UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549

Form 10-Q

[X]                    Quarterly report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
  For the quarterly period ended  May 5, 2007 
or
[  ] Transition report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
  For the transition period from __________________ to __________________ 

Commission File Number:                 0-21360 

Shoe Carnival, Inc.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) 

Indiana    35-1736614 
(State or other jurisdiction of  (IRS Employer Identification Number) 
incorporation or organization)   
 
7500 East Columbia Street   
Evansville, IN  47715 
(Address of principal executive offices)  (Zip code) 

(812) 867-6471 
(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code) 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.

[X]Yes  [  ]No 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, or a non-accelerated filer. See definition of “accelerated filer and large accelerated filer” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.

[  ]Large accelerated filer  [X]Accelerated filer  [  ]Non-accelerated filer 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).

[  ]Yes  [X]No 

APPLICABLE ONLY TO CORPORATE ISSUERS:

Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuer’s classes of common stock, as of the latest practicable date.

Number of Shares of Common Stock, $.01 par value, outstanding at June 8, 2007 were 13,020,315.


SHOE CARNIVAL, INC.
INDEX TO FORM 10-Q

      Page 
Part I         Financial Information  
  Item 1. Financial Statements (Unaudited)  
         Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets 3
         Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income 4
         Condensed Consolidated Statement of Shareholders' Equity 5
         Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows 6
         Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements 7 - 10
 
  Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations  11 - 15
 
  Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk 16
 
  Item 4. Controls and Procedures 16
 
Part II Other Information  
  Item 1A. Risk Factors  17
 
  Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds 17
 
  Item 6. Exhibits 17 - 19
 
  Signature   20

2



SHOE CARNIVAL, INC.
PART I - FINANCIAL INFORMATION 

ITEM 1.    FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

SHOE CARNIVAL, INC.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
Unaudited
 
 
  May 5,   February 3, April 29,
(In thousands, except per share data)  2007       2007       2006
Assets             
Current Assets:            
   Cash and cash equivalents $ 21,293   $ 34,839   $ 31,958
   Accounts receivable   793     948   1,202
   Merchandise inventories   182,646     196,662   174,388
   Deferred income tax benefit   2,192     2,088   1,135
   Other   7,307     2,605   3,673
Total Current Assets   214,231     237,142   212,356
Property and equipment-net   74,005     74,020   58,319
Total Assets  $          288,236   $           311,162 $          270,675
 
Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity             
Current Liabilities:            
   Accounts payable $ 38,304   $ 70,352 $ 49,313
   Accrued and other liabilities   15,405     14,576   14,035
Total Current Liabilities   53,709     84,928   63,348
Deferred lease incentives   5,814     6,095   5,978
Accrued rent    6,195     6,260   6,421
Deferred income taxes   477     781   1,833
Deferred compensation   3,469     3,149   2,525
Other   784     0   0
Total Liabilities   70,448     101,213   80,105
 
Shareholders' Equity:            
   Common stock, $.01 par value, 50,000 shares authorized,            
     13,673, 13,561 and 13,395 shares issued at, May 5, 2007,            
     February 3, 2007 and April 29, 2006, respectively   137     136   134
   Additional paid-in capital   74,858     73,959   70,946
   Retained earnings   143,067     135,854   119,490
   Treasury stock, at cost, 8 shares at May 5, 2007 and 0 shares            
     at February 3, 2007 and April 29, 2006   (274 )   0   0
Total Shareholders' Equity   217,788     209,949   190,570
Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity $ 288,236   $  311,162 $ 270,675

See notes to condensed consolidated financial statements.

3



  SHOE CARNIVAL, INC.      
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME      
Unaudited
 
  Thirteen   Thirteen  
  Weeks Ended   Weeks Ended  
(In thousands, except per share data)    May 5, 2007                  April 29, 2006  
Net sales  $  165,653   $  168,469  
Cost of sales (including buying,         
   distribution and occupancy costs)    115,862     117,019  
Gross profit    49,791     51,450  
Selling, general and administrative         
   expenses    39,325     39,634  
Operating income    10,466     11,816  
Interest income    (334 )    (208 ) 
Interest expense    32     32  
Income before income taxes    10,768     11,992  
Income tax expense    3,441     4,592  
Net income  $               7,327   $               7,400  
 
Net income per share:         
   Basic  $  .54   $  .56  
   Diluted  $  .53   $  .54  
 
Average shares outstanding:         
   Basic    13,499     13,247  
   Diluted    13,865     13,656  

See notes to condensed consolidated financial statements.

4


SHOE CARNIVAL, INC.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
Unaudited

          Additional              
  Common Stock Paid-In   Retained   Treasury      
(In thousands)  Issued       Treasury       Amount       Capital       Earnings       Stock       Total  
Balance at                         
   February 3, 2007  13,561 0   $  136 $  73,959   $  135,854   $  0   $  209,949  
Stock option exercises  23 (2 )        290           78     368  
Stock-based compensation                         
   income tax benefit            367             367  
Employee stock purchase                           
   plan purchases  2         63             63  
Restricted stock awards  87 (10 )    1   (295 )        294     0  
Common stock                         
   repurchased    20                 (646 )    (646 )
Stock-based compensation                         
   expense            474             474  
Cumulative effect of                         
   adoption of FIN 48                (114 )        (114 )
Net income                     7,327           7,327  
Balance at                         
   May 5, 2007  13,673 8   $  137 $  74,858   $  143,067   $  (274 )  $  217,788  

See notes to condensed consolidated financial statements.

5


SHOE CARNIVAL, INC.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
Unaudited

  Thirteen   Thirteen  
  Weeks Ended   Weeks Ended  
  May 5, 2007        April 29, 2006  
Cash flows from operating activities:         
   Net income  $  7,327   $ 7,400  
   Adjustments to reconcile net income to net         
     cash (used in) provided by operating activities:         
     Depreciation and amortization    3,876     3,567  
     Stock-based compensation    474     663  
     Loss on retirement of assets    25     86  
     Deferred income taxes    (161 )    (378 ) 
     Other    (16 )    (396 ) 
     Changes in operating assets and liabilities:         
         Accounts receivable    155     (916 ) 
         Merchandise inventories    14,016     9,605  
         Accounts payable and accrued liabilities    (31,283 )    (17,505 ) 
         Other    (2,188 )    3,390  
 
Net cash (used in) provided by operating activities    (7,775 )    5,516  
 
Cash flows from investing activities:         
   Purchases of property and equipment    (5,991 )    (2,214 ) 
   Proceeds from sale of property and equipment    144     7,200  
   Other    0     2  
 
Net cash (used in) provided by investing activities    (5,847 )    4,988  
 
Cash flows from financing activities:         
   Proceeds from issuance of stock    431     1,130  
   Excess tax benefits from stock-based compensation    291     261  
   Common stock repurchased    (646 )    (241 ) 
 
Net cash provided by financing activities    76     1,150  
 
Net (decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents    (13,546 )    11,654  
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period    34,839     20,304  
 
Cash and Cash Equivalents at End of Period  $  21,293   $  31,958  
 
Supplemental disclosures of cash flow information:         
   Cash paid during period for interest  $  32   $  31  
   Cash paid (received) during period for income taxes  $  471   $  (15 ) 
   Capital expenditures incurred but not yet paid  $  2,861   $  711  
 
See notes to condensed consolidated financial statements.         

6


SHOE CARNIVAL, INC.
NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
Unaudited

Note 1 - Basis of Presentation

In our opinion, the accompanying unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements contain all adjustments necessary to present fairly our financial position and the results of our operations and our cash flows for the periods presented. Certain information and disclosures normally included in notes to consolidated financial statements have been condensed or omitted according to the rules and regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”), although we believe that the disclosures are adequate to make the information presented not misleading. The results of operations for the interim periods are not necessarily indicative of the results to be expected for the full year. The condensed consolidated financial statements should be read in conjunction with the audited consolidated financial statements and the notes thereto contained in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended February 3, 2007.

Note 2 - Net Income Per Share

Net income per share of common stock is based on the weighted average number of shares and common share equivalents outstanding during the period. The following table presents a reconciliation of our basic and diluted weighted average common shares outstanding as required by Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (“SFAS”) No. 128, “Earnings Per Share”:

  Thirteen Thirteen
  Weeks Ended Weeks Ended
(In thousands)  May 5, 2007          April 29, 2006
Basic shares  13,499   13,247
Dilutive effect of stock-based awards  366 409
Diluted shares  13,865 13,656

For the quarters ended May 5, 2007 and April 29, 2006, there were no anti-dilutive shares.

Note 3 – Recently Issued Accounting Pronouncements

In July 2006, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (the “FASB”) issued FASB Interpretation No. 48, “Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes” (“FIN 48”), an interpretation of FASB No. 109 (“SFAS No. 109”). FIN 48 clarifies the accounting for the uncertainty in income taxes recognized by prescribing a recognition threshold that a tax position is required to meet before being recognized in the financial statements. Additionally, FIN 48 provides guidance on measurement, derecognition, classification, accounting in interim periods and disclosure requirements for uncertain tax positions. We adopted the provisions of FIN 48 on February 4, 2007. See Note 5 – “Income Taxes”, in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for additional information, including the effects of adoption on our consolidated financial statements.

In September 2006, the FASB issued SFAS No. 157, “Fair Value Measurements” (“SFAS No. 157”). SFAS No. 157 defines fair value, establishes a framework for measuring fair value in generally accepted accounting principles, and expands disclosures about fair value measurements. SFAS No. 157 is effective for financial statements issued for fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2007, and interim periods within those fiscal years. We do not believe the adoption of SFAS No. 157 will have a material impact on our consolidated financial statements.

7


In February 2007, the FASB issued SFAS No. 159, “The Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities—Including an Amendment of FASB Statement No. 115” (“SFAS No. 159”). SFAS No. 159 allows companies the choice to measure many financial instruments and certain other items at fair value. This gives companies the opportunity to mitigate volatility in reported earnings caused by measuring related assets and liabilities differently without having to apply complex hedge accounting provisions. The provisions of SFAS No. 159 will be effective for fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2007. We are currently evaluating the impact the adoption of SFAS No. 159 will have on our consolidated financial statements.

Note 4 - Stock-Based Compensation

Stock Options

The following table summarizes the stock option transactions for the quarter ended May 5, 2007:

          Weighted-    
          Average    
      Weighted- Remaining Aggregate
  Number of      Average      Contractual      Intrinsic Value
Shares  Exercise Price Term (Years) (in thousands)
Outstanding at February 3, 2007  652,946    $ 12.51      
   Forfeited or expired  (1,001 )    16.10      
   Exercised  (25,855 )    14.24      
Outstanding at May 5, 2007  626,090    $ 12.44   4.43  $  11,109
Options outstanding at May 5, 2007, net of               
   estimated forfeitures  623,346    $ 12.44 4.41  $  11,060
Exercisable at May 5, 2007  606,087    $ 12.45 4.33  $  10,748

The following table summarizes information regarding outstanding and exercisable options at May 5, 2007:

    Options Outstanding Options Exercisable
    Number Weighted Weighted Number Weighted
Range of of Options Average Average of Options Average
Exercise Price      Outstanding      Remaining Life      Exercise Price      Exercisable      Exercise Price
$ 4.38 – 5.75   62,662   3.57 $ 4.48   62,662   $  4.48
$   8.56 – 11.13 176,125 2.00 $ 10.44 176,125 $  10.44
$ 11.88 – 12.67 201,835 6.07 $ 12.57 182,666 $  12.62
$ 13.87 – 17.12 185,468 5.23 $ 16.88 184,634 $  16.89

The total intrinsic value, defined as the difference between the market value at exercise and the grant price, of stock options exercised during the first quarter of fiscal 2007 and 2006 was $504,000 and $901,000, respectively. The total cash received from these stock option exercises during the first quarter of fiscal 2007 and 2006 was $368,000 and $1.1 million, respectively. The recorded excess tax benefits associated with these stock option exercises during the first quarter of fiscal 2007 and 2006 was $180,000 and $338,000, respectively.

During the first quarter of fiscal 2007 and 2006, we recognized approximately $22,000 and $106,000 in stock-based compensation expense for non-vested stock options before the recognized tax benefit of $8,600 and $40,000, respectively.

As of May 5, 2007, there was approximately $48,000 of unrecognized stock-based compensation expense remaining related to non-vested stock options. This expense is expected to be recognized over a period of less than one year.

8


Restricted Stock Awards

The following table summarizes the restricted share transactions for the quarter ended May 5, 2007:

    Weighted-
  Number of   Average Grant
  Shares           Date Fair Value
Non-vested at February 3, 2007  79,517    $  21.58
   Granted  98,000     29.42
   Forfeited  (834 )    26.84
   Vested  (41,228 )    19.84
Non-vested at May 5, 2007  135,455    $  27.75

The total fair value at grant date of previously non-vested stock awards that vested during the first quarter of fiscal 2007 was $831,000. The weighted-average grant date fair value of stock awards granted during the first quarter of fiscal 2007 and 2006 was $29.42 and $22.99, respectively.

During the first quarter of fiscal 2007 and 2006, we recognized approximately $441,000 and $547,000 in stock-based compensation expense for restricted stock awards before the recognized tax benefit of $168,000 and $210,000, respectively. As of May 5, 2007, there was approximately $3.2 million of unrecognized compensation expense remaining related to non-vested stock awards. This expense is expected to be recognized over a weighted-average period of 2.02 years. The majority of the non-vested restricted stock are performance-based awards and the weighted-average period incorporates the current assumptions of the estimated requisite period required to achieve the designated performance conditions.

Employee Stock Purchase Plan

During the first quarter of fiscal 2007, we recognized approximately $11,000 in stock-based compensation expense for the employee stock purchase plan before the recognized income tax benefit of $4,000 representative of the 15% discount employees are provided for purchases under the employee stock purchase plan.

Note 5 – Income Taxes

On February 4, 2007, we adopted the provisions of FIN 48. This interpretation of SFAS No. 109 clarifies the accounting for the uncertainty in income taxes recognized by prescribing a recognition threshold that a tax position is required to meet before being recognized in the financial statements. FIN 48 also provides guidance on derecognition of tax benefits, classification on the balance sheet, interest and penalties, accounting in interim periods, disclosure, and transition. Our evaluation under FIN 48 was performed for the tax years encompassing our fiscal years 1999 through 2005, the tax years which remain subject to examination by major tax jurisdictions as of May 5, 2007. Prior to the adoption of FIN 48, we recorded interest expense related to uncertain tax positions as a component of interest expense. Upon adoption of FIN 48 we changed this policy to record such items as a component of income tax expense in the consolidated statement of income. Penalties have historically been included as a component of income tax expense and will continue be recorded in this manner with the adoption of FIN 48.

The total effect of the adoption on our consolidated balance sheet as of February 4, 2007 was a $361,000 increase in tax liability including penalties and interest and a $247,000 increase in deferred income tax benefits; resulting in a $114,000 reduction to retained earnings. After recording these entries, we had a liability for unrecognized tax benefits, including interest and penalties, of $775,000.

For the first quarter of fiscal 2007, we recorded $9,000 of interest expense related to uncertain tax positions. As of May 5, 2007, our liability for unrecognized tax positions was $566,000 and accrued interest and penalties associated with this liability were $218,000; resulting in a total liability for unrecognized tax benefits of $784,000. This amount was classified as an Other liability on our consolidated balance sheet as of May 5, 2007. If our uncertain tax positions become recognizable, the amount would reduce our effective tax rate. We do not expect the amount of the liability for unrecognized tax benefits, excluding interest and penalties, will change significantly within the next 12 months.

9


The effective income tax rate for the first quarter of fiscal 2007 decreased to 32.0% from 38.3% for the same time period in 2006. The reduction in the effective income tax rate was primarily due to a reduction in state income taxes from state incentives related to the investment in our new distribution center.

Note 6 – Stock Repurchase Program

In fiscal 2006, our Board of Directors authorized a $50.0 million stock buy-back program, which will terminate upon the earlier of the repurchase of the maximum amount or December 31, 2008. During the first quarter of fiscal 2007, we repurchased 10,000 shares of our outstanding common stock at a cost of $295,000 under this program. As of May 5, 2007, the amount that remained available under the existing repurchase authorization was $49.7 million. Subsequent to May 5, 2007, through the date of this report, we purchased an additional 662,000 shares of our outstanding common stock at a cost of $18.9 million. All repurchases under this program have been made utilizing available cash on hand.  

10



ITEM 2.      MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS 

Factors That May Effect Future Results

This Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q contains forward-looking statements, within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause our actual results, performance, achievements or industry results to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to: general economic conditions in the areas of the United States in which our stores are located; changes in the overall retail environment and more specifically in the apparel and footwear retail sectors; the potential impact of national and international security concerns on the retail environment; changes in our relationships with key suppliers; the impact of competition and pricing; changes in weather patterns, consumer buying trends and our ability to identify and respond to emerging fashion trends; the impact of disruptions in our distribution or information technology operations; the impact of hurricanes or other natural disasters on our stores, as well as on consumer confidence and purchasing in general; risks associated with the seasonality of the retail industry; the availability of desirable store locations at acceptable lease terms and our ability to open new stores in a timely and profitable manner; higher than anticipated costs associated with the closing of underperforming stores; the inability of manufacturers to deliver products in a timely manner; changes in the political and economic environments in the People’s Republic of China, a major manufacturer of footwear; and the continued favorable trade relations between the United States and China and other countries which are the major manufacturers of footwear. For a more detailed discussion of certain risk factors, see the “Risk Factors” section of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended February 3, 2007.

General

Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations is intended to provide information to assist the reader in better understanding and evaluating our financial condition and results of operations. We encourage you to read this in conjunction with our condensed consolidated financial statements and the notes to those statements included in PART I, ITEM 1 FINANCIAL STATEMENTS of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, as well as our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended February 3, 2007 as filed with the SEC.

Overview

Shoe Carnival, Inc. is one of the nation's largest family footwear retailers. As of May 5, 2007, we operated 278 stores in 25 states in the Midwest, South and Southeast regions of the United States. We offer a distinctive shopping experience, a broad merchandise assortment and value to our customers while maintaining an efficient store level cost structure.

Our stores combine competitive pricing with a highly promotional, in-store marketing effort that encourages customer participation and creates a fun and exciting shopping experience. We believe this highly promotional atmosphere results in various competitive advantages, including increased multiple unit sales; the building of a loyal, repeat customer base; the creation of word-of-mouth advertising; and enhanced sell through of in-season goods. Our objective is to be the destination store-of-choice for a wide range of consumers seeking moderately priced, current season name brand and private label footwear. Our product assortment includes dress and casual shoes, sandals, boots and a wide assortment of athletic shoes for the entire family. We believe that by offering a wide selection of both athletic and non-athletic footwear, we are able to reduce our exposure to shifts in fashion preferences between those categories. Our ability to identify and react to fashion changes is a key factor in our sales and earnings performance.

Our marketing effort targets middle income, value-conscious consumers seeking name brand footwear for all age groups. We believe that by offering a wide selection of popular styles of name brand merchandise at competitive prices, we generate broad customer appeal. Our cost-efficient store operations and real estate strategy enable us to price products competitively and earn attractive store level returns. Low labor costs are achieved by housing merchandise directly on the selling floor in an open-stock format, enabling customers who choose to serve themselves. This reduces the staffing required to assist customers and reduces store level labor costs as a percentage of sales. We locate stores predominantly in strip shopping centers in order to take advantage of lower occupancy costs and maximize our exposure to value-oriented shoppers.

11


Critical Accounting Policies

It is necessary for us to include certain judgements in our reported financial results. These judgements involve estimates that are inherently uncertain and actual results could differ materially from these estimates. The accounting policies that require the more significant judgements are:

Merchandise Inventories - Merchandise inventories are stated at the lower of cost or market using the first-in, first-out (FIFO) method. In determining market value, we estimate the future sales price of items of merchandise contained in the inventory as of the balance sheet date. Factors considered in this determination include, among others, current and recently recorded sales prices, the length of time product has been held in inventory and quantities of various product styles contained in inventory. The ultimate amount realized from the sale of certain product could differ materially from our estimates. We also estimate a shrinkage reserve for the period between the last physical count and the balance sheet date. The estimate for the shrinkage reserve can be affected by changes in merchandise mix and changes in actual shrinkage trends.

Valuation of Long-Lived Assets - We review long-lived assets whenever events or circumstances indicate the carrying value of an asset may not be recoverable and annually when no such event has occurred. We evaluate the ongoing value of assets associated with retail stores that have been open longer than one year. When events such as these occur, the assets subject to impairment are adjusted to estimated fair value and, if applicable, an impairment loss is recorded in selling, general and administrative expenses. Our assumptions and estimates used in the evaluation of impairment, including current and future economic trends for stores, are subject to a high degree of judgement and if actual results or market conditions differ from those anticipated, additional losses may be recorded.

Income Taxes - We calculate income taxes in accordance with SFAS No. 109 and account for uncertain tax positions in accordance with FIN 48. Under SFAS No. 109, deferred tax assets and liabilities are recognized based on the difference between the consolidated financial statement carrying amounts of existing assets and liabilities and their respective tax basis. Deferred tax assets and liabilities are measured using the estimated tax rates in effect in the years when those temporary differences are expected to reverse. Under FIN 48, we are required to make many subjective assumptions and judgments regarding our income tax exposures. Interpretations of and guidance surrounding income tax laws and regulations are often complex, ambiguous and change over time. As such, changes in our subjective assumptions and judgments can materially affect amounts recognized in the consolidated financial statements. See our Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements, Note 5 – “Income Taxes” included in PART I, ITEM 1 FINANCIAL STATEMENTS of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for additional details on our uncertain tax positions.

Results of Operations

    Number of Stores    Store Square Footage Comparable  
              Store Sales  
  Beginning            End of    Net  End    (Decrease)  
Quarter Ended   Of Period  Opened    Closed    Period    Change    of Period    Increase (1)  
May 5, 2007  271  7  0  278  66,000  3,128,000  (3.7% ) 
 
April 29, 2006  263  0  0  263  0  3,012,000  4.1%  

(1)       Comparable store sales for the thirteen-week period ended May 5, 2007 are compared to the thirteen-week period ended May 6, 2006.
 

12


The following table sets forth our results of operations expressed as a percentage of net sales for the periods indicated:

  Thirteen   Thirteen  
  Weeks Ended     Weeks Ended  
  May 5, 2007         April 29, 2006  
Net sales  100.0 %  100.0 %
Cost of sales (including buying,     
   distribution and occupancy costs)  70.0   69.5  
Gross profit  30.0   30.5  
Selling, general and     
   administrative expenses  23.7   23.5  
Operating income  6.3   7.0  
Interest income  (0.2 )  (0.1 ) 
Interest expense  0.0   0.0  
Income before income taxes  6.5   7.1  
Income tax expense  2.1   2.7  
Net income  4.4 %  4.4 % 

Net Sales

In the regular course of business, we offer our customers sales incentives including coupons, discounts, and free merchandise. Sales are recorded net of such incentives and returns and allowances. If an incentive involves free merchandise, that merchandise is recorded as a zero sale and the cost is included in cost of sales. Comparable store sales for the periods indicated include stores that have been open for 13 full months prior to the beginning of the period, including those stores that have been relocated or remodeled. Therefore, stores opened or closed during the periods indicated are not included in comparable store sales.

It is important to note that the 53rd week in fiscal 2006 caused a one-week shift in our fiscal 2007 calendar, resulting in the end of our fiscal 2007 first quarter being shifted one week later to May 5 as compared to April 29 for the prior year. This shift will affect all quarters and if there are seasonal influences near the respective quarter-end dates, our year-over-year sales comparisons may be impacted. Our reported quarterly and year-to-date comparable store sales results for fiscal 2007, both in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and in our other public disclosures, are being adjusted for this shift.

Net sales decreased $2.8 million to $165.7 million in the first quarter ended May 5, 2007, a 1.7% decrease over net sales of $168.5 million in the first quarter ended April 29, 2006. Of this decrease, $6.0 million was attributable to a 3.7% decrease in comparable store sales; partially offset by $5.8 million of sales generated by operating 15 more stores during the first quarter of fiscal 2007 compared to the same period last year. The net sales decrease also included a decrease of $2.2 million in sales due to the seasonal differences associated with the fiscal calendar shift noted above.

Gross Profit

Gross profit decreased $1.7 million to $49.8 million in the first quarter of 2007, a 3.2% decrease over gross profit of $51.5 million for the first quarter of fiscal 2006. Our gross profit margin for the first quarter of 2007 decreased to 30.0% from 30.5% in the prior year. This decrease in profit margin resulted from a 1.5% increase in buying, distribution and occupancy costs partially offset by a 1.0% increase in the merchandise margin. The increase in buying, distribution and occupancy costs was due primarily to an increase in distribution costs and the deleveraging effect of lower same store sales. Of the increase in distribution costs, approximately $936,000, or $0.04 per diluted share, was related to converting to a new distribution center.

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Selling, General and Administrative Expenses

Selling, general and administrative expenses decreased $309,000 to $39.3 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2007 from $39.6 million in the comparable prior year period. This decrease in expense was primarily due to a decrease in incentive compensation partially offset by higher store pre-opening costs.  As a percentage of sales, selling, general and administrative expenses increased to 23.7% in the first quarter of fiscal 2007 from 23.5% for the comparable period last year due to the deleveraging effect of lower sales.

Pre-opening costs for the seven stores opened in the first quarter of fiscal 2007 were $289,000, or 0.2% of sales. No stores were opened and no pre-opening costs were incurred in the first quarter of last year. Pre-opening costs, such as advertising, payroll and supplies, incurred prior to the opening of a new store are charged to expense in the period they are incurred. The total amount of pre-opening expense incurred will vary on a store-by-store basis depending on the specific market and the promotional activities involved.

Interest (Income) Expense

We recorded net interest income of $302,000 in the first quarter of fiscal 2007 as compared to net interest income of $176,000 in the first quarter of the prior year. The increase in net interest income was primarily the result of higher average investments during the first quarter of fiscal 2007 as compared to the prior year. We had no direct borrowings under our credit facility during the first quarter of fiscal 2007.

Income Taxes

The effective income tax rate for the first quarter of fiscal 2007 decreased to 32.0% from 38.3% for the same time period in 2006. The reduction in the effective income tax rate was primarily due to a reduction in state income taxes from state incentives related to the investment in our new distribution center. The reduction in income tax expense related to the tax incentives equated to an increase of approximately $0.05 in earnings per diluted share for the first quarter of fiscal 2007.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Our primary sources of funds are cash flows from operations and borrowings under our revolving credit facility. Net cash used in operating activities was $7.8 million for the first quarter of 2007 as compared with net cash provided by operating activities of $5.5 million for the first quarter of 2006. These amounts reflect the income from operations adjusted for non-cash items and working capital changes. The $13.3 million increase in cash used in operating activities between the two respective periods related primarily to the timing of the payments of accounts payable and accrued liabilities.

Working capital increased to $160.5 million at May 5, 2007 from $149.0 million at April 29, 2006. The current ratio at May 5, 2007 and April 29, 2006 was 4.0 and 3.4, respectively. We had no long-term debt at May 5, 2007 or April 29, 2006.

Capital expenditures were $6.0 million for the first quarter of fiscal 2007. Of this amount, $3.7 million was incurred for our new distribution center along with $1.5 million for new stores. The remaining capital expenditures in the first quarter were incurred for store remodeling and relocation, software and information technology, in-store graphics and miscellaneous equipment purchases. We did not receive any lease incentives from landlords during the first quarter.

We anticipate opening between 23 and 25 new stores and closing three stores during fiscal 2007. During the first quarter, seven stores were opened versus no openings during the first quarter of the prior year. No stores were closed during the first quarter of either fiscal 2007 or 2006. We expect to open seven stores in the second quarter of fiscal 2007.

Remaining capital expenditures are expected to be $15 million to $16 million in fiscal 2007. Of this amount, approximately $1 million represents equipment for our new distribution center and $2 million represents our projected investment in furniture and fixtures for our new corporate headquarters. We intend to open 23 to 25 stores at an expected aggregate cost of between $6.7 million and $7.3 million in fiscal 2007. The balance of capital expenditures are expected to be incurred for store remodels, visual presentation enhancements and various other store improvements, along with continued investments in technology and normal asset replacement activities. The actual amount of cash required for capital expenditures for store operations depends in part on the number of new stores opened, the amount of lease incentives, if any, received from landlords and the number of stores remodeled. The opening of new stores will be dependent upon, among other things, the availability of desirable locations, the negotiation of acceptable lease terms and general economic and business conditions affecting consumer spending in areas we target for expansion.

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Our current store prototype uses between 6,500 and 12,000 square feet depending upon, among other factors, the location of the store and the population base the store is expected to service. Capital expenditures for a new store in fiscal 2007 are expected to average approximately $290,000. The average inventory investment in a new store is expected to range from $350,000 to $750,000 depending on the size and sales expectation of the store and the timing of the new store opening. Pre-opening expenses, such as advertising, salaries and supplies, are expected to average approximately $49,000 per store in fiscal 2007 with individual stores experiencing variances in expenditure levels based on the specific market.

Our unsecured credit facility provides for up to $70 million in cash advances on a revolving basis and commercial letters of credit. Borrowings under the revolving credit line are based on eligible inventory. The agreement governing the credit facility stipulates a minimum threshold for net worth, a maximum ratio of funded debt plus rent to EBITDA plus rent, and a maximum of total distributions for stock repurchases and cash dividends. We were in compliance with these requirements as of May 5, 2007. Should a default condition be reported, the lenders may preclude additional borrowings and call all loans and accrued interest at their discretion. The credit agreement and amendments thereto are filed as exhibits to (or incorporated by reference in) this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. There were no borrowings outstanding under the credit facility and letters of credit outstanding were $7.3 million at May 5, 2007. As of May 5, 2007, $62.7 million was available to us for additional borrowings under the credit facility. On December 15, 2006, the credit agreement was amended to extend the maturity date to April 30, 2010 and to allow us to repurchase shares of our outstanding common stock in an amount not to exceed $50 million. This amendment follows the Board of Director’s December 2006 authorization of a $50 million stock buy-back program, which will terminate on the earlier of the repurchase of the maximum amount or December 31, 2008. During the first quarter of fiscal 2007, 10,000 shares of common stock were repurchased under this program. Subsequent to May 5, 2007, through the date of this report, we purchased an additional 662,000 shares of our outstanding common stock at a cost of $18.9 million. All repurchases under this program have been made utilizing available cash on hand.

We anticipate that our existing cash and cash flow from operations, supplemented by borrowings under our revolving credit line, will be sufficient to fund our planned store expansion, the capital investment required for our new corporate headquarters and distribution center, the repurchase of our common stock under our current repurchase plan and other operating cash requirements for at least the next 12 months.

Seasonality

Our quarterly results of operations have fluctuated and are expected to continue to fluctuate in the future primarily as a result of seasonal variances and the timing of sales and costs associated with opening new stores. Non-capital expenditures, such as advertising and payroll, incurred prior to opening a new store are charged to expense as incurred. Therefore, our results of operations may be adversely affected in any quarter in which we incur pre-opening expenses related to the opening of new stores.

We have three distinct peak selling periods: Easter, back-to-school and Christmas.

New Accounting Pronouncements

Recent accounting pronouncements applicable to our operations are contained in Note 3 – “Recently Issued Accounting Pronouncements” contained in the Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements included in PART I, ITEM 1 FINANCIAL STATEMENTS of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.

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ITEM 3.   QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK

We are exposed to market risk in that the interest payable under our credit facility is based on variable interest rates and therefore is affected by changes in market rates. We do not use interest rate derivative instruments to manage exposure to changes in market interest rates. We did not incur borrowings against our revolving credit line during the first quarter of fiscal 2007.

ITEM 4.   CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES

Our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer have concluded, based on their evaluation as of May 5, 2007, that our disclosure controls and procedures are effective to ensure that information required to be disclosed by us in the reports filed or submitted by us under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified in the Securities and Exchange Commission's rules and forms, and include controls and procedures designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed by us in such reports is accumulated and communicated to our management, including the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure.

Management is continuously seeking to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of our operations and internal controls. This results in refinements to processes throughout the company. In the third quarter of 2006, the company began to transition certain store locations to a new time and attendance payroll system. Additionally, as part of our continued strategy to grow our store base and increase processing capacity, we began conversion to our new distribution center in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2006. We believe the implementation of our new payroll system and launch of our new distribution center has strengthened the overall system of internal controls due to enhanced automation and integration of related processes. Testing of the controls related to these new systems is ongoing and management will make its evaluation of the effectiveness of these controls pursuant to final transition of the systems. There have been no other changes in our internal control over financial reporting that occurred during the first quarter ended May 5, 2007, that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.

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SHOE CARNIVAL, INC.
PART II - OTHER INFORMATION

ITEM 1A.   RISK FACTORS

You should carefully consider the risks and uncertainties we describe both in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and in the “Risk Factors” section of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended February 3, 2007 before deciding to invest in, or retain, shares of our common stock. These are not the only risks and uncertainties that we face. Additional risks and uncertainties that we do not currently know about, we currently believe are immaterial or we have not predicted may also harm our business operations or adversely affect us. If any of these risks or uncertainties actually occur, our business, financial condition, results of operations or cash flows could be materially adversely affected. There have been no material changes to the risk factors set forth in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended February 3, 2007.

ITEM 2.   UNREGISTERED SALES OF EQUITY SECURITIES AND USE OF PROCEEDS

Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities

                   Total Number         Approximate 
         Of Shares   Dollar Value 
       Purchased   of Shares 
       as Part   that May Yet 
   Total Number   Average   of Publicly   Be Purchased 
   of Shares   Price Paid   Announced   Under the 
Period   Purchased1   per Share   Programs2   Programs 
February 4, 2007 to March 3, 2007  0  $   0.0 0   $50,000,000
March 4, 2007 to April 7, 2007  20,554  $  31.43 10,000   $49,705,000
April 8, 2007 to May 5, 2007  0 $  0.0 0   $49,705,000
  20,554   10,000   
 
1       Of these shares, 10,554 were delivered to or withheld by us in connection with employee payroll tax withholding upon the vesting of certain restricted stock awards.
 
2 These shares are part of a publicly announced, $50.0 million stock buy-back program that our Board of Directors approved in December 2006. The program will terminate on the earlier of the repurchase of the maximum amount or December 31, 2008.

ITEM 6.   EXHIBITS

      (a)   Exhibits 
 
      3-A     Restated Articles of Incorporation of Registrant (incorporated herein by reference from the same exhibit number to the Registrant's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended February 2, 2002)
 
  3-B By-laws of Registrant, as amended to date (incorporated herein by reference from the same exhibit number to our Current Report on Form 8-K filed on March 19, 2007)
 
  4 (i) Amended and Restated Credit Agreement and Promissory Notes dated April 16, 1999, between Registrant and Mercantile Bank National Association, First Union National Bank and Old National Bank (incorporated herein by reference from Exhibit 4(I) to the Registrant's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended January 30, 1999)
 
    (ii) Amendment to Amended and Restated Credit Agreement and Promissory Notes dated March 24, 2000, between Registrant and Mercantile Bank National Association, First Union National Bank and Old National Bank (incorporated herein by reference from the same exhibit number to the Registrant's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended January 29, 2000)


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      (a)   Exhibits (continued)
 
                 (iii) Second Amendment to Amended and Restated Credit Agreement and Promissory Notes dated November 8, 2000, between Registrant and Firstar Bank N.A., First Union National Bank, Old National Bank and LaSalle Bank National Association (incorporated herein by reference from the same exhibit number to the Registrant's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended October 28, 2000)
 
        (iv) Third Amendment to Amended and Restated Credit Agreement and Promissory Notes dated March 18, 2002, between Registrant and U.S. Bank National Association, First Union National Bank, Old National Bank and LaSalle Bank National Association (incorporated herein by reference from the same exhibit number to the Registrant's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended February 2, 2002)
 
  (v) Fourth Amendment to Amended and Restated Credit Agreement and Promissory Notes dated March 12, 2003, between Registrant and U.S. Bank National Association, Wachovia Bank National Association, Old National Bank and LaSalle Bank National Association (incorporated herein by reference from the same exhibit number to the Registrant's Annual Report on Form 10- K for the year ended February 1, 2003)
   
(vi) Fifth Amendment to Amended and Restated Credit Agreement and Promissory Notes dated April 5, 2004, between Registrant and U.S. Bank National Association, Wachovia Bank National Association, Old National Bank and LaSalle Bank National Association (incorporated herein by reference from the same exhibit number to the Registrant's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended January 31, 2004)
 
(vii) Assignment Agreement dated June 1, 2004 among LaSalle Bank National Association as Assignor, Fifth Third Bank (Southern Indiana) as Assignee, Registrant as Borrower and U.S. Bank National Association as Agent relating to the Amended and Restated Credit Agreement as further amended (incorporated herein by reference from the same exhibit number to the Registrant's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended May 1, 2004)
 
(viii) Sixth Amendment to Amended and Restated Credit Agreement and Notes dated April 5, 2005, between Registrant and U.S. Bank National Association, Wachovia Bank National Association, Fifth Third Bank (Southern Indiana) and Old National Bank (incorporated herein by reference from the same exhibit number to the Registrant's Current Report on Form 8-K filed on April 11, 2005)
 
(ix) Seventh Amendment to Amended and Restated Credit Agreement and Notes dated March 31, 2006, between Registrant and U.S. Bank National Association, Wachovia Bank, National Association and Fifth Third Bank (incorporated herein by reference from the same exhibit number to the Registrant's Current Report on Form 8-K filed on April 4, 2006)
 
(x) Eighth Amendment to Amended and Restated Credit Agreement and Notes dated December 15, 2006, between Registrant and U.S. Bank National Association, Wachovia Bank, National Association and Fifth Third Bank (incorporated herein by reference from the same exhibit number to the Registrant's Current Report on Form 8-K filed on December 11, 2006)
 
  31.1 Certification of Chief Executive Officer Pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a)/15d-14(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as Adopted Pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
 
31.2 Certification of Chief Financial Officer Pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a)/15d-14(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as Adopted Pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

 

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      (a)   Exhibits (continued)
 
      32.1     Certification of Chief Executive Officer Pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as Adopted Pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
  
  32.2 Certification of Chief Financial Officer Pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as Adopted Pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

 

 

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SHOE CARNIVAL, INC.
SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed, on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

Date:  June 14, 2007                                         SHOE CARNIVAL, INC. 
                                                      (Registrant) 
 
 
    By: /s/ W. Kerry Jackson 
    W. Kerry Jackson 
    Executive Vice President and 
    Chief Financial Officer   

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