long-term debt of $907 and $1,857, respectively, associated with the Company’s 2001 acquisition of Money Management Associates, LP and Rushmore Trust and Savings. This note matures on January 2, 2011 and carries imputed interest at 9%.

 

4. Income Taxes:

The total income tax provision from continuing operations for the three months ended March 31, 2010 and 2009 was $112 and $8,946, respectively. The Company generated pre-tax book income from continuing operations of $4,738 and $119,777 for the three months ended March 31, 2010 and 2009, respectively.

The Company’s effective tax rate for the three months ended March 31, 2010 and 2009 was 2.4% and 7.5%, respectively. The effective tax rate during these periods differed from statutory tax rates primarily due to valuation allowances recognized on deferred tax assets and liabilities and the expected tax liability due to projected taxable income for 2010 that will be subject to alternative minimum tax. The Company expects to realize a portion of the tax benefits of the federal and state net operating losses (NOLs) in 2010, which are reflected in the Company’s projected effective tax rate for the year. The Company will continue to provide a valuation allowance against the other deferred tax assets since the Company believes that it is more likely than not that the benefits will not be realized in the future. The Company will continue to assess the need for a valuation allowance at each reporting date.

The Company estimates that, as of March 31, 2010, the range within which unrecognized tax benefits related to the recognition of income between members of the consolidated group is $-0- to approximately $12,810, of which the Company has reserved $12,810. The total amount of accrued interest and penalties at March 31, 2010 was immaterial.

 

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5. Earnings Per Share:

Basic earnings per share includes no dilution and is computed by dividing net income or loss available to common shareholders by the weighted-average number of common shares outstanding for the period. Diluted earnings per share include the impact of dilutive securities such as stock options and unvested shares of restricted stock. The following table presents the computations of basic and diluted earnings per share, adjusted for the 1-for-20 reverse stock split effective October 6, 2009, for the periods indicated:

 

     Three Months Ended March 31,
     2010    2009
     Basic    Diluted    Basic    Diluted

Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands):

           

Common stock

     7,733      7,733      7,617      7,617

Stock options and unvested restricted stock

     —        146      —        5
                           

Weighted average common and common equivalent shares outstanding

     7,733      7,879      7,617      7,622
                           

Net income applicable to common stock

   $ 4,626    $ 4,626    $ 101,564    $ 101,564
                           

Income per common share

   $ 0.60    $ 0.59    $ 13.33    $ 13.33
                           

The diluted earnings per share for the three months ended March 31, 2010 and 2009 did not include the antidilutive effect of 125,027 and 376,771 shares, respectively, of restricted stock units, stock options, and restricted stock.

 

6. Commitments and Contingencies:

Litigation

Except as described below, as of March 31, 2010, the Company was not a defendant nor a plaintiff in any lawsuits or arbitrations nor involved in any governmental or self-regulatory organization matters that are expected to have a material adverse effect on the Company’s financial condition, results of operations or liquidity. The Company is a defendant in a small number of civil lawsuits and arbitrations relating to its business. There can be no assurance that these matters individually or in aggregate will not have a material adverse effect on the Company’s financial condition or results of operations in a future period. However, based on management’s review with counsel, resolution of these matters is not expected to have a material adverse effect on the Company’s financial condition, results of operations or liquidity.

Shareholders’ Derivative Action

On September 16, 2008, a shareholder derivative action captioned Kornfeld, et al. v. Billings, et al., No. 08-1144, was filed in the Circuit Court of Arlington County, Virginia, by Bill Kornfeld and Edward Lapinski, two purported shareholders of the Company. The Company was named as a nominal defendant along with certain current and former officers and directors as individual defendants. The complaint asserts claims under Virginia law against the individual defendants for breach of fiduciary duty and against certain of the individual defendants for unjust enrichment in connection with certain decisions concerning executive compensation. The Company’s Board of Directors established a special committee to conduct a review and evaluation of the plaintiffs’ allegations and make a final decision concerning whether maintenance of the litigation was in the Company’s best interests. The special committee concluded that the litigation was not in the Company’s best interests. On December 8, 2008, the Company moved to dismiss the shareholder derivative action based on the special committee’s recommendation and the individual defendants filed demurrers. On March 5, 2009, the court denied the individual defendants’ demurrers, granted the plaintiffs’ motion for certain discovery and denied the Company’s motion to dismiss with leave to renew the motion following discovery. On July 24, 2009, the

 

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plaintiffs filed an amended complaint. The amended complaint contains allegations similar to those in the original complaint and adds a cause of action against certain of the individual defendants for waste. On August 14, 2009, the Company filed an answer to the amended complaint and the individual defendants filed a demurrer to the amended complaint. On January 15, 2010, the parties participated in mediation and on or about March 30, 2010, the parties executed a Memorandum of Understanding pursuant to which the parties expect to submit a settlement agreement to the court for approval.

On July 20, 2009, counsel to Bill Kornfeld and Edward Lapinski sent a letter to the Company demanding that the Board of Directors remedy alleged breaches of fiduciary duty by the directors in connection with the sale of a portion of FBR Capital Markets stock to FBR Capital Markets on May 20, 2009. The letter alleges that this sale was completed pursuant to an inappropriate process and resulted in an inadequate price. The letter states that the shareholders will file a lawsuit bringing derivative claims if the Company’s Board of Directors does not take the demanded action within a reasonable period of time. The Company’s Board of Directors established a special committee of independent directors to conduct a review and evaluation of the allegations in the letter and make a final decision concerning whether maintenance of the claims was in the Company’s best interests. The special committee concluded that maintenance of the claims was not in the Company’s best interests. Pursuant to the Memorandum of Understanding referenced above, Kornfield and Lapinski have agreed to include in the settlement agreement to be submitted for court approval a release also of the claims referenced in their July 20, 2009 letter demand.

Based on management’s review with counsel, resolution of these matters is not expected to have a material adverse effect on the Company’s financial condition, results of operation or liquidity.

 

8. Equity:

Dividends

On February 10, 2010, the Company’s Board of Directors approved a $0.35 dividend for the first quarter of 2010. The dividend is payable on April 30, 2010 to shareholders of record on March 31, 2010. The Company recorded the dividends payable as of March 31, 2010 as a component of accounts payable, accrued expenses and other liabilities on the balance sheet. The Company did not declare or pay out dividends during 2009.

 

9. Recent Accounting Pronouncements:

In January 2010, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued amended accounting principles related to accounting for fair value measurements and disclosures. This amendment improves the disclosure requirements related to fair value measurements and disclosures. The Company adopted this guidance for the three months ended March 31, 2010 and the required disclosures have been incorporated in the financial statements as of and for the three months ended March 31, 2010.

In June 2009, the FASB issued amended accounting principles related to accounting for transfers of financial assets. This amendment improves financial reporting by eliminating the exceptions for qualified special-purpose entities from the consolidation guidance and the exception that permitted sale accounting for certain mortgage securitizations when a transferor has not surrendered control over the transferred financial assets. In addition, comparability and consistency in accounting for transferred financial assets will be improved through clarifications of the requirements for isolation and limitations on portions of financial assets that are eligible for sale accounting. This guidance was effective January 1, 2010 for the Company. The Company’s adoption of this guidance did not have a significant impact on its consolidated financial statements.

In June 2009, the FASB issued amended accounting principles related to the consolidation of variable-interest entities. This amendment replaces the quantitative-based risks and rewards calculation for determining which enterprise, if any, has a controlling financial interest in a variable interest entity with an approach focused

 

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on identifying which enterprise has the power to direct the activities of a variable interest entity that most significantly impact the entity’s economic performance and the obligation to absorb losses of the entity or the right to receive benefits from the entity. An approach that is expected to be primarily qualitative will be more effective for identifying which enterprise has a controlling financial interest in a variable interest entity. The amendment was effective as of January 1, 2010 for the Company. The Company’s adoption of the amendment did not have a significant impact on its consolidated financial statements.

 

10. Subsequent Events:

On April 30, 2010, the Company paid $2,795 in dividends to the shareholders of record of March 31, 2010.

 

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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

The following analysis of the unaudited condensed consolidated financial condition and results of operations of Arlington Asset Investment Corp. (Arlington Asset), formerly known as Friedman Billings Ramsey Group, Inc. (FBR Group) and its subsidiaries, including FBR Capital Markets Corporation (FBR Capital Markets) (unless the context otherwise provides, collectively, “we”, “us”, “our” or the “Company”), should be read in conjunction with the Company’s audited consolidated financial statements and notes thereto included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009.

Prior to May 20, 2009, we consolidated the results of our former subsidiary, FBR Capital Markets, because our then wholly-owned subsidiary, FBR TRS Holdings, Inc. (FBR TRS Holdings), owned 56% of the outstanding shares of FBR Capital Markets’ common stock. We liquidated 16,667,000, 1,500,000, 411,032 and 14,755,017 shares of FBR Capital Markets common stock on May 20, June 19, July 15, and October 28, 2009, respectively, resulting in no remaining holdings in FBR Capital Markets as of October 28, 2009. As a result, effective May 20, 2009, we no longer had majority control of FBR Capital Markets and therefore deconsolidated the results of FBR Capital Markets. Subsequently, with the sale of the remaining interest in FBR Capital Markets on October 28, 2009, we presented the results of operations related to FBR Capital Markets as a discontinued operation in accordance with the accounting guidance provided for the impairment or disposal of long-lived assets.

The discussion of the Company’s consolidated financial condition and results of operations below may contain forward-looking statements. These statements, which reflect management’s beliefs and expectations, are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially. For a discussion of the risks and uncertainties that may affect our future results, please see “Forward-Looking Statements” immediately following Item 4 of this report on Form 10-Q.

Executive Summary

During the three months ended March 31, 2010, we continued our efforts to deploy available capital to private-label mortgage-backed securities (MBS). As a result, our private-label MBS portfolio consisted of $366.2 million in face value with an amortized cost basis of $175.6 million as of March 31, 2010. The private-label MBS portfolio was valued at $186.0 million and had $183.8 million in unaccreted purchase discount as of March 31, 2010. During the three months ended March 31, 2010, we recognized net interest income of $7.6 million representing an 18.8% yield, including coupon and accretion of purchase discount, from our private-label MBS portfolio. Our agency-backed MBS portfolio was structured to substantially eliminate market price risk and had a nominal impact on income for the three months ended March 31, 2010.

Our private-label MBS are primarily senior and re-REMIC tranches in securitization trusts issued in 2005 to 2010. The senior securities represent interests in securitizations that have the first right to cash flows and absorb losses last. The re-REMIC securities represent interests in re-securitizations of senior residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and pro-rata mezzanine securities. For re-REMIC securities, the cash flows from, and any credit losses absorbed by, the underlying RMBS are allocated among the re-REMIC securities issued in the re-securitization transactions based on the re-REMIC structure. For example, prime and non-prime residential senior securities have been pooled and securitized to create a two-tranche structure with a re-REMIC senior security and a re-REMIC subordinated security. In these re-REMIC securities, all principal payments from the underlying securities are directed to the re-REMIC senior security until the face value is fully paid off. Thereafter, all principal payments are directed to the re-REMIC subordinated security. For pro-rata mezzanine securities, principal payments from the underlying RMBS are typically allocated concurrently and proportionally to the mezzanine securities along with senior securities. The re-REMIC subordinated and mezzanine securities absorb credit losses first, if any, however, these credit losses occur only when credit losses exceed the credit protection provided to the underlying securities. Senior, re-REMIC, and mezzanine securities receive interest while any face value is outstanding. Our private-label MBS have approximately 10% credit enhancement which provides protection to our invested capital in addition to our purchase discount.

Due to the nature of these securities, we generally purchase these private-label MBS at a discount. We estimate the future expected cash flows based on our observation of current information and events and applying

 

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a number of assumptions related to prepayment rates, interest rates, default rates, and the timing and amount of credit losses. These assumptions are difficult to predict as they are subject to uncertainties and contingencies related to future events that may impact our estimates and interest income.

Based on the expected cash flows, to the extent that a security has a probability of incurring credit loss, a portion of the purchase discount that we are entitled to earn which we consider to be a credit reserve against future potential credit losses, may not be accreted into interest income. The amount designated as credit reserve may be adjusted over time, based on the actual performance of the security, its underlying collateral, actual and projected cash flow from such collateral, economic conditions and other factors. If the performance of a security with a credit reserve is more favorable than forecasted, a portion of the amount designated as credit reserve may be accreted into interest income over time. Conversely, if the performance of a security with a credit reserve is less favorable than forecasted, additional amounts of the purchase discount may be designated as a credit reserve, or impairment charges and write-downs of such securities to a new cost basis could result. As of March 31, 2010, we designated $12.7 million as credit reserve on such securities.

We are fully invested and have benefited from an increased allocation of capital to re-REMIC mezzanine securities as well as an average cost basis of 50% of face value. Continued indications of stabilization and improvement in housing, increased liquidity and available leverage have raised prices for private-label MBS, particularly among re-REMIC mezzanine securities. Our re-REMIC securities are predominantly held in the subordinate tranches and we will continue to closely monitor the performance of these securities. We believe we have constructed a private-label MBS portfolio with attractive characteristics and will continue to monitor relative value between the various classes of MBS including agency-backed MBS and may re-allocate our portfolio at any time based on management’s view of the market. Subsequent to March 31, 2010, rising prices for private-label MBS is expected to have a positive effect on the value of our portfolio. We intend to continue to migrate capital from senior private-label MBS securities that have achieved targeted reflation to private-label MBS that offer more attractive risk adjusted returns inclusive of current income as well as potential reflation. We will also continue to seek to identify potential opportunities to strengthen our position and to maximize return to our shareholders.

For the three months ended March 31, 2010, our income from continuing operations was $4.6 million compared to $110.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2009. Our income from continuing operations includes net interest income of $9.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2010 compared to $89 thousand and gain on extinguishment of long-term debt of $132.5 million in the same time period for 2009. Our other expenses decreased to $4.6 million during the three months ended March 31, 2010 compared to $12.6 million for the three months ended March 31, 2009 primarily as a result of our effort to reduce expenses. Our net income attributable to the shareholders of Arlington Asset Investment Corp. included a loss from discontinued operations of $9.3 million for the three months ended March 31, 2009.

 

     For the Three Months Ended
March 31,
 
(Dollars in thousands)            2010                    2009          

Net interest income

   $ 8,974    $ 89   

Other income, net

     349      132,320   

Other expenses

     4,585      12,632   
               

Income from continuing operations before income taxes

     4,738      119,777   

Income tax provision

     112      8,946   
               

Income from continuing operations

     4,626      110,831   

Loss from discontinued operations, net of taxes

     —        (16,167
               

Net income

     4,626      94,664   

Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interests

     —        (6,900
               

Net income attributable to Arlington Asset Investment Corp. shareholders

   $ 4,626    $ 101,564   
               

 

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The following provides analysis of our continuing operations for the three months ended March 31, 2010.

Principal Investing

As of March 31, 2010, our principal investing activity consisted primarily of investments in non-agency or private-label MBS and a leveraged portfolio of agency-backed MBS.

We periodically evaluate the rates of return that can be achieved in each asset category and for each individual asset in which we participate. Historically, based on market conditions, we believe our MBS assets have provided us with higher relative risk-adjusted rates of return than most other portfolio opportunities we have evaluated. Consequently, we have maintained a high allocation of our assets and capital in this sector. We intend to continue to evaluate acquisition opportunities against the returns available in each of our asset alternatives and endeavor to allocate our assets and capital with an emphasis toward what we believe will generate the highest risk-adjusted return available. This strategy may cause us to have different allocations of capital in different environments.

As of March 31, 2010, the average purchase price of these private-label MBS was 49.79% of par value, 48.38% of par value on the newly acquired private-label MBS, with a weighted average coupon of 5.70%.

The following table summarizes our principal investing portfolio including principal receivable on MBS, as of March 31, 2010 (dollars in thousands):

 

     Face Amount    Fair Value

Trading

     

Agency-backed MBS

     

Fannie Mae

   $ 138,505    $ 142,802

Available-for-sale

     

Agency-backed MBS

     

Fannie Mae

     229      240

Private-label MBS

     

Senior securities

     131,427      87,802

Re-REMIC securities

     234,761      98,210

Other mortgage related assets

     32,085      —  
             

Total

   $ 537,007    $ 329,054
             

Income from Continuing Operations

Our income from continuing operations consists primarily of net interest income, net investment gain, dividends from investments and investment fund earnings.

Expenses

Interest expense includes the costs of our repurchase agreement borrowings and long-term debt securities we have issued. Interest expense also includes costs of subordinated credit lines, bank deposits and other financing, when used.

Compensation and benefits expense includes base salaries as well as incentive compensation. Salaries, payroll taxes and employee benefits are relatively fixed in nature. In addition, compensation and benefits includes non-cash expenses associated with all stock-based awards granted to employees.

Professional services expense includes legal and consulting fees. Many of these expenses, such as legal fees, are to a large extent variable related to level of transactions, ongoing litigation and initiatives.

 

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Business development expense includes primarily travel and entertainment expenses.

Occupancy and equipment includes rental costs for our facilities, depreciation and amortization of equipment and software. These expenses are largely fixed in nature.

Communications expenses include voice, data and internet service fees, and data processing costs.

Other operating expenses include professional liability and property insurance, directors fees, printing and copying, business licenses and taxes, offices supplies, interest related to taxes, penalties and fees, charitable contributions and other miscellaneous office expenses.

Results of Operations

Three months ended March 31, 2010 compared to three months ended March 31, 2009

We reported net income of $4.6 million for the three months ended March 31, 2010 compared to net income of $94.7 million for the three months ended March 31, 2009. Net income included the following results for the periods indicated (dollars in thousands):

 

     For the Three Months Ended
March 31,
 
         2010                 2009        

Interest income

   $ 9,202      $ 2,600   

Interest expense

     228        2,511   
                

Net interest income

     8,974        89   

Other income, net

    

Investment gain

     353        6   

Gain on extinguishment of long-term debt

     —          132,453   

Other loss

     (4     (139
                

Total other income, net

     349        132,320   

Other expenses

     4,585        12,632   
                

Income from continuing operations before income taxes

     4,738        119,777   

Income tax provision

     112        8,946   
                

Income from continuing operations

     4,626        110,831   

Loss from discontinued operations, net of taxes

     —          (16,167
                

Net income

     4,626        94,664   

Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interests

     —          (6,900
                

Net income attributable to Arlington Asset Investment Corp. shareholders

   $ 4,626      $ 101,564   
                

Net income attributable to Arlington Asset Investment Corp. shareholders decreased $97.0 million (95.5%) from $101.6 million for the three months ended March 31, 2009 to $4.6 million for the three months ended March 31, 2010 due to the following changes:

We recorded a $132.5 million gain on extinguishment of $201.7 million in long-term debt for the three months ended March 31, 2009. There were no such extinguishments for the three months ended March 31, 2010.

Net interest income increased $8.9 million from $89 thousand in the three months ended March 31, 2009 to $9.0 million in the three months ended March 31, 2010. The increase is the result of fully deploying our investable capital to our MBS portfolio.

 

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Investment gain increased $347 thousand from $6 thousand in the three months ended March 31, 2009 to $353 thousand in the three months ended March 31, 2010. During the three months ended March 31, 2009, we liquidated approximately $97.2 million of MBS at a net gain of approximately $1.3 million. During the three months ended March 31, 2010, we liquidated approximately $154.9 million of MBS at a net gain of approximately $0.8 million. See below for additional discussion on the results of our principal investing portfolio.

Other loss decreased $135 thousand (97.1%) from a loss of $139 thousand in the three months ended March 31, 2009 to a loss of $4 thousand in the three months ended March 31, 2010. The decrease in the loss was primarily due to a decrease in subsidiary share transactions from 2009 to 2010.

The following table summarizes the components of income from our principal investment activities, net of related interest expense (dollars in thousands):

 

     For the Three Months Ended
March 31,
       2010            2009    

Net interest income

   $ 9,112    $ 2,375

Net investment gain

     353      6
             
   $ 9,465    $ 2,381
             

The components of net interest income from our MBS portfolio is summarized in the following table (dollars in thousands):

 

     For the Three Months Ended
March 31, 2010
    For the Three Months Ended
March 31, 2009
 
   Average
Balance
   Income/
(Expense)
    Yield/
Cost
    Average
Balance
   Income/
(Expense)
    Yield/
Cost
 

MBS

   $ 300,970    $ 9,201      12.40   $ 108,558    $ 2,581      9.64
                      

Other(1)

        1             19     
                          
        9,202             2,600     

Repurchase agreements

   $ 132,405      (90   (0.27 )%    $ 95,985      (225   (0.94 )% 
                                  

Net interest income/spread

      $ 9,112      12.13      $ 2,375      8.70
                          

 

(1)

Includes interest income on cash and other miscellaneous interest-earning assets.

The change in the composition of our MBS portfolio from the three months ended March 31, 2009 to the three months ended March 31, 2010 and related increase in net interest income by $6.7 million from the same periods in 2009 to 2010 was due to the repositioning of the portfolio as discussed above.

As discussed above, we realized net investment gain of $353 thousand for the three months ended March 31, 2010 compared to $6 thousand for the three months ended March 31, 2009. The following table summarizes the components of net investment gain (dollars in thousands):

 

     For the Three Months Ended
March 31,
 
       2010             2009      

Available-for-sale and cost method securities—other-than-temporary impairments

   $ —        $ (1,000

Realized gains (losses) on sale of available-for-sale investments, net

     1,169        (153

Realized losses on trading investments, net

     (830     —     

Other, net

     14        1,159   
                
   $ 353      $ 6   
                

 

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As part of our quarterly assessments of unrealized losses in our MBS portfolio for potential other-than-temporary impairment, we recognized no other-than-temporary impairment charges for the three months ended March 31, 2010 and 2009.

As part of our quarterly assessments of unrealized losses in our portfolio of marketable equity securities for other-than-temporary impairments and our assessment of cost method investments, we recognized other-than-temporary impairment charges of $1.0 million relating to marketable equity securities and cost method investments for the three months ended March 31, 2009. No other-than-temporary impairment charges were recognized for the three months ended March 31, 2010.

The realized gains on sale of available-for-sale investments, net, recognized for the three months ended March 31, 2010 were primarily the result of sales of $154.9 million in MBS at a net gain of $0.8 million and realized net gains from the sale of other investments of $0.4 million as compared to realized losses recognized for the three months ended March 31, 2009 which were primarily the result of sales of $97.2 million in MBS at a net gain of $1.3 million, offset by realized net losses from the sale and exchange of other investments of $1.5 million.

The realized losses on trading investments, net, recognized for the three months ended March 31, 2010 were primarily the result of realized net losses on mark-to-market adjustments of our trading MBS portfolio of $1.5 million, offset by realized net gains of $0.7 million from sales of trading investments.

Other net investment gain primarily includes miscellaneous activities related to various investment portfolios such as liquidation proceeds on previously impaired investments.

Interest expense unrelated to our principal investing activity relates to long-term debt issued through FBR TRS Holdings. These costs decreased to $138 thousand for the three months ended March 31, 2010 from $2.3 million for the three months ended March 31, 2009 as a result of extinguishments as discussed above.

Other expenses decreased by $8.0 million (63.5%) from $12.6 million for the three months ended March 31, 2009 to $4.6 million for the three months ended March 31, 2010 primarily as a result of significant reductions in compensation and benefits related to reduction in bonus accrual and non-cash compensation amortization of restricted stock and our effort to reduce operation expenses in all categories and a reduction in expenses associated with business development, including elimination in 2010 of costs that were attributable to the FBR Open.

The total income tax provision decreased from $8.9 million for the three months ended March 31, 2009 to $112 thousand for the three months ended March 31, 2010 due to the gain on extinguishment of trust preferred debt recognized in three months ended March 31, 2009. Our effective tax rate was 2.4% for the three months ended March 31, 2010 as compared to 7.5% for the same period in 2009. The effective tax rates for the three months ended March 31, 2010 and 2009, represent adjustments to statutory tax rates primarily due to valuation allowances recognized on deferred tax assets and liabilities and the gain recognized from the extinguishment of trust preferred debt during the three months ended March 31, 2009.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Liquidity is a measurement of our ability to meet potential cash requirements including ongoing commitments to repay borrowings, fund investments, and for other general business purposes. Our primary sources of funds for liquidity have historically consisted of short-term borrowings (e.g., repurchase agreements), principal and interest payments on MBS, dividends on equity securities and proceeds from sales of MBS.

Potential future sources of liquidity for us include existing cash balances, borrowing capacity through margin accounts and repurchase agreements and cash flows from operations, future issuances of common stock,

 

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preferred stock or debt securities. Although the availability of the third-party sources of liquidity has improved, we have observed that market conditions are still constraining access to debt capital relative to pre-crisis levels of 2007. As a result, the availability of certain short-term liquidity such as commercial paper borrowings was still limited as of March 31, 2010.

Liquidity, or ready access to funds, is essential to our business. Failures of similar businesses have often been attributable in large part to insufficient liquidity. Liquidity is of particular importance to our business and perceived liquidity issues may affect our clients’ and counterparties’ willingness to engage in transactions with us. Our liquidity could be impaired due to circumstances that we may be unable to control, such as a general market disruption or an operational problem that affects us or third parties. Further, our ability to sell assets may be impaired if other market participants are seeking to sell similar assets at the same time. If we cannot obtain funding from third parties or from our subsidiaries, our results of operations could be negatively impacted.

Cash Flows

As of March 31, 2010, our cash and cash equivalents totaled $5.9 million, representing a net decrease in the balance of $4.2 million from $10.1 million as of December 31, 2009 from continuing operations. The cash provided from operating activities of $8.8 million was attributable primarily to net income and increase in liabilities. The cash used in investing activities of $26.6 million relates primarily to purchase of MBS, net of sales of MBS. The cash provided by financing activities of $13.5 million relates primarily to proceeds from repurchase agreements used to finance a portion of the MBS portfolio.

Sources of Funding

We believe that our existing cash balances, investment in private-label MBS, net investments in agency-backed MBS, cash flows from operations, borrowing capacity and other sources of liquidity should be sufficient to meet our cash requirements for at least the next 12 months. We have obtained, and believe we will be able to continue to obtain, short-term financing in amounts and at interest rates consistent with our financing objectives. We may, however, seek debt or equity financings, in public or private transactions, to provide capital for corporate purposes and/or strategic business opportunities, including possible acquisitions, joint ventures, alliances or other business arrangements which could require substantial capital outlays. Our policy is to evaluate strategic business opportunities, including acquisitions and divestitures, as they arise. There can be no assurance that we will be able to generate sufficient funds from future operations, or raise sufficient debt or equity on acceptable terms, to take advantage of investment opportunities that become available. Should our needs ever exceed these sources of liquidity, we believe that most of our investments could be sold, in most circumstances, to provide cash. However, we may be required to sell our assets at depressed prices.

As of March 31, 2010, our liabilities totaled $184.4 million. In addition to other payables and accrued expenses, our indebtedness consisted of repurchase agreements and long-term debentures issued through FBR TRS Holdings. These long-term debt securities accrue and require payments of interest quarterly at annual rates of three-month LIBOR plus 2.25%-3.00%, mature between 2033 and 2035, and are redeemable by us, in whole or in part, without penalty currently or in July 2010. As of March 31, 2010, we had $15.9 million of total long-term debt.

We also have short-term financing facilities that are structured as repurchase agreements with various financial institutions to primarily fund our portfolio of agency-backed MBS. As of March 31, 2010, the weighted average interest rate under these agreements was 0.28%. Our repurchase agreements include provisions contained in the standard master repurchase agreement as published by the Bond Market Association and may be amended and supplemented in accordance with industry standards for repurchase facilities. Our repurchase agreements include financial covenants, with which the failure to comply would constitute an event of default under the applicable repurchase agreement. Similarly, each repurchase agreement includes events of insolvency and events of default on other indebtedness. As provided in the standard master repurchase agreement as typically amended,

 

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upon the occurrence of an event of default or termination event the applicable counterparty has the option to terminate all repurchase transactions under such counterparty’s repurchase agreement and to demand immediate payment of any amount due from us to the counterparty.

Under our repurchase agreements, we may be required to pledge additional assets to our repurchase agreement counterparties in the event the estimated fair value of the existing pledged collateral under such agreements declines and such lenders demand additional collateral (i.e., a margin call), which may take the form of additional securities or cash. Margin calls on repurchase agreements collateralized by our MBS investments primarily result from events such as declines in the value of the underlying mortgage collateral caused by factors such as rising interest rates or prepayments.

To date, we have not had any margin calls on our repurchase agreements that we were not able to satisfy with either cash or additional pledged collateral. However, should we encounter increases in interest rates or prepayments, margin calls on our repurchase agreements could result in a manner that could cause a material adverse change in our liquidity position.

In the event that market conditions are such that we are unable to obtain financing for our investments in MBS in amounts and at interest rates consistent with our financing objectives, to the extent deemed appropriate, we may use cash to finance our investments or we may liquidate such investments. Accordingly, depending on market conditions, we may incur significant losses on any such sales of MBS.

The following table provides information regarding our outstanding repurchase agreement borrowings as of the periods indicated (dollars in thousands):

 

     March 31,
2010
    December 31,
2009
 

Outstanding balance

   $ 140,474      $ 126,830   

Weighted-average rate

     0.28     0.27

Weighted-average term to maturity

     15.1 days        40.6 days   

Maximum amount outstanding at any month-end during the year

   $ 140,690      $ 126,830   

Assets

Our principal assets consist of MBS, cash and cash equivalents, receivables, and other investments. As of March 31, 2010, liquid assets consisted primarily of cash and cash equivalents of $5.9 million, and net investments in MBS of $188.6 million. Cash equivalents consist primarily of money market funds invested in debt obligations of the U.S. government. Our total assets increased from $313.6 million at December 31, 2009 to $340.6 million as of March 31, 2010. The increase in total assets reflects the increase in our MBS portfolio.

As of March 31, 2010, the total par and fair value of the MBS portfolio was $537.0 million and $329.1 million, respectively. As of March 31, 2010, the weighted average coupon of the portfolio was 5.50%.

Dividends

On February 10, 2010, our Board of Directors approved a $0.35 dividend for the first quarter of 2010. The dividend was paid on April 30, 2010 to shareholders of record on March 31, 2010. During 2009 we did not declare or pay dividends on our Class A or Class B common stock.

Recent Developments

On April 30, 2010, we paid $2.8 million in dividends to the shareholders of record on March 31, 2010.

 

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Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk

Market Risk

We monitor market and business risk, including credit, interest rate, equity, operations, liquidity, compliance, legal, reputational, and equity ownership risks through a number of control procedures designed to identify and evaluate the various risks to which our business and assets are exposed.

Market risk generally represents the risk of loss through a change in realizable value that can result from a change in the prices of securities, a change in the value of financial instruments as a result of changes in interest rates, a change in the volatility of interest rates or a change in the credit rating of an issuer. We are exposed to the following market risks as a result of our investments in MBS and equity investments.

Credit Risk

Although we do not expect to encounter credit risk in our agency-backed MBS portfolio assuming Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac remain solvent, we are exposed to credit risk in our private-label MBS portfolio. With respect to our private-label MBS, credit support contained in these MBS deal structures provide a level of protection from losses, as do the discounted purchase prices in the event of the return of less than 100% of par. We also evaluate the impact of credit risk on our investments through a comprehensive investment review and a selection process, which is predominantly focused on quantifying and pricing credit risk. We review our private-label MBS based on quantitative and qualitative analysis of the risk-adjusted returns on such investments. Through modeling and scenario analysis, we seek to evaluate each investment’s credit risk. Credit risk is also monitored through our ongoing asset surveillance. Despite these measures to manage credit risk, unanticipated credit losses could nevertheless occur which could adversely impact our operating results.

Our private-label MBS are generally purchased at a discount. We estimate the future expected cash flows based on our observation of current information and events and applying a number of assumptions related to prepayment rates, interest rates, default rates, and the timing and amount of credit losses. These assumptions are difficult to predict as they are subject to uncertainties and contingencies related to future events that may impact our estimates and interest income.

Based on the expected cash flows, to the extent that a security has a probability of incurring credit loss, a portion of the purchase discount that we are entitled to earn which we consider to be a credit reserve against future potential credit losses, may not be accreted into interest income. The amount designated as credit reserve may be adjusted over time, based on the actual performance of the security, its underlying collateral, actual and projected cash flow from such collateral, economic conditions and other factors. If the performance of a security with a credit reserve is more favorable than forecasted, a portion of the amount designated as credit reserve may be accreted into interest income over time. Conversely, if the performance of a security with a credit reserve is less favorable than forecasted, additional amounts of the purchase discount may be designated as credit reserve, or impairment charges and write-downs of such securities to a new cost basis could result. As of March 31, 2010, we designated $12.7 million as credit reserve on such securities.

The table that follows shows the expected change in fair value for our current MBS related to our principal investing activities under several hypothetical credit loss scenarios. As required under GAAP, our private-label MBS are classified as Level 3 assets of the fair value hierarchy and are valued using present value techniques based on estimated cash flows of the security taking into consideration various assumptions derived by management and used by other market participants. These assumptions include interest rates, prepayment rates, discount rates, credit loss rates, and the timing of credit losses. Credit default and loss severity rates can significantly affect the prices of private-label MBS. While it is impossible to project exact amount of changes in value, the table below illustrates the impact a 10% increase and a 10% decrease in the credit default and loss severity rates, from those used as our valuation assumptions, would have on the value of our total assets and our

 

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book value as of March 31, 2010. The changes in rates are assumed to occur instantaneously. Actual changes in market conditions are likely to be different from these assumptions (dollars in thousands, except per share amounts).

 

    Value at
March 31,
2010
  Value at
March 31,
2010 with
10%
Increase in
Default Rate
  Percent
Change
    Value at
March 31,
2010 with
10%
Decrease in
Default Rate
  Percent
Change
    Value at
March 31,
2010 with
10%
Increase in
Loss Severity
Rate
  Percent
Change
    Value at
March 31,
2010 with
10%
Decrease in
Loss Severity
Rate
  Percent
Change
 

Assets

                 

MBS

  $ 329,054   $ 324,937   (1.25 )%    $ 333,163   1.25   $ 320,606   (2.57 )%    $ 337,388   2.53

Other

    11,566     11,566   —          11,566   —          11,566   —          11,566   —     
                                     

Total assets

  $ 340,620   $ 336,503   (1.21 )%    $ 344,729   1.21   $ 332,172   (2.48 )%    $ 348,954   2.45
                                     

Liabilities

  $ 184,350   $ 184,350   —        $ 184,350   —        $ 184,350   —        $ 184,350   —     

Equity

    156,270     152,153   (2.63 )%      160,379   2.63     147,822   (5.41 )%      164,604   5.33
                                     

Total liabilities and equity

  $ 340,620   $ 336,503   (1.21 )%    $ 344,729   1.21   $ 332,172   (2.48 )%    $ 348,954   2.45
                                     

Book value per share

  $ 20.03   $ 19.50   (2.63 )%    $ 20.56   2.63   $ 18.95   (5.41 )%    $ 21.10   5.33
                                     

Interest Rate Risk

Leveraged MBS

We are also subject to interest-rate risk as a result of our principal investment activities. Through our principal investment activities, we invest in agency-backed MBS and finance these investments with repurchase agreements which are interest rate sensitive financial instruments. We are exposed to interest rate risk that fluctuates based on changes in the level or volatility of interest rates and mortgage prepayments and in the shape and slope of the yield curve. We attempt to hedge a portion of our exposure to interest rate fluctuations primarily through the use of interest rate swaps, interest rate caps, and Eurodollar futures and put option contracts. We had no open derivative agreements at March 31, 2010.

Our primary risk is related to changes in both short- and long-term interest rates, which affect us in several ways. As interest rates increase, the market value of the MBS may be expected to decline, prepayment rates may be expected to go down, and duration may be expected to extend. An increase in interest rates is beneficial to the market value of our derivative instruments, including economic hedges and instruments designated as cash flow hedges. For example, for interest rate swap positions, the cash flows from receiving the floating rate portion increase and the fixed rate paid remains the same under this scenario. If interest rates decline, the reverse is true for MBS, paying fixed and receiving floating interest rate swaps, interest rate caps, and Eurodollar futures and put option contracts.

The table that follows shows the expected change in fair value for our current MBS and derivatives related to our principal investing activities under several hypothetical interest-rate scenarios. Interest rates are defined by the U.S. Treasury yield curve. The changes in rates are assumed to occur instantaneously. It is further assumed that the changes in rates occur uniformly across the yield curve and that the level of LIBOR changes by the same amount as the yield curve. Actual changes in market conditions are likely to be different from these assumptions.

Changes in value are measured as percentage changes from their respective values presented in the column labeled “Value at March 31, 2010.” Management’s estimate of change in value for MBS is based on the same assumptions it uses to manage the impact of interest rates on the portfolio. Actual results could differ significantly from these estimates. For MBS, the estimated change in value of the MBS reflects an effective duration of 1.94 in a rising interest rate environment and 1.06 in a declining interest rate environment.

 

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The effective durations are based on observed market value changes, as well as management’s own estimate of the effect of interest rate changes on the fair value of the investments including assumptions regarding prepayments based, in part, on age of and interest rate on the mortgages underlying the MBS, prior exposure to refinancing opportunities, and an overall analysis of historical prepayment patterns under a variety of past interest rate conditions (dollars in thousands, except per share amounts).

 

     Value at
March 31,
2010
   Value at
March 31,
2010 with 100
basis point
increase in
interest rates
   Percent
Change
    Value at
March 31,
2010 with 100
basis point
decrease in
interest rates
   Percent
Change
 

Assets

             

MBS

   $ 329,054    $ 322,682    (1.94 )%    $ 332,536    1.06

Other

     11,566      11,566    —          11,566    —     
                         

Total assets

   $ 340,620    $ 334,248    (1.87 )%    $ 344,102    1.02
                         

Liabilities

             

Repurchase agreements

   $ 140,474    $ 140,474    —        $ 140,474    —     

Other

     43,876      43,876    —          43,876    —     
                         

Total liabilities

     184,350      184,350    —          184,350    —     

Equity

     156,270      149,898    (4.08 )%      159,752    2.23
                         

Total liabilities and equity

   $ 340,620    $ 334,248    (1.87 )%    $ 344,102    1.02
                         

Book value per share

   $ 20.03    $ 19.22    (4.08 )%    $ 20.48    2.23
                         

As shown above, our portfolio of MBS generally will benefit less from a decline in interest rates than it will be adversely affected by a same scale increase in interest rates.

Equity Price Risk

Although limited, we are exposed to equity price risk as a result of our investments in marketable equity securities and investment partnerships. Equity price risk changes as the volatility of equity prices changes or the values of corresponding equity indices change.

While it is impossible to exactly project what factors may affect the prices of equity sectors and how much the effect might be, the table below illustrates the impact a 10% increase and a 10% decrease in the price of the equities held by us would have on the value of our total assets and our book value as of March 31, 2010 (dollars in thousands, except per share amounts).

 

    Value at
March 31,
2010
  Value of Equity at
March 31, 2010
with 10% Increase
in Price
  Percent
Change
    Value of Equity at
March 31, 2010
with 10% Decrease
in Price
  Percent
Change
 

Assets

         

Equity and cost method investments

  $ 2,028   $ 2,231   10.00   $ 1,825   (10.00 )% 

Other

    338,592     338,592   —          338,592   —     
                     

Total assets

  $ 340,620   $ 340,823   0.06   $ 340,417   (0.06 )% 
                     

Liabilities

  $ 184,350   $ 184,350   —        $ 184,350   —     

Equity

    156,270     156,473   0.13     156,067   (0.13 )% 
                     

Total liabilities and equity

  $ 340,620   $ 340,823   0.06   $ 340,417   (0.06 )% 
                     

Book value per share

  $ 20.03   $ 20.06   0.13   $ 20.01   (0.13 )% 
                     

 

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Except to the extent that we sell our marketable equity securities or other investments, or a decrease in their fair value is deemed to be other-than-temporary, an increase or decrease in the fair value of those assets will not directly affect our earnings; however, an increase or decrease in the value of equity method investments will directly affect our earnings.

 

Item 4. Controls and Procedures

Conclusion Regarding the Effectiveness of Disclosure Controls and Procedures

As of the end of the period covered by this report on Form 10-Q, our management, with the participation of our Chief Executive Officer, Eric F. Billings, and our Chief Financial Officer, Kurt R. Harrington, carried out an evaluation of the effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures (as defined under Rule 13a-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the Exchange Act)) pursuant to Rule 13a-15(b) of the Exchange Act. Based upon that evaluation, our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures, as of the end of the period covered by this report on Form 10-Q, are effective to ensure that information required to be disclosed by us in the reports that we file or submit under the Exchange Act is recorded, processed, summarized and reported, within the time periods specified in the SEC’s rules and forms, and that such information is accumulated and communicated to our management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate, to allow timely decisions regarding disclosure.

There has been no change in our internal control over financial reporting during the quarter ended March 31, 2010 that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.

Forward-Looking Statements

This report on Form 10-Q and the information incorporated by reference in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q include forward looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (Securities Act), and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (Exchange Act). Some of the forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking words such as “believes,” “expects,” “may,” “will,” “should,” “seeks,” “approximately,” “plans,” “estimates” or “anticipates” or the negative of those words or other comparable terminology. Statements concerning projections, future performance developments, events, revenues, expenses, earnings, run rates, and any other guidance on present or future periods constitute forward-looking statements. Such statements include, but are not limited to, those relating to the effects of our current strategy, our principal acquisitions activities, levels of assets under management and our equity capital levels and liquidity. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties and you should not unduly rely on these statements. You should be aware that a number of important factors could cause our actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to:

 

   

the revocation of our status as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes effective as of January 1, 2009 and our ability to use net operating losses (NOLs) and net capital losses (NCLs) to reduce our taxable income;

 

   

our ability to forecast our tax attributes, which are based upon various facts and assumptions, and our ability to protect and use our NOLs and NCLs to offset future taxable income and gains, including whether our recently adopted shareholder rights plan will be effective in preventing an ownership change that would significantly limit our ability to utilize such losses;

 

   

the availability and terms of, and our ability to deploy, capital and our ability to grow our business through a strategy focused on acquiring primarily MBS issued by private organizations (private-label MBS), generally on a non-leveraged basis, and MBS that are either issued by a U.S. government agency or guaranteed as to principal and interest by U.S. government agencies or U.S. government sponsored agencies (agency-backed MBS), on a leveraged basis;

 

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the impact of the liquidation of our ownership interest in FBR Capital Markets and our ability to implement our current strategy;

 

   

the federal conservatorship of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and related efforts, along with any changes in laws and regulations affecting the relationship between Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and the federal government;

 

   

mortgage loan modification programs and future legislative action;

 

   

the overall environment for interest rates, changes in interest rates, interest rate spreads, the yield curve and prepayment rates;

 

   

ability to realize any reflation of our assets;

 

   

current conditions in the residential mortgage market and further adverse developments in that market;

 

   

current economic conditions and further adverse developments in the overall economy;

 

   

potential risk attributable to our mortgage-related or merchant banking portfolios, including changes in fair value;

 

   

our use of leverage and our dependence on repurchase agreements and other short-term borrowings to finance our mortgage-related holdings;

 

   

changes in our acquisition, hedging and leverage strategies, changes in our asset allocation and changes in our operational policies, all of which may be changed by us without shareholder approval;

 

   

competition for investment opportunities, including competition from the U.S. Treasury for investments in agency-backed MBS;

 

   

our decisions with respect to, and ability to make, future dividends;

 

   

competition for qualified personnel;

 

   

available technologies;

 

   

malfunctioning or failure in our operations and infrastructure;

 

   

the effect of government regulation and of general economic conditions on our business;

 

   

fluctuating quarterly operating results;

 

   

our ability to retain key professionals;

 

   

effects of litigation against us, our officers and directors, including the potential settlement and litigation of such claims;

 

   

risk from strategic investments or acquisitions and joint ventures or our entry into new business areas;

 

   

failure to maintain effective internal controls;

 

   

changes in laws and regulations and industry practices that may adversely affect our business;

 

   

the loss of our exclusion from the definition of “investment company” under the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended;

 

   

volatility of the securities markets; and

 

   

activity in the secondary securities markets.

We will not necessarily update the information presented in this Form 10-Q if any of these forward-looking statements turn out to be inaccurate. For a more detailed discussion of the risks affecting our business, any of which could cause our actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements, see our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009, including the section entitled “Risk Factors” in that report, and any other reports or documents we file with the SEC from time to time.

 

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PART II

OTHER INFORMATION

 

Item 1. Legal Proceedings

On September 16, 2008, a shareholder derivative action captioned Kornfeld, et al. v. Billings, et al., No. 08-1144, was filed in the Circuit Court of Arlington County, Virginia, by Bill Kornfeld and Edward Lapinski, two purported shareholders of our company. We were named as a nominal defendant along with certain current and former officers and directors as individual defendants. The complaint asserts claims under Virginia law against the individual defendants for breach of fiduciary duty and against certain of the individual defendants for unjust enrichment in connection with certain decisions concerning executive compensation. Our Board of Directors established a special committee to conduct a review and evaluation of the plaintiffs’ allegations and make a final decision concerning whether maintenance of the litigation was in our best interests. The special committee concluded that the litigation was not in our best interests. On December 8, 2008, we moved to dismiss the shareholder derivative action based on the special committee’s recommendation and the individual defendants filed demurrers. On March 5, 2009, the court denied the individual defendants’ demurrers, granted the plaintiffs’ motion for certain discovery and denied our motion to dismiss with leave to renew the motion following discovery. On July 24, 2009, the plaintiffs filed an amended complaint. The amended complaint contains allegations similar to those in the original complaint and adds a cause of action against certain of the individual defendants for waste. On August 14, 2009, we filed an answer to the amended complaint and the individual defendants filed a demurrer to the amended complaint. On January 15, 2010, the parties participated in mediation and on or about March 30, 2010, the parties executed a Memorandum of Understanding pursuant to which the parties expect to submit a settlement agreement to the court for approval.

On July 20, 2009, counsel to Bill Kornfeld and Edward Lapinski sent a letter to us demanding that the Board of Directors remedy alleged breaches of fiduciary duty by the directors in connection with the sale of a portion of our FBR Capital Markets stock to FBR Capital Markets on May 20, 2009. The letter alleges that this sale was completed pursuant to an inappropriate process and resulted in an inadequate price. The letter states that the shareholders will file a lawsuit bringing derivative claims if our Board of Directors does not take the demanded action within a reasonable period of time. Our Board of Directors established a special committee of independent directors to conduct a review and evaluation of the allegations in the letter and make a final decision concerning whether maintenance of the claims was in our best interests. The special committee concluded that maintenance of the claims was not in our best interests. Pursuant to the Memorandum of Understanding referenced above, Kornfield and Lapinski have agreed to include in the settlement agreement to be submitted for court approval a release also of the claims referenced in their July 20, 2009 letter demand.

Based on management’s review with counsel, resolution of these matters is not expected to have a material adverse effect on the Company’s financial condition, results of operation or liquidity.

 

Item 1A. Risk Factors

As of March 31, 2010, there have been no material changes in the Company’s risk factors as previously disclosed in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009.

 

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Item 6. Exhibits

 

Exhibit
Number

  

Exhibit Title

3.1    Amended and Restated Articles of Incorporation of the Company, as amended (incorporated by reference to Exhibit 3.1 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q filed on November 9, 2009).
3.2    Bylaws of Company, as amended (incorporated by reference to Exhibit 3.1 to the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed on April 16, 2010).
31.01    Certification of Chief Executive Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
31.02    Certification of Chief Financial Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
32.01    Certification of Chief Executive Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
32.02    Certification of Chief Financial Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.

 

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SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.

 

ARLINGTON ASSET INVESTMENT CORP.
By:   /S/    KURT R. HARRINGTON        
  Kurt R. Harrington
  Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Chief Accounting Officer
  (Principal Financial Officer)

Date: May 7, 2010

 

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EXHIBIT INDEX

 

Exhibit
Number

  

Exhibit Title

3.1    Amended and Restated Articles of Incorporation of the Company, as amended (incorporated by reference to Exhibit 3.1 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q filed on November 9, 2009).
3.2    Bylaws of Company, as amended (incorporated by reference to Exhibit 3.1 to the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed on April 16, 2010).
31.01    Certification of Chief Executive Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
31.02    Certification of Chief Financial Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
32.01    Certification of Chief Executive Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
32.02    Certification of Chief Financial Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.

 

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