ý | QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934. |
¨ | TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934. |
Federally chartered corporation | 8200 Jones Branch Drive McLean, Virginia 22102-3110 | 52-0904874 | (703) 903-2000 | |||
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Large accelerated filer ý | Accelerated filer ¨ | ||||
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Table of Contents |
Page | |
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS | |
INTRODUCTION | |
KEY ECONOMIC INDICATORS | |
CONSOLIDATED RESULTS OF OPERATIONS | |
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS ANALYSIS | |
OUR BUSINESS SEGMENTS | |
RISK MANAGEMENT | |
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES | |
CONSERVATORSHIP AND RELATED MATTERS | |
REGULATION AND SUPERVISION | |
OFF-BALANCE SHEET ARRANGEMENTS | |
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS | |
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS | |
OTHER INFORMATION | |
LEGAL PROCEEDINGS | |
RISK FACTORS | |
UNREGISTERED SALES OF EQUITY SECURITIES AND USE OF PROCEEDS | |
EXHIBITS | |
CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES | |
SIGNATURES | |
GLOSSARY | |
FORM 10-Q INDEX | |
EXHIBIT INDEX |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | i |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Introduction |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 1 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Introduction |
• | $1.8 billion decline resulting from interest rates decreasing during 2Q 2016 compared to increasing during 2Q 2015; and |
• | $0.6 billion decline resulting from less spread tightening during 2Q 2016 compared to 2Q 2015. |
• | Interest-Rate Volatility — We hold assets and liabilities that expose us to interest-rate risk. Through our use of derivatives, we manage our exposure to interest-rate risk on an economic basis to a low level as measured by our models. However, the way we account for our financial assets and liabilities (i.e., some are measured at amortized cost, while others are measured at fair value), including derivatives, creates volatility in our GAAP earnings when interest rates fluctuate. Based upon the composition of our financial assets and liabilities, including derivatives, at June 30, 2016, we generally recognize fair value losses in earnings when interest rates decline. This volatility generally is not indicative of the underlying economics of our business. For information about the sensitivity of our financial results to interest-rate volatility, see "Risk Management - Interest-Rate Risk and Other Market Risks." |
• | Spread Volatility — The volatility of spreads (i.e., credit spreads, liquidity spreads, risk premiums, etc.), or OAS, is the risk associated with changes in the excess of interest rates over benchmark rates. We hold assets and liabilities that expose us to spread volatility, which may contribute to significant earnings volatility. For financial assets measured at fair value, we generally recognize fair value losses when spreads widen. Conversely, for financial liabilities measured at fair value, we generally recognize fair value gains when spreads widen. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 2 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Introduction |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 3 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Key Economic Indicators | Single-family Home Prices |
• | Home prices continued to appreciate during 2Q 2016 and YTD 2016, increasing 3.7% and 5.6%, respectively, compared to an increase of 3.7% and 5.5%, respectively, during 2Q 2015 and YTD 2015, based on our own non-seasonally adjusted price index of single-family homes funded by loans owned or guaranteed by us or Fannie Mae. |
• | National home prices at June 30, 2016 were approximately 1% below their peak level of 167 reached in June 2006, based on our index. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 4 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Key Economic Indicators | Interest Rates |
• | Both ending and average mortgage interest rates, as indicated by the 30-year PMMS rate, decreased during 2Q 2016 and YTD 2016. |
• | The average 30-year PMMS rate was 3.59% and 3.66% during 2Q 2016 and YTD 2016, respectively, compared to 3.82% and 3.77% during 2Q 2015 and YTD 2015, respectively. |
• | Longer-term interest rates, as indicated by the 10-year LIBOR and the 10-year Treasury rate, declined during 2Q 2016 and YTD 2016. The decline in longer-term interest rates during the quarter was due, in part, to the United Kingdom's decision to leave the European Union and expectations of lower worldwide economic growth. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 5 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Key Economic Indicators | Unemployment Rate |
• | An average of approximately 147,000 and 172,000 monthly net new jobs were added to the economy during 2Q 2016 and YTD 2016, respectively. The steady flow of jobs helped the unemployment rate improve slightly. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 6 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Results of Operations | Comparison |
2Q 2016 | 2Q 2015 | Change | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | Change | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(dollars in millions) | $ | % | $ | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net interest income | $ | 3,443 | $ | 3,969 | $ | (526 | ) | (13 | )% | $ | 6,848 | $ | 7,616 | $ | (768 | ) | (10 | )% | ||||||||||||
Benefit (provision) for credit losses | 775 | 857 | (82 | ) | (10 | )% | 1,242 | 1,356 | (114 | ) | (8 | )% | ||||||||||||||||||
Net interest income after benefit (provision) for credit losses | 4,218 | 4,826 | (608 | ) | (13 | )% | 8,090 | 8,972 | (882 | ) | (10 | )% | ||||||||||||||||||
Non-interest income (loss): | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Losses on extinguishment of debt | (119 | ) | (80 | ) | (39 | ) | 49 | % | (174 | ) | (159 | ) | (15 | ) | 9 | % | ||||||||||||||
Derivative gains (losses) | (2,058 | ) | 3,135 | (5,193 | ) | (166 | )% | (6,619 | ) | 732 | (7,351 | ) | (1,004 | )% | ||||||||||||||||
Net impairment of available-for-sale securities recognized in earnings | (72 | ) | (98 | ) | 26 | (27 | )% | (129 | ) | (191 | ) | 62 | (32 | )% | ||||||||||||||||
Other gains on investment securities recognized in earnings | 450 | 152 | 298 | 196 | % | 753 | 569 | 184 | 32 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
Other income (loss) | (25 | ) | (568 | ) | 543 | (96 | )% | 922 | (557 | ) | 1,479 | (266 | )% | |||||||||||||||||
Total non-interest income (loss) | (1,824 | ) | 2,541 | (4,365 | ) | (172 | )% | (5,247 | ) | 394 | (5,641 | ) | (1,432 | )% | ||||||||||||||||
Non-interest expense: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Administrative expense | (475 | ) | (501 | ) | 26 | (5 | )% | (923 | ) | (952 | ) | 29 | (3 | )% | ||||||||||||||||
REO operations expense | (29 | ) | (52 | ) | 23 | (44 | )% | (113 | ) | (127 | ) | 14 | (11 | )% | ||||||||||||||||
Temporary Payroll Tax Cut Continuation Act of 2011 expense | (280 | ) | (235 | ) | (45 | ) | 19 | % | (552 | ) | (457 | ) | (95 | ) | 21 | % | ||||||||||||||
Other expense | (151 | ) | (501 | ) | 350 | (70 | )% | (304 | ) | (964 | ) | 660 | (68 | )% | ||||||||||||||||
Total non-interest expense | (935 | ) | (1,289 | ) | 354 | (27 | )% | (1,892 | ) | (2,500 | ) | 608 | (24 | )% | ||||||||||||||||
Income before income tax expense | 1,459 | 6,078 | (4,619 | ) | (76 | )% | 951 | 6,866 | (5,915 | ) | (86 | )% | ||||||||||||||||||
Income tax expense | (466 | ) | (1,909 | ) | 1,443 | (76 | )% | (312 | ) | (2,173 | ) | 1,861 | (86 | )% | ||||||||||||||||
Net income | 993 | 4,169 | (3,176 | ) | (76 | )% | 639 | 4,693 | (4,054 | ) | (86 | )% | ||||||||||||||||||
Total other comprehensive income (loss), net of taxes and reclassification adjustments | 140 | (256 | ) | 396 | (155 | )% | 294 | (34 | ) | 328 | (965 | )% | ||||||||||||||||||
Comprehensive income | $ | 1,133 | $ | 3,913 | $ | (2,780 | ) | (71 | )% | $ | 933 | $ | 4,659 | $ | (3,726 | ) | (80 | )% |
• | Other gains on investment securities recognized in earnings |
◦ | 2Q 2016 vs. 2Q 2015 - increased primarily due to the recognition of unrealized gains on our trading securities as a result of a decline in longer-term interest rates during 2Q 2016 compared to the recognition of unrealized losses on our trading securities as a result of an increase in longer-term interest rates during 2Q 2015. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 7 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Results of Operations | Comparison |
◦ | YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - increased primarily due to the recognition of unrealized gains on our trading securities as a result of a decline in longer-term interest rates during YTD 2016 compared to the recognition of unrealized losses on our trading securities as a result of an increase in longer-term interest rates during YTD 2015. This increase was partially offset by the recognition of unrealized losses due to spread widening on our trading securities during YTD 2016 compared to the recognition of unrealized gains on our trading securities due to spread tightening during YTD 2015 and fewer sales of available-for-sale non-agency mortgage-related securities in an unrealized gain position. This decline in sales was attributable to increased market volatility and weaker investor demand for this product type. |
• | Other income (loss) |
◦ | 2Q 2016 vs. 2Q 2015 - other loss declined reflecting: |
* | Gains in 2Q 2016 compared to losses during 2Q 2015 on multifamily mortgage loans for which we elected the fair value option driven by a decline in interest rates during 2Q 2016 compared to an increase in interest rates during 2Q 2015; |
* | Gains recognized on certain multifamily held-for-sale loan purchase commitments for which we elected the fair value option in 2016; partially offset by |
* | Losses on STACR debt notes carried at fair value driven by tightening spreads between STACR yields and LIBOR during 2Q 2016 compared to gains as a result of widening spreads during 2Q 2015. |
◦ | YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - other income increased reflecting: |
* | Reduced lower-of-cost-or-fair-value adjustments as we reclassified fewer seriously delinquent single-family loans from held-for-investment to held-for-sale during YTD 2016; and |
* | Larger gains in YTD 2016 compared to YTD 2015 on multifamily mortgage loans for which we elected the fair value option driven by a decline in interest rates in YTD 2016 compared to an increase in interest rates during YTD 2015. |
• | Other expense |
◦ | 2Q 2016 vs. 2Q 2015 and YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - decreased primarily due to fewer reclassifications of seriously delinquent single-family loans from held-for-investment to held-for-sale. See "Loan Reclassifications" below for the effect of these loan reclassifications on pre-tax net income. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 8 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Results of Operations | Comparison |
(in millions) | 2Q 2016 | 2Q 2015 | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | ||||||||||||
Benefit for credit losses | $ | 509 | $ | 800 | $ | 573 | $ | 1,492 | ||||||||
Other income (loss) - lower-of-cost-or-fair-value adjustment | (667 | ) | (632 | ) | (734 | ) | (1,213 | ) | ||||||||
Other (expense) income - property taxes and insurance associated with these loans | (109 | ) | (447 | ) | (140 | ) | (796 | ) | ||||||||
Effect on income before income tax (expense) benefit | $ | (267 | ) | $ | (279 | ) | $ | (301 | ) | $ | (517 | ) |
(in billions) | 2Q 2016 | 2Q 2015 | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | |||||||||||
Components of derivative gains (losses) | |||||||||||||||
Derivative gains (losses) | $ | (2.0 | ) | $ | 3.1 | $ | (6.6 | ) | $ | 0.7 | |||||
Less: Accrual of periodic cash settlements | (0.4 | ) | (0.5 | ) | (0.9 | ) | (1.1 | ) | |||||||
Derivative fair value changes | $ | (1.6 | ) | $ | 3.6 | $ | (5.7 | ) | $ | 1.8 | |||||
Estimated Net Interest Rate Effect | |||||||||||||||
Interest rate effect on derivative fair values | $ | (1.7 | ) | $ | 3.6 | $ | (5.7 | ) | $ | 1.9 | |||||
Estimate of offsetting interest rate effect related to financial instruments measured at fair value | 1.0 | (1.4 | ) | 2.9 | (0.5 | ) | |||||||||
Income tax benefit (expense) | 0.3 | (0.8 | ) | 1.0 | (0.5 | ) | |||||||||
Estimated Net Interest Rate Effect on Comprehensive income | $ | (0.4 | ) | $ | 1.4 | $ | (1.8 | ) | $ | 0.9 |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 9 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Results of Operations | Comparison |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 10 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Results of Operations | Net Interest Income |
2Q 2016 | 2Q 2015 | |||||||||||||||||||||
(dollars in millions) | Average Balance | Interest Income (Expense)(1) | Average Rate | Average Balance | Interest Income (Expense)(1) | Average Rate | ||||||||||||||||
Interest-earning assets: | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents | $ | 14,948 | $ | 9 | 0.23 | % | $ | 10,172 | $ | 2 | 0.06 | % | ||||||||||
Securities purchased under agreements to resell | 52,643 | 47 | 0.36 | 50,358 | 13 | 0.10 | ||||||||||||||||
Mortgage-related securities: | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage-related securities | 193,637 | 1,851 | 3.82 | 233,416 | 2,270 | 3.89 | ||||||||||||||||
Extinguishment of PCs held by Freddie Mac | (96,002 | ) | (890 | ) | (3.71 | ) | (109,805 | ) | (1,017 | ) | (3.71 | ) | ||||||||||
Total mortgage-related securities, net | 97,635 | 961 | 3.94 | 123,611 | 1,253 | 4.06 | ||||||||||||||||
Non-mortgage-related securities | 12,726 | 17 | 0.53 | 11,739 | 3 | 0.09 | ||||||||||||||||
Loans held by consolidated trusts(1) | 1,638,057 | 13,872 | 3.39 | 1,574,817 | 13,730 | 3.49 | ||||||||||||||||
Loans held by Freddie Mac(1) | 138,469 | 1,366 | 3.95 | 163,468 | 1,654 | 4.05 | ||||||||||||||||
Total interest-earning assets | $ | 1,954,478 | $ | 16,272 | 3.34 | $ | 1,934,165 | $ | 16,655 | 3.44 | ||||||||||||
Interest-bearing liabilities: | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Debt securities of consolidated trusts including PCs held by Freddie Mac | $ | 1,662,187 | $ | (12,139 | ) | (2.92 | ) | $ | 1,596,840 | $ | (12,022 | ) | (3.01 | ) | ||||||||
Extinguishment of PCs held by Freddie Mac | (96,002 | ) | 890 | 3.71 | (109,805 | ) | 1,017 | 3.71 | ||||||||||||||
Total debt securities of consolidated trusts held by third parties | 1,566,185 | (11,249 | ) | (2.87 | ) | 1,487,035 | (11,005 | ) | (2.96 | ) | ||||||||||||
Other debt: | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Short-term debt | 76,057 | (82 | ) | (0.42 | ) | 103,045 | (36 | ) | (0.14 | ) | ||||||||||||
Long-term debt | 303,088 | (1,450 | ) | (1.91 | ) | 326,659 | (1,587 | ) | (1.94 | ) | ||||||||||||
Total other debt | 379,145 | (1,532 | ) | (1.61 | ) | 429,704 | (1,623 | ) | (1.51 | ) | ||||||||||||
Total interest-bearing liabilities | 1,945,330 | (12,781 | ) | (2.63 | ) | 1,916,739 | (12,628 | ) | (2.63 | ) | ||||||||||||
Expense related to derivatives | — | (48 | ) | (0.01 | ) | — | (58 | ) | (0.01 | ) | ||||||||||||
Impact of net non-interest-bearing funding | 9,148 | — | 0.01 | 17,426 | — | 0.02 | ||||||||||||||||
Total funding of interest-earning assets | $ | 1,954,478 | $ | (12,829 | ) | (2.63 | ) | $ | 1,934,165 | $ | (12,686 | ) | (2.62 | ) | ||||||||
Net interest income/yield | $ | 3,443 | 0.71 | $ | 3,969 | 0.82 | ||||||||||||||||
(1) Loan fees, primarily consisting of amortization of delivery fees, included in interest income were $634 million and $549 million for loans held by consolidated trusts and were $50 million and $144 million for loans held by Freddie Mac during 2Q 2016 and 2Q 2015, respectively. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 11 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Results of Operations | Net Interest Income |
YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | ||||||||||||||||||||
(dollars in millions) | Average Balance | Interest Income (Expense)(1) | Average Rate | Average Balance | Interest Income (Expense)(1) | Average Rate | |||||||||||||||
Interest-earning assets: | |||||||||||||||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents | $ | 13,337 | $ | 16 | 0.24 | % | $ | 12,762 | $ | 5 | 0.06 | % | |||||||||
Securities purchased under agreements to resell | 55,282 | 97 | 0.35 | 48,894 | 21 | 0.09 | |||||||||||||||
Mortgage-related securities: | |||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage-related securities | 197,620 | 3,767 | 3.81 | 239,039 | 4,636 | 3.88 | |||||||||||||||
Extinguishment of PCs held by Freddie Mac | (100,549 | ) | (1,850 | ) | (3.68 | ) | (110,896 | ) | (2,051 | ) | (3.70 | ) | |||||||||
Total mortgage-related securities, net | 97,071 | 1,917 | 3.95 | 128,143 | 2,585 | 4.03 | |||||||||||||||
Non-mortgage-related securities | 13,494 | 30 | 0.44 | 10,579 | 6 | 0.10 | |||||||||||||||
Loans held by consolidated trusts(1) | 1,634,351 | 28,133 | 3.44 | 1,569,045 | 27,609 | 3.52 | |||||||||||||||
Loans held by Freddie Mac(1) | 142,000 | 2,923 | 4.12 | 164,318 | 3,229 | 3.93 | |||||||||||||||
Total interest-earning assets | $ | 1,955,535 | $ | 33,116 | 3.39 | $ | 1,933,741 | $ | 33,455 | 3.46 | |||||||||||
Interest-bearing liabilities: | |||||||||||||||||||||
Debt securities of consolidated trusts including PCs held by Freddie Mac | $ | 1,657,645 | $ | (24,890 | ) | (3.00 | ) | $ | 1,590,235 | $ | (24,543 | ) | (3.09 | ) | |||||||
Extinguishment of PCs held by Freddie Mac | (100,549 | ) | 1,850 | 3.68 | (110,896 | ) | 2,051 | 3.70 | |||||||||||||
Total debt securities of consolidated trusts held by third parties | 1,557,096 | (23,040 | ) | (2.96 | ) | 1,479,339 | (22,492 | ) | (3.04 | ) | |||||||||||
Other debt: | |||||||||||||||||||||
Short-term debt | 88,464 | (175 | ) | (0.39 | ) | 112,386 | (74 | ) | (0.13 | ) | |||||||||||
Long-term debt | 301,655 | (2,954 | ) | (1.95 | ) | 325,657 | (3,150 | ) | (1.93 | ) | |||||||||||
Total other debt | 390,119 | (3,129 | ) | (1.60 | ) | 438,043 | (3,224 | ) | (1.47 | ) | |||||||||||
Total interest-bearing liabilities | 1,947,215 | (26,169 | ) | (2.69 | ) | 1,917,382 | (25,716 | ) | (2.68 | ) | |||||||||||
Expense related to derivatives | — | (99 | ) | (0.01 | ) | — | (123 | ) | (0.01 | ) | |||||||||||
Impact of net non-interest-bearing funding | 8,320 | — | 0.01 | 16,359 | — | 0.02 | |||||||||||||||
Total funding of interest-earning assets | $ | 1,955,535 | $ | (26,268 | ) | (2.69 | ) | $ | 1,933,741 | $ | (25,839 | ) | (2.67 | ) | |||||||
Net interest income/yield | $ | 6,848 | 0.70 | $ | 7,616 | 0.79 |
(1) | Loan fees, primarily consisting of amortization of delivery fees, included in interest income were $1.1 billion for loans held by consolidated trusts during both YTD 2016 and YTD 2015, and were $131 million and $210 million for loans held by Freddie Mac during YTD 2016 and YTD 2015, respectively. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 12 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Results of Operations | Net Interest Income |
2Q 2016 | 2Q 2015 | Change | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | Change | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
(dollars in millions) | $ | % | $ | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Contractual net interest income: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Guarantee fee income | $ | 680 | $ | 628 | $ | 52 | 8 | % | $ | 1,390 | $ | 1,236 | $ | 154 | 12 | % | |||||||||||||
Guarantee fee income related to the Temporary Payroll Tax Cut Continuation Act of 2011 | 279 | 230 | 49 | 21 | % | 546 | 447 | 99 | 22 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Other contractual net interest income | 1,744 | 2,170 | (426 | ) | (20 | )% | 3,584 | 4,392 | (808 | ) | (18 | )% | |||||||||||||||||
Total contractual net interest income | 2,703 | 3,028 | (325 | ) | (11 | )% | 5,520 | 6,075 | (555 | ) | (9 | )% | |||||||||||||||||
Net amortization - loans and debt securities of consolidated trusts | 774 | 849 | (75 | ) | (9 | )% | 1,307 | 1,382 | (75 | ) | (5 | )% | |||||||||||||||||
Net amortization - other assets and debt | 14 | 150 | (136 | ) | (91 | )% | 120 | 282 | (162 | ) | (57 | )% | |||||||||||||||||
Expense related to derivatives | (48 | ) | (58 | ) | 10 | (17 | )% | (99 | ) | (123 | ) | 24 | (20 | )% | |||||||||||||||
Net interest income | $ | 3,443 | $ | 3,969 | $ | (526 | ) | (13 | )% | $ | 6,848 | $ | 7,616 | $ | (768 | ) | (10 | )% |
• | Other contractual net interest income |
◦ | 2Q 2016 vs. 2Q 2015 and YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - decreased primarily due to the continued reduction in the balance of our mortgage-related investments portfolio pursuant to the portfolio limits established by the Purchase Agreement and FHFA. |
• | Net amortization of other assets and debt |
◦ | 2Q 2016 vs. 2Q 2015 and YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - decreased primarily due to less accretion of previously recognized other-than-temporary impairments, coupled with greater premium amortization expense associated with our mortgage-related securities portfolio as a result of agency securities being acquired at premiums. The decrease in accretion is due to a decline in the population of impaired securities as a result of our active disposition of these securities and the recognition of less other-than-temporary impairments due to stabilized collateral performance. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 13 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Results of Operations | Provision for Credit Losses |
2Q 2016 | 2Q 2015 | Change | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | Change | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(dollars in billions) | $ | % | $ | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Provision for newly impaired loans | $ | (0.2 | ) | $ | (0.4 | ) | $ | 0.2 | (50 | )% | $ | (0.4 | ) | $ | (0.6 | ) | $ | 0.2 | (33 | )% | ||||||||||
Amortization of interest rate concessions | 0.2 | 0.3 | (0.1 | ) | (33 | )% | 0.5 | 0.6 | (0.1 | ) | (17 | )% | ||||||||||||||||||
Reclassifications of held-for-investment loans to held-for-sale loans | 0.5 | 0.8 | (0.3 | ) | (38 | )% | 0.6 | 1.5 | (0.9 | ) | (60 | )% | ||||||||||||||||||
Other, including changes in estimated default probability and loss severity | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 50 | % | 0.5 | (0.1 | ) | 0.6 | (600 | )% | |||||||||||||||||||
Benefit (provision) for credit losses | $ | 0.8 | $ | 0.9 | $ | (0.1 | ) | (11 | )% | $ | 1.2 | $ | 1.4 | $ | (0.2 | ) | (14 | )% |
• | 2Q 2016 vs. 2Q 2015 - Benefit (provision) for credit losses remained relatively unchanged. Fewer seriously delinquent loans were reclassified from held-for-investment to held-for-sale in 2Q 2016 compared to 2Q 2015. During 2Q 2016, $3.1 billion in UPB of seriously delinquent single-family loans were reclassified to held-for-sale, compared to $4.5 billion during 2Q 2015. See "Loan Reclassifications" for the effect of these loan reclassifications on benefit (provision) for credit losses and pre-tax net income. |
• | YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - Benefit (provision) for credit losses remained relatively unchanged. During YTD 2016, $3.5 billion in UPB of seriously delinquent single-family loans were reclassified to held-for-sale, compared to $8.1 billion during YTD 2015. There were also improvements in estimated loss severity and probability of default during YTD 2016. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 14 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Results of Operations | Derivative Gains (Losses) |
2Q 2016 | 2Q 2015 | Change | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | Change | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
(dollars in millions) | $ | % | $ | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fair value change in interest-rate swaps | $ | (2,364 | ) | $ | 4,840 | $ | (7,204 | ) | (149 | )% | $ | (8,054 | ) | $ | 2,179 | $ | (10,233 | ) | (470 | )% | |||||||||
Fair value change in option-based derivatives | 1,141 | (1,465 | ) | 2,606 | (178 | )% | 3,076 | (449 | ) | 3,525 | (785 | )% | |||||||||||||||||
Accrual of periodic cash settlements | (420 | ) | (532 | ) | 112 | (21 | )% | (910 | ) | (1,103 | ) | 193 | (17 | )% | |||||||||||||||
Fair value change in other derivatives | (415 | ) | 292 | (707 | ) | (242 | )% | (731 | ) | 105 | (836 | ) | (796 | )% | |||||||||||||||
Derivative gains (losses) | $ | (2,058 | ) | $ | 3,135 | $ | (5,193 | ) | (166 | )% | $ | (6,619 | ) | $ | 732 | $ | (7,351 | ) | (1,004 | )% |
• | 2Q 2016 vs. 2Q 2015 - We recognized derivative fair value losses during 2Q 2016 primarily due to a decline in interest rates, while recognizing derivative fair value gains during 2Q 2015 primarily due to an increase in interest rates. For example, during 2Q 2016 the 10-year par swap rate declined 26 basis points, while during 2Q 2015 the 10-year par swap rate increased 42 basis points. |
• | YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - We recognized derivative fair value losses during YTD 2016 primarily due to a decline in interest rates, while recognizing derivative fair value gains during YTD 2015 primarily due to an increase in interest rates. For example, during YTD 2016 the 10-year par swap rate declined 80 basis points, while during YTD 2015 the 10-year par swap rate increased 16 basis points. |
• | See "Our Business Segments - Investments - Market Conditions" for more information about par swap rates. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 15 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Results of Operations | Other Comprehensive Income |
2Q 2016 | 2Q 2015 | Change | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | Change | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
(in millions) | $ | % | $ | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive income, excluding accretion and reclassifications | $ | 391 | $ | 74 | $ | 317 | 428 | % | $ | 612 | $ | 537 | $ | 75 | 14 | % | |||||||||||||
Accretion due to significant increases in expected cash flows on previously-impaired available-for-sale securities | (79 | ) | (120 | ) | 41 | (34 | )% | (169 | ) | (246 | ) | 77 | (31 | )% | |||||||||||||||
Reclassifications from AOCI | (172 | ) | (210 | ) | 38 | (18 | )% | (149 | ) | (325 | ) | 176 | (54 | )% | |||||||||||||||
Total other comprehensive income (loss) | $ | 140 | $ | (256 | ) | $ | 396 | (155 | )% | $ | 294 | $ | (34 | ) | $ | 328 | (965 | )% |
• | 2Q 2016 vs. 2Q 2015 - Other comprehensive income increased primarily due to a decline in longer-term interest rates during 2Q 2016, which resulted in unrealized gains on our available-for-sale securities, compared to an increase in longer-term interest rates during 2Q 2015, which resulted in unrealized losses on our available-for-sale securities. The increase attributable to interest rate changes was partially offset by less spread tightening for our agency and non-agency available-for-sale mortgage-related securities. Other comprehensive income in both periods reflects the reversals of unrealized losses due to the accretion of other-than-temporary impairments in earnings and the reclassification of unrealized gains and losses related to available-for-sale securities that were sold during the respective periods. |
• | YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - Other comprehensive income increased primarily due to a decline in longer-term interest rates during YTD 2016, which resulted in unrealized gains on our available-for-sale securities, compared to an increase in longer-term interest rates during YTD 2015, which resulted in unrealized losses on our available-for-sale securities. The increase attributable to interest rate changes was partially offset by spread widening for our non-agency available-for-sale mortgage-related securities during YTD 2016 compared to spread tightening during YTD 2015. Other comprehensive income in both periods reflects the reversals of unrealized losses due to the accretion of other-than-temporary impairments in earnings and the reclassification of unrealized gains and losses related to available-for-sale securities that were sold during the respective periods. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 16 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Balance Sheets Analysis |
June 30, 2016 | December 31, 2015 | Change | |||||||||||||
(dollars in millions) | $ | % | |||||||||||||
Assets: | |||||||||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents | $ | 8,140 | $ | 5,595 | $ | 2,545 | 45 | % | |||||||
Restricted cash and cash equivalents | 17,399 | 14,533 | 2,866 | 20 | % | ||||||||||
Securities purchased under agreements to resell | 48,989 | 63,644 | (14,655 | ) | (23 | )% | |||||||||
Subtotal | 74,528 | 83,772 | (9,244 | ) | (11 | )% | |||||||||
Investments in securities | 112,269 | 114,215 | (1,946 | ) | (2 | )% | |||||||||
Mortgage loans, net | 1,761,585 | 1,754,193 | 7,392 | — | % | ||||||||||
Accrued interest receivable | 6,060 | 6,074 | (14 | ) | — | % | |||||||||
Derivative assets, net | 1,479 | 395 | 1,084 | 274 | % | ||||||||||
Real estate owned, net | 1,381 | 1,725 | (344 | ) | (20 | )% | |||||||||
Deferred tax assets, net | 18,671 | 18,205 | 466 | 3 | % | ||||||||||
Other assets | 10,464 | 7,313 | 3,151 | 43 | % | ||||||||||
Total assets | $ | 1,986,437 | $ | 1,985,892 | $ | 545 | — | % | |||||||
Liabilities and Equity: | |||||||||||||||
Liabilities: | |||||||||||||||
Accrued interest payable | $ | 6,057 | $ | 6,183 | $ | (126 | ) | (2 | )% | ||||||
Debt, net | 1,972,103 | 1,970,269 | 1,834 | — | % | ||||||||||
Derivative liabilities, net | 1,243 | 1,254 | (11 | ) | (1 | )% | |||||||||
Other liabilities | 4,901 | 5,246 | (345 | ) | (7 | )% | |||||||||
Total liabilities | 1,984,304 | 1,982,952 | 1,352 | — | % | ||||||||||
Total equity | 2,133 | 2,940 | (807 | ) | (27 | )% | |||||||||
Total liabilities and equity | $ | 1,986,437 | $ | 1,985,892 | $ | 545 | — | % |
• | Cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash and cash equivalents, and securities purchased under agreements to resell affect one another, so the changes in the balances should be viewed together. The combined balance declined due to higher near-term cash needs as of December 31, 2015. |
• | Investments in securities declined primarily due to repayments, partially offset by increased retention of investment securities from certain structured transactions. |
• | Derivative assets, net increased primarily due to an increase in non-cash collateral posted by our derivative counterparties. While we generally offset the obligation to return cash collateral against the fair value of our derivative assets, we do not offset non-cash collateral received against the fair value of our derivative assets. |
• | Real estate owned, net continued to decline as we continued to sell our existing inventory. |
• | Other assets increased as receivables from servicers increased driven by borrower prepayment activity. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 17 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Balance Sheets Analysis |
• | Total equity decreased primarily as a result of dividends paid related to the decline in the Capital Reserve Amount from $1.8 billion to $1.2 billion under the terms of the senior preferred stock. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 18 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Our Business Segments | Segment Earnings |
• | Single-family Guarantee - reflects results from our purchase, securitization, and guarantee of single-family loans and the management of single-family mortgage credit risk. |
• | Multifamily - reflects results from our purchase, securitization, and guarantee of multifamily loans and securities, our investments in those loans and securities, and the management of multifamily mortgage credit risk. |
• | Investments - reflects results from managing the company’s mortgage-related investments portfolio (excluding Multifamily investments, single-family seriously delinquent loans, and the credit risk of single-family performing loans), treasury function, and interest-rate risk. |
• | All Other - consists of material corporate-level activities that are infrequent in nature and based on decisions outside the control of the management of our reportable segments. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 19 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Our Business Segments | Segment Earnings |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 20 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Our Business Segments | Single-Family Guarantee |
• | Single-family loan origination volumes: |
◦ | 2Q 2016 vs. 2Q 2015 - increased to $510 billion in 2Q 2016 compared to $490 billion in 2Q 2015, driven by an increase in refinancing activity due to the decline in interest rates. Mortgage origination data from Inside Mortgage Finance as of July 28, 2016. |
◦ | YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - was relatively unchanged at $890 billion in YTD 2016 compared to $895 billion in YTD 2015. |
• | Single-family serious delinquency (SDQ) rates in the U.S. continued to decline due to macroeconomic factors, such as a stable labor market and continued home price appreciation. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 21 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Our Business Segments | Single-Family Guarantee |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 22 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Our Business Segments | Single-Family Guarantee |
• | Our loan purchase and guarantee activity: |
◦ | 2Q 2016 vs. 2Q 2015 - declined due to lower refinance loan purchase volume as mortgage interest rates were slightly higher in early 2016 as compared to early 2015. |
◦ | YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - declined due to lower refinance loan purchase volume as mortgage interest rates declined at a slower pace in the latter part of 2015 and early 2016 than in the latter part of 2014 and early 2015. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 23 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Our Business Segments | Single-Family Guarantee |
• | The Core single-family book grew to 69% of the single-family credit guarantee portfolio at June 30, 2016 compared to 66% at December 31, 2015. The Core single-family book consists of loans that were originated since 2008, excluding HARP and other relief refinance loans. |
• | The HARP and other relief refinance book represented 17% of the single-family credit guarantee portfolio at June 30, 2016 compared to 18% at December 31, 2015. |
• | The Legacy single-family book declined to 14% of the single-family credit guarantee portfolio at June 30, 2016 compared to 16% at December 31, 2015. |
• | We had 10.7 million loans in our single-family credit guarantee portfolio at both June 30, 2016 and December 31, 2015. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 24 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Our Business Segments | Single-Family Guarantee |
• | Average portfolio Segment Earnings guarantee fees: |
◦ | 2Q 2016 vs. 2Q 2015 - increased primarily due to higher amortization of upfront fees resulting from the increase in the size of the single-family credit guarantee portfolio. Higher average contractual guarantee fees, reflecting the continued growth in the size of the Core single-family book in our single-family credit guarantee portfolio, also contributed. Average contractual guarantee fees are generally higher on mortgage loans in our Core single-family book compared to those in our Legacy single-family book. |
◦ | YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - increased primarily due to higher average contractual guarantee fee rates reflecting the continued growth in the size of the Core single-family book during YTD 2016. |
• | Average guarantee fee rate charged on new acquisitions: |
◦ | 2Q 2016 vs. 2Q 2015 and YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - increased primarily due to changes in the product mix of our single-family new business purchases as new acquisitions have included a relatively higher proportion of 30-year fixed-rate mortgages which generally have higher guarantee fee rates. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 25 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Our Business Segments | Single-Family Guarantee |
(In billions) | ||||||||||
Senior | Freddie Mac $82.1 | Reference Pool $86.2 | ||||||||
Mezzanine | Freddie Mac $0.2 | ACIS $0.9 | STACR Debt Notes $2.2 | |||||||
First Loss | Freddie Mac $0.6 | ACIS $0.1 | STACR Debt Notes $0.1 |
(In billions) | ||||||||||
Senior | Freddie Mac $498.6 | Reference Pool $524.5 | ||||||||
Mezzanine | Freddie Mac $1.2 | ACIS $4.8 | STACR Debt Notes $15.6 | |||||||
First Loss | Freddie Mac $2.9 | ACIS $0.5 | STACR Debt Notes $0.9 |
(1) | The amounts represent the UPB upon issuance of STACR debt notes and execution of ACIS transactions. |
• | We continued to transfer a portion of expected credit losses to third-party investors, insurers, and selected sellers through credit risk transfer transactions. During YTD 2016, we transferred a portion of the expected credit losses associated with $140.0 billion in UPB of loans in our Core single-family book through STACR debt note, ACIS, and seller indemnification transactions. |
• | The interest and premiums we pay on our issued STACR debt note and ACIS transactions effectively reduce the guarantee fee income we earn on the PCs within the respective reference pools. Our expected guarantee fee income on the PCs within the STACR and ACIS reference pools has been effectively reduced by approximately 34%, on average, for all transactions executed through June 30, 2016. The amount of the effective reduction to our overall guarantee fee income could change over time as we continue our credit risk transfer activities or if there are changes in the economic or regulatory environment that affect the cost of executing these transactions. |
• | Due to differences in accounting, there could be a significant lag in time between when we recognize a provision for credit losses and when we recognize the related recovery from our actual loss STACR debt note transactions. A credit expense on a loan in a reference pool related to these transactions is recorded when it is probable that we have incurred a loss, while a recovery is recorded when an actual loss event occurs. |
• | As of June 30, 2016, there has not been a significant number of loans in our STACR debt note reference pools that have experienced a credit event. As a result, we experienced minimal write- |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 26 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Our Business Segments | Single-Family Guarantee |
• | In 2Q 2016, we executed our first ACIS transaction using collateral other than 30-year fixed-rate mortgages. In this transaction, we transferred a portion of the mezzanine expected credit losses and a significant portion of stress credit losses associated with $11.2 billion in UPB of 15-year fixed-rate mortgages. Also, unlike all prior ACIS transactions, this transaction did not involve loans in a reference pool created for a STACR debt note transaction. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 27 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Our Business Segments | Single-Family Guarantee |
As of June 30, 2016 | |||||||||||||||||||
(dollars in millions) | Total Current UPB | Total Protected UPB(1) | Coverage Remaining(2) | Collateralized Coverage Remaining(3) | Percentage of Coverage Remaining Provided By Credit Risk Transfer Transactions(4) | ||||||||||||||
Core single-family book | $ | 1,184,607 | $ | 543,161 | $ | 78,461 | $ | 16,479 | 26 | % | |||||||||
HARP and other relief refinance book | 286,477 | 31,511 | 8,625 | — | — | % | |||||||||||||
Legacy single-family book | 241,882 | 32,159 | 9,934 | — | — | % | |||||||||||||
Total | $ | 1,712,966 | $ | 606,831 | $ | 97,020 | $ | 16,479 | 21 | % |
(1) | Represents the UPB for which credit enhancements exist. |
(2) | Represents the amounts available for us to recover under the credit enhancements. |
(3) | Collateralized coverage includes cash received by Freddie Mac upon issuance of STACR debt notes and unguaranteed whole loan securities, as well as cash and securities pledged for our benefit. All collateralized coverage relates to credit risk transfer transactions in the Core single-family book. |
(4) | Credit risk transfer transactions include STACR debt notes, ACIS insurance policies, seller indemnification agreements, and whole loan securities. The substantial majority of single-family loans covered by these transactions were acquired after 2012. |
• | The Core single-family book had credit protection on 46% of total current UPB as of June 30, 2016 compared to 39% as of December 31, 2015. Credit protection increased primarily as a result of our credit risk transfer transactions. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 28 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Our Business Segments | Single-Family Guarantee |
June 30, 2016 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CLTV ≤ 80 | CLTV > 80 to 100 | CLTV > 100 | All Loans | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
(credit score) | % Portfolio | SDQ Rate | % Portfolio | SDQ Rate | % Portfolio | SDQ Rate | % Portfolio | SDQ Rate | % Modified | ||||||||||||||||||
Core single-family book: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
< 620 | 0.2 | % | 1.99 | % | — | % | 3.62 | % | — | % | 12.50 | % | 0.2 | % | 2.28 | % | 3.0 | % | |||||||||
620 to 659 | 1.4 | 0.91 | % | 0.3 | 1.15 | % | — | 6.92 | % | 1.7 | 0.96 | % | 1.3 | % | |||||||||||||
≥ 660 | 58.3 | 0.14 | % | 8.9 | 0.23 | % | — | 1.82 | % | 67.2 | 0.15 | % | 0.2 | % | |||||||||||||
Not available | — | 1.37 | % | — | 2.72 | % | 0.1 | 7.10 | % | 0.1 | 2.64 | % | 3.6 | % | |||||||||||||
Total | 59.9 | % | 0.17 | % | 9.2 | % | 0.27 | % | 0.1 | % | 3.17 | % | 69.2 | % | 0.18 | % | 0.2 | % | |||||||||
Relief refinance book: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
< 620 | 0.6 | % | 1.55 | % | 0.2 | % | 2.80 | % | 0.1 | % | 4.21 | % | 0.9 | % | 2.12 | % | 3.9 | % | |||||||||
620 to 659 | 0.8 | 0.99 | % | 0.3 | 2.09 | % | 0.2 | 3.10 | % | 1.3 | 1.48 | % | 2.2 | % | |||||||||||||
≥ 660 | 10.5 | 0.3 | % | 2.9 | 0.99 | % | 1.1 | 1.80 | % | 14.5 | 0.51 | % | 0.7 | % | |||||||||||||
Not available | — | 1.08 | % | — | 0.87 | % | — | — | % | — | 0.94 | % | 1.1 | % | |||||||||||||
Total | 11.9 | % | 0.40 | % | 3.4 | % | 1.22 | % | 1.4 | % | 2.12 | % | 16.7 | % | 0.67 | % | 1.0 | % | |||||||||
Legacy single-family book: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
< 620 | 0.8 | % | 5.94 | % | 0.2 | % | 11.94 | % | 0.2 | % | 18.83 | % | 1.2 | % | 7.91 | % | 32.2 | % | |||||||||
620 to 659 | 1.5 | 4.24 | % | 0.4 | 9.39 | % | 0.3 | 15.70 | % | 2.2 | 5.84 | % | 26.4 | % | |||||||||||||
≥ 660 | 7.8 | 1.84 | % |